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Weather Modernization Achievements 2005/06

Explore the accomplishments of the South African Weather Service in modernizing its network and enhancing weather monitoring capabilities during the 2005/06 period. From upgrading radar systems to implementing cutting-edge technology, this report highlights the successful initiatives undertaken.

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Weather Modernization Achievements 2005/06

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  1. Presentation to Portfolio Committee 2005/2006 Annual Report 24 October 2006 Bruce Tashe

  2. CONTENTS • Achievements 2005/2006 • Operations and Research • Human Capital Management • Other Achievements • Challenges • Performance Against Goals • Financial Results • Goals 2006/2007 • Recapitalisation plan

  3. ACHIEVEMENTS • Theme 2005/06 – Modernisation • Endengering customer focus • Upgrading radar network • Expanding automatic weather stations (cover rural areas) • Launch Meteosat 2nd generation training centre • Installation of lightning detection network – detect 95% of strikes over RSA

  4. ACHIEVEMENTS

  5. ACHIEVEMENTS • Theme 2005/06 – Modernisation • 98.8% uptime in networks • Launch early warning system for severe weather • Invest in cutting edge technology • Refurbish ageing meteorological and upper air sounding instruments abroad SA Agulhas (Norwegian funding) • Run global atmospheric watch program • Ozone monitoring

  6. ACHIEVEMENTS • Theme 2005/06 – Modernisation • AMDAR software – increase atmospheric temperature and wind soundings over Africa • Increased upper air observations – highest since 1990’s – 18 per day up 100% • Installed 7 ground receiving stations – reduced satellite data communication costs with 20%

  7. ACHIEVEMENTS

  8. ACHIEVEMENTS • Lightning Detection Network (LDN) • Vast improvement in observation network • Installed 19 LD sensors over the country • Detection accuracy 500 meters • 3.4 million strikes detected in January 2006 and 3.9 million in February 2006

  9. The SAWS LDN

  10. The SAWS LDN: Detection Efficiency

  11. Floods and Storms

  12. ACHIEVEMENTS • National Weather Radar Network • Network of 11 integrated radar systems • Provide detailed monitoring of weather over major part of country • Linked to Mozambique – establish regional weather radar network for Southern Africa, next Botswana

  13. ACHIEVEMENTS • Automatic Weather Stations (AWS) • Purchased equipment and components for 34 AWS and 200 electronic rain gauges • 50 rain gauges assembled in March 2006 • 15 AWS deployed in Natal and Eastern Cape, next roll out Western Cape • SMS messaging

  14. ACHIEVEMENTS Components within the AWS Electronics Enclosure

  15. ACHIEVEMENTS • Aviation Weather Display System (AWDS) • Up to date global aeronautical meteorological • information – installed at air traffic control towers • aerodome reports, forecasts, en-route weather, wind conditions, satellite and radar images • Major tool in implementation of advanced air traffic management

  16. ACHIEVEMENTS • Research • Enhance Meteorological Early Warning System by integrating current related activities with focused goals • Use new Meteosat 8 and LDN • To improve warning detection procedures at forecasting offices • Collaboration with disaster management centers

  17. Prediction Research Short-range Forecasting Long-range Forecasting Research Programmes NWP Forecast Uncertainty 3-Month Season Month 14 Days 7 Days Forecasting Period Outlook Guidance 2 Days Advisories Warnings 0 – 2 Hours Detail Warnings Observations NWP Ensembles GCM & Ensembles • Medium range • Ensembles • MOS • -Satellite • Radar • Lightning • Weather Data • Regional • Mesoscale • Ensembles • MOS -Ensembles -MOS -Ensembles -MOS -Statistical Models GCM Ensembles -MOS Systems

  18. ACHIEVEMENTS • Research • Research on the Utilisation of Meteosat Second Generation (MSG) satellite data in Southern Africa • Pollution monitoring project co-funded by DEAT and Norwegian government was conducted

  19. ACHIEVEMENTS • Research • Acquired Cloud Condensation Nuclei counter • Awarded for best scientific contribution to science of rainfall enhancement research - presented to SAWS at annual WMO commission for Atmospheric Sciences

  20. ACHIEVEMENTS • Research • TRACM – Trace gas research and atmospheric change monitoring - Maintaining trace gas measurements to detect and monitor climate change signals within atmosphere • Submitted national ozone report to United Nations Environmental Program on behalf of DEAT • Provided trace gas analysis to DEAT for inclusion in National Statement of Environment report

  21. ACHIEVEMENTS Research The Cape Point GAW trace gas measurement program for close to 30 years are based primarily on measurements of pristine clean air that moves in from over the southern oceans.

  22. ACHIEVEMENTS Global Atmosphere Watch Laboratories around the world

  23. ACHIEVEMENTS Trace gas

  24. ACHIEVEMENTS • Human Capital Management • Implemented performance management system based on balanced scorecard • Reduced capped leave liability with R 6.7 million • 32 new appointments of which 88% were historically disadvantage

  25. ACHIEVEMENTS 50% 36% 10% 4%

  26. ACHIEVEMENTS • Training • Forecaster training – 30 forecasters during past 5 years trained, 2005/2006 – 5 of 6 students passed, 10 enrolled for next year • Observer training – 10 students completed successfully, 11 new students started • MSG International training – 3 national and 2 international training sessions conducted • 141 Staff members attended short courses

  27. ACHIEVEMENTS • Training • 31 Staff members attended in house MAP course • 12 Staff members attended ABET program • A total of 2161 days spent on training • Total amount spent for training R 4.2 million which is 5.9% of total employee expenses • Received more than R 150 000 back from the SETA for discretionary grant

  28. OTHER ACHIEVEMENTS • 7 peer review articles were published • Participated in 7 air shows • Participated in several science related exhibitions • World Meteorological Day held in Polokwane and Deputy Minister addressed users about hazards of severe weather • 1023 media reports covered SAWS • 7598 climate data enquiries were answered by SAWS

  29. PERFORMANCE AGAINST GOALS

  30. PERFORMANCE AGAINST GOALS

  31. CHALLENGES • Capacity constraints – ICT and Science • Transfer of land – lack of office space • Aviation debt – ongoing dispute • Commercialisation – lack of contracts • Old radars – awaiting financing • SAWS corporate brand • Turnover in top management • Delay in installation of Skukuza Radar

  32. 2006 Audit Report

  33. 2006 Financial Results

  34. 2006 Financial Results Commercial: Automatic Weather Stations and Aviation 12.5 %

  35. 2006 Financial Results

  36. 2006 Financial Results Note: 2005 – Reduction in Aviation income due to tariff adjustments retrospectively for 2004

  37. 2006 Financial Results Huge improvement in budget management and control for 2006, obtained approval from National Treasury to roll over surplus cash for recap plan implementation

  38. 2006 Financial Results

  39. Goals 2006/2007

  40. Recapitalisation Plan

  41. COVERAGE WITH NEW RADARS

  42. END

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