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International Economics

International Economics. Li Yumei Economics & Management School of Southwest University. International Economics. Chapter 10 Economic Integration: Customs Unions and Free Trade Areas. Organization. 10.1 Introduction 10.2 Trade-Creating Customs Unions 10.3 Trade-Diverting Customs Unions

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International Economics

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  1. International Economics Li Yumei Economics & Management School of Southwest University

  2. International Economics Chapter 10 Economic Integration: Customs Unions and Free Trade Areas

  3. Organization • 10.1 Introduction • 10.2 Trade-Creating Customs Unions • 10.3 Trade-Diverting Customs Unions • 10.4 The Theory of the Second Best and Other Static Welfare Effects of Customs Unions • 10.5 Dynamic Benefits from Customs Unions • 10.6 History of Attempts at Economic Integration • Chapter Summary • Exercises

  4. 10.1 Introduction • This chapter analyzes the economic impact of the formation of regional economic associations (economic integration) on the member nations and on the rest of world • Regional economic associations eliminate tariff and other trade barriers among members but keep them against the outside world • The Theory of Economic Integration

  5. The Theory of Economic Integration The Theory refers to the commercial policy of discriminatively reducing or eliminating trade barriers only among the nations joining together. It includes the preferential trade arrangements to free trade areas, customs unions, common markets, and economic unions. • Preferential trade agreements They provide lower barriers on trade among participating nations than on trade with non-member nations. It is the loosest form of economic integration. Such as British Commonwealth Preference Scheme established in 1932.

  6. The Theory of Economic Integration • A Free Trade Area It is the form of economic integration wherein all barriers are removed on trade among members, but each nation retains its own barriers to trade with non-members. Such as European Free Trade Association (EFTA) formed in 1960 (U.K, Austria, Denmark, Norway, Portugal, Sweden, and Switzerland); North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) formed in 1993 ( U.S., Canada, Mexico); Southern Common Market (Mercosur) formed in 1991 ( Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uguguay)

  7. The Theory of Economic Integration • A Customs Union It allows no tariffs or other barriers on trade among members, and in addition it harmonizes trade policies toward the rest of the world. Such as European Union (EU) or European Common Market formed in 1957 (West Germany, France, Italy, Belgium, Netherlands and Luxembourg) • A Common Market It goes beyond a customs union by allowing the free movement of labor and capital among member nations. Such as EU in 1993

  8. The Theory of Economic Integration • An Economic Union It goes further by harmonizing or even unifying the monetary and fiscal policies of member states. It is the most advanced type of economic integration. Such as EU. • Recent Tendency—Duty-Free Zones or Free Economic Zones These zones are areas set up to attract foreign investment by allowing raw materials and intermediate products duty-free. In this chapter, the main discussion is generally in terms of customs unions.

  9. 10.2 Trade-Creating Customs Unions • Trade Creation • Illustration of a Trade-Creating Customs Union • Conclusion

  10. Trade Creation Take the customs union as the example to analyze the effects of the economic integration. It has two kinds of effects: trade creation and trade diversion. • Trade Creation It occurs when some domestic production in a nation that is a member of the customs union is replaced by lower-cost imports from another member nation (assuming that all economic resources are fully employed before and after formation of the customs union); It increases the welfare of member nations because it leads to greater specialization in production based on comparative advantage.

  11. Illustration of a Trade-Creating Customs Union • Figure 10.1 FIGURE 10-1 A Trade-Creating Customs Union.

  12. Illustration of a Trade-Creating Customs Union • Explanation of Figure 10.1 • With Tariff, the nation’s production surplus increases while the consumer surplus decreases, the deadweight loss is the total of protection effect and consumption effect. And it reduces the national welfare; • The formation of a customs union, no tariff, it can increase the national welfare, it is the total of protection effect and consumption effect.

  13. Illustration of a Trade-Creating Customs Union • Theory of A Customs Union • Viner, who pioneered the development of the theory of customs unions in 1950, concentrated on the production effect of trade creation and ignored the consumption effect; • Meade extended the theory of customs unions in 1955 and was the first consider the consumption effect; • Johnson added the two triangles to obtain the total welfare gain of a customs union.

  14. Conclusion • A trade-creating customs union can increase the national welfare— the trade creation: production welfare and consumption welfare from the comparative advantages • A trade-creating customs union also increases the welfare of non-members because some of the increase in its real income spills over into increased imports from the rest of world

  15. 10.3 Trade-Diverting Customs Unions • Trade Diversion • Illustration of a Trade-Diverting Customs Union • Conclusion

  16. Trade Diversion • Trade Diversion • It occurs when lower-cost imports from outside the customs union are replaced by higher cost imports from a union member • Trade Diversion and Welfare • Trade diversion reduces welfare because it shifts production from more efficient producers outside the customs union to less efficient producers inside the union • Trade Diversion and Resource Allocation • Trade diversion worsens the international allocation of resources and shifts production away from comparative advantage

  17. Trade Diversion • The Effects of a Trade-diverting Customs Union • In the end, a trade-diverting customs union results in both trade creation and trade diversion • Conclusion • Whether a trade-diverting customs union can increase or reduce the welfare of union members, depending on the relative strength of these two opposing forces • While the non-members can be expected to decline because their economic resources can only be utilized less efficiently than before trade was diverted away from them

  18. Illustration of a Trade-Diverting Customs Union • Figure 10.2 FIGURE 10-2 A Trade-Diverting Customs Union.

  19. Illustration of a Trade-Diverting Customs Union • Explanation of Figure 10.2 • With free trade, domestic consumption of X is 70 (domestic supply 10X while the imports 60X); • With tariff, domestic consumption of X is 50 (domestic supply 20X while the imports 30X); • Form of a trade-diverting customs union, domestic consumption of X is 60 (domestic supply 15X while the imports from the member 45X) • Static Welfare Effects • Within the trade-diverting customs union, the imports are less than free trade , leading to trade diversion (the loss) • Within the trade-diverting customs union, the imports from members are more than tariff, leading to trade creation (benefit)

  20. Conclusion • Atrade-creating customs union leads only to trade creation and un-equivocably increases the welfare of members and non-members • A trade-diverting customs union leads to both trade creation and trade diversion, and can increase or reduce the welfare of members (and will reduce the welfare of the rest of the world)

  21. 10.4 The Theory of the Second Best and Other Static Welfare Effects of Customs Unions • The Theory of the Second Best • Conditions More Likely to Lead to Increased Welfare • Other Static Welfare Effects of Customs Unions • Conclusion

  22. The Theory of the Second Best • Take the customs union as the special case of the theory of the second best • It postulate that when all conditions required to reach maximum social welfare or Pareto optimum cannot be satisfied, trying to satisfy as many of these conditions as possible does not necessarily or usually lead to the second best welfare position • Theory: beginning by Viner in 1950, developing by Meade in 1955, generalizing by Lipsey and Lancaster in 1956

  23. Conditions More Likely to Lead to Increased Welfare • Conditions • The higher of the pre-union trade barriers of member countries, it is more probable that the greater trade creation rather than trade diversion • The lower of the customs union’s barriers on trade with the rest of world, the less likely to costly trade diversion • The more competitive rather than complementary are the economies of member nations, the greater opportunities for specialization in production and trade creation • The closer geographically are the members of the customs union, less transportation costs barriers to trade creation among members • The greater of pre-union trade economic relationship , the greater opportunities for significant gains

  24. Other Static Welfare Effects of Customs Unions • Administrative Savings It means the elimination of customs officials, border patrols. • The Improvement in Collective Terms of Trade This is because a trade-diverting customs leads to the reduction of its demand for imports and its supply of exports to the rest of world . It is likely to improve the collective terms of trade • Much More Bargaining Power Several countries act as a single unit in international trade negotiations. It is more powerful than a single country

  25. Conclusion • Customs Union as a second best to maximize the economic welfare • Customs Union is more likely to lead to the increased welfare: trade creation and trade diversion • Other static effects

  26. 10.5 Dynamic Benefits from Customs Unions • Increased Competition • Economies of Scale • Stimulus to Investment • Better Utilization of Economic Resources

  27. Increased Competition • In the absence of a customs union Producers are likely (especially those in monopolistic and oligopolistic market ) to sluggish and complacent behind trade barriers • With the customs union • Producers in each nation must become more efficient to meet the competition of other producers within the union, merge, or go out of business, reducing the cost of production to the benefit of consumers • The increased level of competition is also likely to stimulate the development and utilization of new technology, reducing the cost of production to the benefit of consumers

  28. Economies of Scale • The Enlarged Market The formation of a customs union leads to the enlarged market . It is likely to benefit from the economies of scale. Such as EU, before the formation of the customs union, some of several small countries have obtained the economies of scale through the scale production for domestic consumption and exports, after the formation EU achieved significant economies of scale.

  29. Stimulus to Investment • The stimulus to investment to take the advantage of the enlarged market and to meet the increased competition • The formation is likely to spur outsiders to set up production facilities within the customs union to avoid trade barriers imposed on non-union products (called as tariff factories) • Examples for U.S. Investment in EU after 1955 and after 1986

  30. Better Utilization of Economic Resources • A customs union is also a common market, it means that the free community wide movement of labor and capital is likely to result in better utilization of the economic resources of the entire community ﹡These dynamic gains from the formation of a customs union are presumed to be much greater than the static gains ﹡ The static and dynamic benefits from the formation of a customs union is the second best solution

  31. 10.6 History of Attempts at Economic Integration • The European Union • The European Free Trade Association • U.S. Free Trade Agreements and the North American Free Trade • Attempts at Economic Integration among Developing Countries • Economic Integration in Central and Eastern Europe and in the Former Soviet Republics

  32. The European Union ( European Community) • History of EU (up to now 27 members) • European Common Market : founded in 1957 under the Treaty of Rome by West Germany, France, Italy, Belgium, the Netherlands and Luxembourg came into being on January 1, 1958; • Enlargement of EU • till 1995 altogether 15 members including UK, Denmark and Ireland in 1973; Greece in 1981; Spain and Portugal in 1986; Austria, Finland and Sweden in 1995; • New 10 EU members May 2004: Cyprus,Czech Republic,Estonia,Hungary,Latvia,Lithuania,Malta,Poland,Slovak Republic,Slovenia • New 2 EU members January 2007: Bulgaria, Romania

  33. The European Union ( European Community) • Economic Community Single European Act in 1992 provided for the removal of all remaining barriers to the free flow of goods, services, and resources among members and, in fact, became a single unified market at the beginning of 1993. • The Operation of EU • Common value-added tax system; • Commission • Council of Ministers • European Parliament • Court of Justice • Full Monetary Union

  34. The European Union • Main Provisions • Common Commercial Policy Since the historic enlargement that took place on 1 May 2004, the 25 Member States of the EU constitute one single market with a Common Commercial Policy which includes the uniform EU-wide application of Trade Policy Instruments( dispute settlement, trade barriers regulation, anti-dumping, anti-subsidy, safeguard, injurious pricing instrument, trade defense instruments-enlargement, trade defense instruments-small & medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), monitoring of third country commercial defense actions) . On 1 January 2007, the same legislation and measures will be automatically applied also to Bulgaria and Romania, the new EU Member States.

  35. The European Union • Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) It was formed in 1968. EU determines common farm prices, and then it imposes tariffs so as always to make the imported agricultural products equal to the high established EU prices. There are two measures to reach the purpose. • Variable Import levies (差价税) • Deficiency Payments (差额补贴) Negative effect: huge agricultural surplus, high storage costs and subsidized exports Case Study 9-3 (section 9.3E) and Uruguay Round (section 9.7)

  36. The European Free Trade Association • EFTA • It was formed in 1960 by UK, Austria, Denmark, Norway, Portugal, Sweden, and Switzerland, Finland becoming an associate member in 1961(full member in 1986). EFTA achieved free trade in industrial goods in 1967, but only a few special provisions were made to reduce barriers on trade in agricultural products • On January 1, 1994, the EFTA joined the EU to form the European Economic Areas (EEA)

  37. U.S. Free Trade Agreements and the North American Free Trade • In September 1985, US negotiated a free trade agreement with Israel. It was the first bilateral trade agreement signed by US • In 1988 a free trade reached with Canada • In 1993, North American Free trade Agreement (NAFTA) agreed among US, Canada and Mexico, which took effect on January 1, 1994 Case Study 10-3 page 336

  38. Attempts at Economic Integration among Developing Countries • Economic Integration in Developing Countries • Central American Common Market • Latin American Free Trade Association • Southern Common Market ( Mercosur) • Free Trade Area of Americas (FTAA) • Caribbean Free Trade Association • East African Economic Community • West African Economic Community • 19-member Preferential Trade Area of Eastern and Southern Africa • Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Case Study 10-4 and 10-5 page 338-339

  39. Economic Integration in Central and Eastern Europe and in the Former Soviet Republics • Council of Mutual Economic Assistance (CMEA or COMECON) It was formed in 1949 in Soviet Union with the communist bloc nations in eastern Europe (Bulgaria, Czechoslovakia, East Germany, Hungary, Poland, and Romania) plus Mongolia (Cuba, North Korea, and Vietnam jointed later). • Main Purpose It was to divert trade from Western nations and achieve a greater degree of self-sufficiency among communist nations

  40. Economic Integration in Central and Eastern Europe and in the Former Soviet Republics • Commercial Policy • Among the member countries, the state decided and controlled all International transactions through a number of state trading companies • Trade among the member countries conducted on the basis of bilateral agreements (barter trade and counter trade in which one good was exchanged for another) and bulk purchasing (the agreement of a state trading company to purchase a specified quantity of a commodity of a year or for number of years from a state trading company of another nation ) • The End of CMEA After the end of 1989, it collapsed all over due to the political changes (Case Study 10-6 page 342)

  41. Chapter Summary • The static and dynamic effects of Economic Integration • trade-creation • trade-diversion • Economic Integration Organizations • Among developed countries • Among developing countries • Trade Blocs

  42. Exercises Discussion Problems: Page 345 to 336 from 1 to 14 questions

  43. Exercises Additional Reading The classic works on the theory of customs unions are: • J.Viner, The Customs Union Issue (New York: The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 1953) • J.Meade, The Theory of Customs Unions (Amsterdam: North-Holland, 1955) • R.G.Lipsey, “ The Theory of Customs Unions: A general Survey,” Economic Journal, September 1961, pp.498-513, Reprinted in R.E.Caves and H.G.Johnson, Readings in International Economics (Homewood, Ⅲ.: Irwin, 1968), pp.261-278

  44. Internet Materials • http://mkaccdb.edu.int • http://www.lib.berkeley.edu/GSSI/eugde.html • http://www-tech.mit.edu/Bulletins/Nafta/00.CONTENT • http://www.embassy.org/uruguay/econ/mercosur • http://www.apecsec.org.sg • http://www.oecd.org • http://www.aseansec.org • http://www.citizen.org/trade/nafta/index.cfm

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