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Motor Insurance Day

Motor Insurance Day. Sinaia , May 22 nd , 2013. Presented by: Artur BOROWINSKI. MTPL – GWP vs Paid Claims period 2008 - 2012. Mio EUR (GWP, Claims). .000 Pieces (registered cars). Data source: ISC annual reports.

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Motor Insurance Day

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  1. Motor Insurance Day Sinaia, May 22nd, 2013 Presented by: Artur BOROWINSKI

  2. MTPL – GWP vs Paid Claims period 2008 - 2012 Mio EUR (GWP, Claims) .000 Pieces (registered cars) Data source: ISC annual reports • Negative trend of the claims paid comparing to the GWP trend for the analyzed period: • Steady increase of claims paid (gross), affected by the increasing of the claims frequency and the negative impact of bodily injuries cases; • At the end of 2011, GWP have decreased with 20% compared with the end of 2010. For 2012 is forecasted that the premiums will be at the level of 2008; • Compared with 2008 the paid claims have increased with 25%.

  3. Top 10 MTPL players @ 12M 2012 • Source : • Insurance Profile 1/2013 (38) Number of MTPL players in CEE, 2012 • Source : • Insurance Profile; • Fondul de Protectie al VictimelorStrazii; • NBS (National Bank of Slovakia)

  4. CASCO – GWP vs Paid Claims - period 2008 - 2012 Mio EUR (GWP, Claims) Data source: ISC annual reports • Huge decrease by ca. 56% (2012 vs 2008) mainly caused by the decreasing of the Leasing / new cars business; • Very bad situation on the market: since 2010 the insurance companies have paid more claims comparing to the written premium! • Casco market is almost entirely controlled by multinational companies which have lost a lot of money for this line of business

  5. KPI MTPL business: VIG companies in CEE 2011 – 6M 2012 Source: Internal data

  6. KPI CASCO business: VIG companies in CEE 2011 – 6M 2012 Foreign Exchange Rates used: 1 EUR = 24.319 CZK / Year 2011 1 EUR = 25.173 CZK / 8M 2012 Czech National Bank; online currency converter http://www.currency.me.uk/convert 1 EUR = 4.1198 PLN / Year 2011 1 EUR = 4.2145 PLN / 8M 2012 National Bank of Poland; 1 EUR = 4.2379 RON / Year 2011 1 EUR = 4.3903 RON / 8M 2012 National Romanian Bank Source: Internal data

  7. Main problems in MTPL for 2010 – 2012(Romanian market general) Unsustainable MTPL prices caused by crazy competition (underwriting for cash-flow by some companies) Avg. price in total ca. EUR 100-110 Very low prices for trucks/ transport vehicles; offers for haulagecompanies even below than EUR 1.000 Material claims are paid almost 100% to the repair shops; Huge increase of Bodily Injury claims and Green Card claims; they represent ca. 40-50% of the value of all claims incurred (in numbers represent only ca. 5-6% !!!) Relatively high frequency >7%; No automatic renewal; Relatively high commissions; Trends in Europe: higher protection toward the clients (replacement car etc.) Great initiative of CSA/ ASF: to force the insurers to have the combined ratio <100% (Norm 3/2013)

  8. Main problems in CASCO for 2010 – 2012 (market general) • The average premium for CASCO is decreasing due to the increase of the Romanian motor fleet age and in many cases the tariff is based on the sum insured (premium rate); • Almost 100% payments to the repair shops; • Increasing of fraud cases; • No deductibles in many cases; • Extremely high frequency >50% and as result the highest prices in CEE; • Big problems with loss ratios for imported cars; • No real bonus-malus system and no mechanism for prevention in order not to insure the clients with many claims • Only few information regarding the loss history for fleets.

  9. Back-up slides

  10. Calculation of MTPL premium (profitability exercise)

  11. Conclusions reg. profitability of MTPL business • A crucial and unpredictable point is the value of Bodily Injury claims, especially moral damages which are not clearly regulated by the law; • If we use the amount of EUR 20.000 as average compensation, the correct price is ca. EUR 202 • Of course the result depends very much on portfolio structure but the figures are average rough estimations; • In my opinion, the correct average premium in Romania is in the range of EUR 150-200; • The self-regulation of the market is unrealistic;

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