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Who Knows? Who Cares? Lessons From Transparency Projects

Who Knows? Who Cares? Lessons From Transparency Projects. David Wheeler. Case 1: Pollution Disclosure In Developing Countries. State. Markets. Community. New Regulatory Model. World Bank: Pollution Disclosure Programs. Mexico. China. India. Colombia. Philippines. Vietnam.

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Who Knows? Who Cares? Lessons From Transparency Projects

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  1. Who Knows? Who Cares? Lessons From Transparency Projects David Wheeler

  2. Case 1: Pollution Disclosure In Developing Countries State Markets Community New Regulatory Model

  3. World Bank: Pollution Disclosure Programs Mexico China India Colombia Philippines Vietnam Indonesia

  4. Grading Polluters: Indonesia’s PROPER A+ Five-Color System A B D F

  5. 80 60 40 20 0 -20 -40 -60 -80 -100 PROPER Ratings: % CHANGE AFTER 18 MONTHS

  6. Philippines EcoWatch Results ECOWATCH Ratings April 1997 Excellent Very Good Compliant Non-Compliant Very Poor

  7. Philippines EcoWatch Results ECOWATCH Ratings April 1997 November 1998 Excellent Very Good Compliant Non-Compliant Very Poor

  8. Ratings Excellent Very Good Compliant Non-Compliant Very Poor China GreenWatch Results 1999

  9. Ratings Excellent Very Good Compliant Non-Compliant Very Poor China GreenWatch Results 1999 2000

  10. Vietnam Results February, 2002 Ratings Excellent Very Good Compliant Non-Compliant Very Poor

  11. Vietnam Results February, 2002 June, 2002 Ratings Excellent Very Good Compliant Non-Compliant Very Poor

  12. Lessons • Disclosure is Strategic • Symbols Are Powerful • Credibility Requires Good Metrics • Effective Disclosure Requires Leverage • Leverage Points Differ • Disclosure Response is Competitive • Don’t Expect Miracles (Costs Matter)

  13. Case 2: From REDD to Green

  14. CGD: FORMA Forest Monitoring For Action

  15. FORMA/Indonesia

  16. FORMA/Indonesia Sumatra

  17. FORMA/Indonesia Riau Province Sumatra

  18. Forest cover in 2000 300km Forest in 2000

  19. Deforestation by late 2005 300km Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  20. Cleared by 2006-1 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  21. Cleared by 2006-2 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  22. Cleared by 2006-3 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  23. Cleared by 2006-4 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  24. Cleared by 2006-5 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  25. Cleared by 2006-6 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  26. Cleared by 2006-7 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  27. Cleared by 2006-8 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  28. Cleared by 2006-9 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  29. Cleared by 2006-10 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  30. Cleared by 2006-11 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  31. Cleared by 2006-12 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  32. Cleared by 2007-1 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  33. Cleared by 2007-2 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  34. Cleared by 2007-3 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  35. Cleared by 2007-4 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  36. Cleared by 2007-5 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  37. Cleared by 2007-6 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  38. Cleared by 2007-7 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  39. Cleared by 2007-8 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  40. Cleared by 2007-9 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  41. Cleared by 2007-10 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  42. Cleared by 2007-11 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  43. Cleared by 2007-12 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  44. Cleared by 2008-1 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  45. Cleared by 2008-2 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  46. Cleared by 2008-3 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  47. Cleared by 2008-4 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  48. Cleared by 2008-5 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  49. Cleared by 2008-6 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

  50. Cleared by 2008-7 Probability 50 – 60% 60 – 70% 70 – 80% 80 – 90% > 90% Forest in 2000 Cleared 2000 - 2005

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