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Contents Phase II

Matching and Adapting Vocational and Educational Training (VET) of Palestinian refugees in Lebanon to Market Needs: Monitoring and Evaluation Analysis Phase II March 2011. Contents Phase II. Introduction Background Objectives Methodology Part 1: Results of the Quantitative Study Database

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Contents Phase II

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  1. Matching and Adapting Vocational and Educational Training (VET) of Palestinian refugees in Lebanon to Market Needs: Monitoring and Evaluation AnalysisPhase IIMarch 2011

  2. ContentsPhase II • Introduction • Background • Objectives • Methodology • Part 1: Results of the Quantitative Study • Database • Grouping • Impact Assessment • Providers and their Characteristics • Respondents’ Profile • Trending • Part 2: Qualitative Study – Progress Report Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  3. Introduction Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  4. Background The Consultation and Research Institute (CRI) had conducted a study in 2009, aiming at mapping Vocational Educational Training (VET) providers among Palestinian communities in Lebanon, which constituted Phase I of a joint VET project headed by the Norwegian People’s Aid (NPA) in close cooperation with UNRWA, under the supervision of the Committee for Employment of Palestinian Refugees (CEP), and funded by the Norwegian Ministry of Foreign Affairs. That study aimed not only to create a database consolidating information concerning VET trainees at eight different centers, but also to analyze the success of the centers in terms of the employment of their graduates. • Did they found a job? In the same field of specialty or not? And why? • Which courses are “successful”? Why? • What are the factors/influencers of success: specialty, course pre-requisites, region, VET provider, students profile and background…etc Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  5. ObjectivesPhase II In this context, CRI was requested by the client to conduct the current phase of the VET project, which is considered a continuation of phase I in terms of collecting data concerning the graduates of the VET providers, and an attempt to further research on matching and adapting the vocational education and training to market needs. The objectives of this phase tackle the following aspects: • Generating the necessary trending tools for measuring the success rates of the VET providers and their various courses according to a set of variables. • Assessing the labor market demands in relation to the Palestinian refugee community. • Providing recommendations concerning the adaptability of VET providers to tailor their courses in accordance with the Lebanese labor market requirements. Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  6. MethodologyPhase II In order to reach the proposed objectives, CRI conducted two types of research: • A quantitative study: an update of Phase I and the analysis of the data through creating a trending mechanism of measuring the year-on-year success rates, over the period of the last 5 years of available information (2005-2009), in comparison to a solid database consisting of information covering the period between 1999 and 2004. The quantitative part will include the following tasks: data cleaning, coding, measuring success rates, trending analysis, and reporting. • A qualitative study: an assessment of the demand side of the labor market. It consists of undertaking 6 focus groups with a sample of graduates (employed and unemployed), and up to 25 in-depth interviews with employers and stakeholders. This study will require the following tasks for its completion: (1) determining the profile and sample of focus groups participants and interviewees, (2) preparing the technical tools, (3) conducting the field work, and (4) Data compilation, analysis and report writing. Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  7. Part 1: Quantitative Study Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  8. DatabasePhase II • The initial database comprised of 14,496 trainees who graduated from 7 different Providers offering VET programs between 1989 and 2010. • The data covering the period between 1989 and 1997 are those concerning a sole VET provider (NPA), with an average of 20 yearly graduates. • While the information of 1998 are related to two providers (NPA and UNR) only. Thus, the years1989-1998 constituting of 631 graduates (93.2% of which are unreachable) were excluded from the database of Phase II. • Also, the year 2010 contained information regarding two VET providers (JCC and SAL) amounting to eleven graduates only. These were also eliminated from the sample. Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  9. Database (Cont’d)Phase II • Moreover, another 3,752 graduates were unreachable by the providers who were unable to locate them or contact them in order to obtain information about their current status. These were discounted as well. • In addition to excluding 2 more graduates with incomplete information, during the data cleaning process. Initial Data 14,496 Year 2010 11 1989-1998 631 Incomplete 2 Unreachable 3,752 Final Database 10,100 • Hence, for the purpose of this Phase, all analysis was based on the period between 1999 and 2009 and a database that summed-up to 10,100 reachable graduates. Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  10. Grouping and CodingPhase II New Modalities were created by grouping certain data: • Some of the modalities were grouped due to the low number of respondents. For example, the Nationality variable was re-coded into: Palestinians, Lebanese and Other Arabs. The Other Arab modality is constituted of several Arab nationalities such as Syrians and Jordanians since they only make up 1% of the whole database. • The education variable was re-coded into educational levels (e.g. elementary, intermediate, secondary, etc.) rather than have several grades. • The variable of duration of the courses which initially had 7 modalities was regrouped into 3 for analytical purposes: ‘Less than six months’, ‘between six months to 11 months’, ‘a year and above’. • 2 new indicators were created that reflect varying degrees of success and on which most of our analysis will be based; namely soft and hard success rate. The soft success rate takes into account all those who are working but not necessarily within the field of their vocational training; whereas the hard success rate only refers to those who are employed within the field of their VET. Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  11. Grouping(Cont’d) Phase II Courses were also regrouped into 5 main categories: Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  12. Impact Assessment Phase II • The success rate of the VET providers is reflected in two variables: hard and softsuccess rates.  For the purpose of this study which aims to assess the success of the various training programs, the analysis was focused on the hard success rate. Hard Success rate: All those who have obtained a job within the field of their VET. Soft Success rate: All those who have obtained a job whether in the field of their training or not. Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  13. VET ProvidersPhase II • NPA: Norwegian People’s Aid • NAV: National Association for Vocational Training and Social Services • JCC: Joint Christian Committee • NIS: National Institute for Social Care and Vocational Training • ANJ: Association Najdeh • SAL: the Joint Christian Committee, and the Culture and Science Foundation: Assalam Social and Charity School • UNR: UNRWA Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  14. Providers’ Characteristics Phase II UNRWA’s popularity could be explained by the fact that it is the biggest provider of social services for the Palestinian refugees. Whereas ANJ’s high enrollment rate may be due to the fact that it offers many short term courses. More than half of the graduates attended courses at only 2 of the VET providers It is noteworthy, that ANJ alone has 38% of the total number of branches (29) distributed among 5 regions; whereas, UNR has only 1 branch in Saida Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  15. Providers’ Characteristics (Cont’d) Phase II UNR provides more than 35% of the total amount of courses, within the 5 existing categories. On the contrary, NPA offers the least number of courses (3%) focusing on the Office Work specialties. Both VET providers scored the highest hard success rates (55%). In total, the 7 VET providers offer 130 courses, 35% of which targeting the construction courses. All providers offer Office Work courses. Only 2 offer Health & Education course. Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  16. Providers by Region Phase II Saida that acquires almost 28% of the VET branches and with the unique characteristic of the presence of all 7 providers, had graduated around 56% of the trainees. Followed by Beirut with 7 branches for 5 providers and 16% of the graduates Moreover, it seems that there is a certain influence of the degree of concentration of efforts on success rates. The more branches and the wider the variety of providers, the higher are the success rates. Saida with the highest hard (45%) and soft (55%) success rates Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  17. Providers by Gender Phase II Each VET provider have a clear majority of women or of men. NIS and UNR have a strong male majority (70% and 68% respectively) possibly explained by the predominance of maintenance and construction courses. ANJ and JCC have a female majority with 89% and 71% respectively. ANJ mainly targets women as its core aim is to empower women. Noticeable is the stark gender division between the course categories. With female majorities within the Health & Education (74%), Personal Care (71%) and Office Work (70%). In contrast, the Construction and Maintenance courses have male majorities (94% and 91% respectively). Nevertheless, no courses are exclusively attended by a certain gender, which is not the case with some sub-courses. Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  18. Graduates’ Profile Phase II The overwhelming majority of graduates (91%) are Palestinians. Overall, the graduates are almost equally divided according to gender. One third of the female students had obtained their Bacc II degree, in comparison to one quarter of males (whereas 45% of male students had obtained a Brevet degree). This might be due to gender division between the course categories. Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  19. Marital Status Phase II 91% of male graduates were single, while over one third of the females were married. 40% of the married graduates (mostly females) are not working and not seeking any job opportunity, mainly due to their marital status; whereas, only 8% of the single graduates are not seeking (again 70% of which are females). This generally explains the higher success rates for men (almost half of them are working within their VET degree specialty, and almost two third have jobs regardless of their work domains. Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  20. Course Choices Phase II UNR NAV The category with the most graduates is the Office Work with 40% of students. The Construction courses scored the highest hard and soft success rates (58% and 69% respectively) Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  21. EducationPhase II The graduates who registered in more stringent courses concerning the required prerequisites (Bacc II) scored the highest hard and soft success rates, with almost half of them working within their VET degree. This might be mainly due to the fact that they are qualified for courses with higher educational certificate. Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  22. Trending (Graduates)Phase II 3 VET providers have witnessed a continuous drop in number of graduates during 2008 and 2009 (UNR, NAV and SAL). Another 2 providers went through a similar decline in 2009 (ANJ and NIS). Only NPA and JCC have maintained a consistent increase in number of graduates in the last few years. Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  23. Trending (Providers)Phase II In 2008 and 2009, the VET providers overall success rates have declined sharply, lagging behind the mean score that was reached during the base period (1999-2004). NPA which acquired the highest success rate during the base period (1999-2004), have witnessed a constant decrease since 2007. NPA came in third rank in 2009 after NIS and JCC. Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  24. Trending (Providers)Phase II UNR witnessed a huge drop in 2009, in terms of both hard success rate (22 points) and soft success rate (24 points) compared to its peak in the previous year. NIS went through a sharp decline in 2005 in terms of both hard and soft success rate compared to the base period. It then improved constantly towards recovery in 2008; but it witnessed a set-back in 2009 to lag behind its own scores of the base period, but to maintain primacy over its peers. Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  25. Trending (Providers)Phase II SAL’s best performance was in 2008, to leave its topmost position in 2009 to widen the gap with the base period. NAJ have been in continuous drop in success rates since 2006, reaching a mere 10% in hard success rate and 13% soft success rate; coming in last position among all other providers. Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  26. Trending (Providers)Phase II NAV is still struggling to recover compared to base period in terms of hard success rate in disparity of 2 points. But it rose noticeably in terms of soft success rate scoring an unprecedented 53%. JCC came from its modest scores to peak in 2009 reaching 35% hard success rate and 51% soft success rate, ranking second behind NIS. Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  27. Trending (Courses) Phase II Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  28. Trending (Courses) Phase II Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  29. Trending (Courses) Phase II Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  30. Part 2: Qualitative Study Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  31. SamplingPhase II The In reference to the proposal, undertaking the task of determining the profile and sample of focus groups’ participants would bare into consideration the following baselines: • The sample of graduates will be selected from two course categories: Health and Office work; according to the findings of phase 1, these two categories represent the most successful courses (Health) and the least successful (Office Work). • Within each of these categories 3 focus groups will be conducted. • The focus groups will take into consideration those who have been able to obtain a job within the field of their training and those who are still unemployed. Office Work Health Working with VET Degree Working with VET Degree Not Working; Seeking Not Working; Seeking 3 Focus Groups 3 Focus Groups Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  32. Groups’ ParticipantsPhase II • First Category: Health • Group #1: comprises of Beirut residents who are working within the field of their VET degree. • Group #2: comprises of Tripoli residents who are working within the field of their VET degree. • Group #3: comprises of Tyre Residents who are not working and still seeking a job opportunity. All three focus groups shall consist of Palestinians, evenly divided according to gender. • Second Category: Office Work • Group #1: comprises of Saida residents who are not working and still seeking a job opportunity. • Group #2:comprises of Tyre residents who are not working and still seeking a job opportunity. • Group #3:comprises of Tripoli Residents who are working within the field of their VET degree. All three focus groups shall consist of Palestinians, with a gender composition of a ratio of 3 females to 1 male. • Two FG checklists were developed: one for the groups targeting the employed segment of participants, while the other one is for the groups targeting the unemployed. Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

  33. Thank you Consultation and Research Institute - 2011

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