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Sources of uncertainty (EC/TC/PR/RB-L1)

(Magritte). Sources of uncertainty (EC/TC/PR/RB-L1). Roberto Buizza European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (http://www.ecmwf.int/staff/roberto_buizza/). Outline. The Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) problem Sources of forecast uncertainties and chaotic behaviour

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562 views • 44 slides

Methods for Initial Ensembles

Methods for Initial Ensembles. Assimilated observation. Sea fog case. Observed sea fog (brown shades) evolution detected from MTSAT data from 6 to 7 March 2006. The light-blue areas indicate high clouds overcast. Model configuration. Experiments design.

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185 views • 10 slides

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Sources of uncertainty (EC/TC/PR/RB-L1)

Methods for Initial Ensembles