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Probabilistic predictions - PowerPoint PPT Presentation


Thoughts on model assessment

Thoughts on model assessment

Thoughts on model assessment. Porco, DAIDD , December 2012. Assessment. Some models are so wrong as to be useless. Not really possible to argue that a model is “true” Treacherous concept of “validation”: has a model that has been “validated” been shown to be “valid”? Philosophy of science.

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680 views • 50 slides



From logicist to probabilist cognitive science

From logicist to probabilist cognitive science

Nick Chater Department of Psychology University College London n.chater@ucl.ac.uk. From logicist to probabilist cognitive science. Overview. Logic and probability Compare and contrast A competitive perspective How much deduction is there? Evidence from human reasoning

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328 views • 31 slides


Adam Butler, Biomathematics & Statistics Scotland

Adam Butler, Biomathematics & Statistics Scotland

Statistical tools for climate impact assessment. Adam Butler, Biomathematics & Statistics Scotland. Statistical methods are useful in the detection , attribution and prediction of environmental trends

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134 views • 6 slides


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