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COA Decision & Staff Estimates Briefing 2 Mar 01

COA Decision & Staff Estimates Briefing 2 Mar 01. (MPAT TE-2). BRIEF PURPOSE. Present Course of Action analysis to the CTF Commander for approval. AGENDA. Situation Update Mission Statement CTF Commander’s Intent Centers of Gravity CCIR Assumptions Method of Wargaming

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COA Decision & Staff Estimates Briefing 2 Mar 01

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  1. COA Decision & Staff Estimates Briefing 2 Mar 01 (MPAT TE-2)

  2. BRIEF PURPOSE Present Course of Action analysis to the CTF Commander for approval

  3. AGENDA • Situation Update • Mission Statement • CTF Commander’s Intent • Centers of Gravity • CCIR • Assumptions • Method of Wargaming • COA Comparison • COA Recommendation • Staff Estimate

  4. SITUATION UPDATE Current Situation: - 650,000 Haloan DP - At least 150,000 migrated South - Increasing of DP up to 1 M and spread of disease - 150,000 IDP remain in 3 large collectives - RTG approved USD 500 M to rebuild their own homes - Depletion of relief materials

  5. SITUATION UPDATE - UNHCR established a coordination HQ - Sturdy and robust road network - Some major Highways and bridges need to be repaired - Thai railroad remains intact - Airfields throughout Thailand are in good condition - River barges are available - Relief ships will have priority at all piers

  6. CTF Mission When directed, CTF MENG RAI conduct HA/DR in the Combined Ops Area in support of RTARF to restore stability and reduce human suffering. On order transition relief effort to Government of Thailand.

  7. CTF COMMANDER’S INTENT Purpose: Assist Royal Thai Government in providing Humanitarian Assistance/Disaster Relief (HA/DR) in coordination with supporting relief agencies and Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs) to provide immediate life saving and relieve human suffering caused by natural disasters in the Combined Operations Area (COA) in order to stabilize the crisis.

  8. CTF MENG RAI - COMMANDER’S INTENT Method: • Secure the Thai - Haloan Border • Provide support and a secure environment for Relief Agencies and NGOs • Provide logistical support (food, water, shelter) and security for DP population and Thai disaster victims • Restore critical basic infrastructure and emergency services as required • Provide transportation support and security of relief supplies and distribution points • Assist Provinces in providing life saving medical treatment and disease/epidemic control • Protect the force from criminal activities, terrorist acts, and disease/non-battle injuries • Keep the populous informed of CTF Meng Rai activities through media, CA and IO • Transition/transfer HA/DR missions to Royal Thai Government

  9. CTF MENG RAI - COMMANDER’S INTENT Endstate: HA/DR crisis in the Combined Operations Area is stabilized. Critical infrastructure is restored; border control is reestablished; medical/health crisis is stabilized; DP camps built, secure and life support established. CTF MENG RAI mission accomplished (In Accordance With (IAW) measures of effectiveness) and transfer of authority to the Royal Thai Government completed.

  10. STRATEGICCENTERS OF GRAVITY • THREAT: • Haloan internal relief situation • Regional stability (Thailand - Haloa) • Media perceptions/international support • Crime, drug trafficking, banditry • FRIENDLY: • Coalition coordination

  11. OPERATIONALCENTERS OF GRAVITY • THREAT: • Security of refugee/displaced persons • Water supply • Shelter for refugees • Damaged infrastructure • FRIENDLY: • Inter-agency coordination • Coalition coordination

  12. CCIR • Significant increase in Crude Morbidity Rate in the camps • Loss of Life or critical injury to CTF personnel or NGO • Loss of critical equipment (aircraft, C2I) • Significant catastrophic natural event that may affect the COA • Significant increase in warlord or criminal activity • Significant increase in flow of DPs in/out of COA • Significant failure in key infrastructures in the COA (bridges, rail lines, airfields, etc) • Loss of communications with major subordinate commands and RTSC

  13. ASSUMPTIONS • No known minefields on border area w/Haloa • No insurgents in border area • MNF can carry small arms for force protection • Mission is 90 days or less • CTF can use over-flight rights over Haloa • Cannot commit MNF into Haloa • Pursuit across Haloa border is not allowed • Displaced persons in camps will increase with success of HA

  14. ASSUMPTIONS • US & UK will provide strategic lift for smaller nations if required • MQ-126 will be provided • Tactical communications only initial reliable means of communications • Countries will provide communications to C2 their organic units

  15. METHOD OF WARGAMING • By phase

  16. 3 COURSES OF ACTION • COA 1 (Mae Sai): Major Kaufman • COA 2 (Operation Nu): LTC Swan • COA 3 (Imperial): LtCol Ibrahim

  17. COURSE OF ACTION #1 MAE SAI Major Chris Kaufman

  18. COA 1 STATEMENTMAE SAI CTF will supplement and enhance existing military and civil infrastructure in the COA by dividing into 3 CTGs (N, S, & E) that are geographically distributed and correspond with RTA military circle HQs. A Logistics Task Force (LTF) will provide medical support, supplies, transportation, engineering, contracting, and services to the CTF. CTG North is the main effort. Priority of support goes to CTG’s North, South, and East in order. We are accepting risk in smaller camps by providing priority to larger camps.

  19. COMMAND & CONTROL CTF CTG E LTF CPOTF CSOTF CTG N CTG S Chiang Mai, Mae Hong Son, Chiang Rai Pitsonulok, Tak Lampang, Uttaradit,Payao Contracting Supply Trans Engr Med

  20. CTF HQ STRUCTURE CTF HQ Combined Movement Center CMOC Service Liaison Cells Combined Reception Center C3 C4 C5 C6 C1 C2

  21. Haloa DISPOSITION OF RTA FORCES II CTF HQ 10cav II CTG N II 7arty 15cav II III 4eng II 7inf CTG E 4sig II 104arty II II 17arty II III 9cav 17arty 17inf II XX 12cav 1cav XXXX 3corps CTG S II XX 4arty III 4inf II 4inf 23sig

  22. AIRFIELD & HOSPITAL LOCATIONS (60) CTF HQ CTG N (30) (150) CTG E (150) II (200) 4med CTG S (60) Haloa II 23med Airfield IDP Camp Mil Hospital DP Camp Fld Hospital

  23. FORCES AVAILABLE CTG North RTARF Units depicted in map BPP units Engr Plt (Nepal) Combat Eng Co (India) Engr Plt (Korea) Medical Treatment Tm (Korea) 2 Ground Ambulance (Korea) 10 Med Co (Thai) Med Co (US) Med Treatment Unit (Mad.) Mobile Med Clinic (Malay.) Air Trans Hospital (USAF) Med Team (Phil.) Med Treatment Tm (Mongolia) 2 Med Treatment Tm (Sing) Med Treatment Tm (Nepal) Veterinary Teams from Univ of Chiang Mai

  24. FORCES AVAILABLE CTG SOUTH RTARF Units depicted in map BPP units Engr Const. Sqdn (Fiji) Engr Plt (Tonga) 2 x Med Co (Thai) Surgical Unit (France) BPP units Veterinary Teams from Univ of Chiang Mai

  25. FORCES AVAILABLE CTG EAST RTARF units indicated in the map Veterinary Team from Univ of Chiang Mai

  26. FORCES AVAILABLE LTF Trans(Air) C-130 (RTAF) 374 EAS (USAF) 186 ARW (USAF) HMM 366 (R) (USMC) 3xC-130 (RMAF) IL 76 (India) C-130 (Aus) C-17, 2xC-130, Lynx (UK) C-130, C-160 (FR) 2xSuper Puma, CH-47 (Sing) Engineer 3rd Development Div (Thai) 4th Engr Bn (Thai) 3rd Engr Regt (Thai) Engr Sqdn (UK) Contracting 3rd Army CSS (Thai) Trans(Gnd) 3rd Army CSS (Thai) Movement Cell (UK) Supply 3rd Army CSS (Thai) 2 x Supply Sqn(UK) Use of all Royal Thai Civil Defense & Ministries assets will be coordinated by 3rd Army CSS

  27. FORCES AVAILABLE LTF Medical Wing 46 (RTAF) Chieng Mai Army Hospital Environmental Prev. Med Unit Det 6 (USN) CSSG 3 Aid Station (USMC)

  28. COA MAE SAI This phase starts when HQ CTF MENG RAI is established; the MPAT conducts Crisis Action Planning and enabling forces start to deploy. Start C-Day to C+2. PHASE 1: Preparation (C-0 to C+2) CTF HQ: Conduct planning; integrate with existing RTARF and other Royal Thai agencies. Coordinate with Region 3 Civil Defense Coordinator & humanitarian community. Establish Combined Reception Center. Combined Task Group North: Prepare for deployment of MNF; prepare to integrate MNF with existing HA/DR activities. Combined Task Group South: Prepare for deployment of MNF; prepare to integrate MNF with existing HA/DR activities. Combined Task Group East: Prepare for deployment of MNF; prepare to integrate MNF with existing HA/DR activities. Logistics Task Force: Prepare for deployment of MNF; assist RTN in preparing UTAPAO Air Base as initial staging area; assist RTAF in preparing regional airports as intermediate staging areas CPOTF: Prepare to deploy. Integrate with existing PSYOP forces CSOTF: (Main Effort) Deploy enabling forces to incl command and control and preventive medical units; conduct assessment of MSRs and DP routes into the Kingdom. CTF HQ

  29. COA MAE SAI CTF HQ CTG N CTG E CTG S Haloa This phase starts when initial forces enter theater. The purpose is of this phase is to receive the MNF and form the CTF. The main effort is the Logistics Task Force. This phase ends when all MNF are in their respective staging areas and the CTF is operational. PHASE 2: Deployment /Integration (C-0 to C+14) CTF HQ: Complete integration with existing RTARF and other Royal Thai agencies. Continue coordination with Region 3 Civil Defense Coordinator & humanitarian community; integrate MNF LNOs as they arrive. Combined Task Group North: Conduct HA/DR; prepare for deployment of MNF; prepare to integrate MNF with existing HA/DR activities. Combined Task Group South: Conduct HA/DR; prepare for deployment of MNF; prepare to integrate MNF with existing HA/DR activities. Combined Task Group East: Conduct HA./DR; prepare for deployment of MNF; prepare to integrate MNF with existing HA/DR activities. Logistics Task Force: (Main Effort) Develop HA/DR support areas; BPT support CTG N. Provide Medical Reception. CPOTF: Integrate with RTARF; support CTG’s as required. CSOTF: Provide assessment of DP camps; conduct border recon ICW RTARF and BPP; conduct surveillance of warlords. LTF

  30. COA MAE SAI Haloa This phase starts when MNF forces are deployed into their respective AOR’s. The purpose of this phase is to conduct HA/DR operations in order to provide border security, stabilization, and relieve human suffering. The main effort is CTG North. This phase ends when the conditions are established to provide a smooth transition of HA/DR effort to the Royal Thai Government. PHASE 3: Execution (C+1 to C+85) CTF HQ: Continue coordination with Region 3 Civil Defense Coordinator & humanitarian community; start transition planning Combined Task Group North: (Initial Priority of Support) Conduct HA/DR; conduct border security ops. Combined Task Group South: Conduct HA/DR; conduct border security ops. Combined Task Group East: Conduct HA./DR; conduct border security ops Logistics Task Force: (Main Effort) Provide support to CTG N initially; be prepared to support CTG E and S as required CPOTF: Broadcast PSYOP themes in support of CTG’s. CSOTF: Conduct border and warlord surveillance; provide assessment of future DP movement; Be prepared to conduct SAR; Be prepared to support CTG’s as required. CTF HQ CTG N LTF CTG E CTG S

  31. COA MAE SAI CTF HQ CTG N CTG E CTG S Haloa This phase starts when the conditions for handing over to the RTG have been achieved. The purpose is of this phase is to handover HA/DR to Thai Government. The main effort is CTF HQ/CMOC. This phase ends when the RTG assumes full control and responsibility of HA/DR. Begin Transition on or about C+60. PHASE 4: Transition (C+60 to C+90) CTF HQ: (Main Effort) Conduct transition planning; turn over HA/DR activities to the 3d Army Region, RTA; redeploy MNF. Combined Task Group North: Conduct HA/DR; conduct border security ops; redeploy MNF. Combined Task Group South: Conduct HA/DR; conduct border security ops; redeploy MNF. Combined Task Group East: Conduct HA./DR; conduct border security ops; redeploy MNF. Logistics Task Force: Continue support to CTGs & be prepared to surge as required; conduct transition; redeploy MNF. CPOTF: Support CTG’s as required; Prepare civilian populace for transition to RTG; redeploy MNF. CSOTF: Provide assessment of DP flows; conduct recon ICW RTARF and BPP; conduct transition planning; redeploy MNF. LTF

  32. COA 1 - ADVANTAGES • CTF HQ collocated with UN HA/DR Cell in Chiang Mai, facilitating coordination and transition to RTG upon completion of mission • Regional CTG structure uses existing C3 networks and provides redundancy • Retains MNF integrity by assigning country assets to the same CTG • Contracts remain in place when MNF departs, supporting a seamless transition to RTG when CTF departs • Logistics concept facilitates most efficient allocation/prioritization of limited support assets • Medical units deployed early to DP camps, with additional medical capability in reserve • Thai BPP & RTA Rangers secure the border

  33. COA 1 - DISADVANTAGES • By allocating MNF assets to all three CTGs and the LTF, there is a risk of diluting the effectiveness of the CTF • Underutilization of naval assets

  34. COURSE OF ACTION #2 OPERATIONS NU LTC Swan

  35. COA 2 STATEMENT On order CTF MENG RAI conducts HA/DR in designated area of operation with a combination of land, air, and sea maneuver in support of RTG to stabilize human suffering and restore critical infrastructure. • Main Effort - CARFOR • Functional Areas - BORDER SEC TF/TF MED • Risk - MODERATE

  36. COA 2 RATIONALE • Considerations: Guidance from CTF Commander and Warning Order. • Deductions: Thai Armed Forces are in best position to control their borders while the remainder of the CTF support and enhance relief efforts. • Unit array: TF Border Security, CARFOR/CAFFOR organized to support largest requirement, CMOTF positioned to maximize C2 efforts. • KEEP THE OPERATION SIMPLE

  37. COA 2 ORG CHART

  38. TASK ORGANIZATIONCOA 2 CARFOR • Nepal • Engineer Platoon • Signal Platoon • Infantry Support • United Kingdom • Engineer Squadron • Logistics Squadron • Korea • Engineer Platoon • Australia • Infantry Company • Malaysia • 1 Infantry Battalion • India • Combat Engineers Thailand 4th Regiment United States 3rd Army Area Support Command Signal Bn Theater Support Command Civil Affairs Co Tonga Infantry platoon Engineer platoon Mongolia Infantry Company(plus) Sri Lanka Madagascar Security Unit Fiji 1 Engineer Construction Squadron 1 Infantry Battalion (security) Bangladesh 2 Infantry Battalions

  39. TASK ORGANIZATIONCOA 2 CAFFOR CNAVFOR • Malaysia • 3 C130 • India • IL 76 Thailand TBD US 374 EAS 186 ARW 633 AMSS (TALCE) 715 AMSS (TALCE) Singapore Transportation assets France 1 C130, 1 C160 United Kingdom 1 C17, 2 C130, Mobile Air movement team Korea 1 C130 Australia 1 C130 Thailand France Naval Group Malaysia 2 LSTs US Comphibron 11 USS Essex LHD-2 USS Juneau LPD-10 USS Germantown -LSD-42 NMCB-7

  40. TASK ORGANIZATIONCOA 2 CSOTF • US • SPMAGTF Thailand • 31st MEU CMARFOR • CPOTF • Thailand • PSYOP Bn • US • 8th PSYOP Bn (-) • 9th PSYOP Bn (-) • US • JTF 510 • 1-1 SFGA • 2-1 SFGA (-) • JSOAC • NSWTU-PAC • Korea • SOF team TASK FORCE BORDER SECURITY 4th Regt (RTA)

  41. TASK ORGANIZATION COA 2 TF MEDICAL Malaysia 40 person mobile clinic India 1 Field Ambulance Co Korea Medical Treatment Team (20 person) 2 Ground Ambulance Nepal Medical Treatment Team (42 person) Mongolia 1 Medical Treatment Team (10 Person) Singapore 2 Medical Treatment Teams ( 8 persons each) Madagascar 1 Medical unit Mongolia 1 Medical Treatment Team (10 Person) Singapore 2 Medical Treatment Teams ( 8 persons each) Philippines Task Force Kandili: medical team Korea Medical support team: 20 personnel Nepal 1 Medical team France 50-bed Surgical unit Bangladesh 3 mobile medical teams Thailand 3 Med Bn (4 Med Co Ea) 54 Ground Ambulances (18 per Med Bn) 1 PM Team U. S. Naval: USS Essex (60 bed) 1 Fleet Surgical Team 1 Environmental Preventive Medicine Unit USArmy: 1 Medical Co (40 Bed) 1 Forward Surgical Team 1 Air Evacuation Platoon 1 Preventive Medicine Team US Air Force: 1 Air Transportable Hospital (50 bed) 1 Air Evacuation Liaison Team 2 C-130

  42. COA # 2 This phase starts when CTF MENG RAI forces begin to deploy into the Kingdom of Thailand. The purpose is of this CTF is to conduct HA/DR operations. The main effort is Land forces . This phase ends when all multi-national forces have closed in the Theater. Start C-Day to C+14. PHASE 1: Deployment BLUE - AF TAN - NAVY GREEN - ARMY RED - MARINES BLACK - GND TRANS

  43. COA # 2 This phase starts when initial forces enter theater. The purpose is of this phase is to receive the MNF and form the CTF. The main effort is Army Forces. This phase ends when all MNF are in their respective staging areas and the CTF is operational. C + 1 to C+ 17 PHASE 2: RSO&I BLUE - AF GREEN - ARMY RED - MARINES BLACK - GND TRANS

  44. COA # 2 This phase starts when forces are deployed into their respective AOR’s. The purpose of this phase is to conduct HA/DR operations in order to provide border security. stabilization, and relieve human suffering . The main effort is CARFOR. This phase ends when the conditions are established to provide a smooth transition to the Royal Thai Government. C + 17 to C +75. PHASE 3: Employment CARFOR: provide security, logistical support, and transportation to DP’s, NGO’s, relief agencies and to restore critical infrastructure. CAFFOR: provide transportation support throughout the combined operational area. CNAVFOR:provide sea based transportation and medical support to the CTF CMARFOR: provide security, logistical support, and transportation to DP’s, NGO’s, relief agencies and to restore critical infrastructure. TF MED: provide medical care to DP’s and camps throughout COA. TF Border Security: secure and stabilize the Haloan Thai border, conduct initial screening ops and counter drug ops.

  45. COMMAND AND CONTROL • PITSANULOK • CTF HQ • CPOTF * CMOTF • CSOTF • CMEDTF • CHANG MAI • CARFOR HQ • CAFFOR HQ • TAK • CMARFOR HQ • MAE HONG SON • BORDER SEC TF HQ

  46. COA # 2 This phase starts based on achievement of stabilization of MOE’s. The purpose is of this phase is to handover HA/DR to Thai Government. The main effort is CARFOR. This phase ends when the RTG assumes full control and responsibility of HA/DR. Begin Transition on or about C+30, to be completed on or about C+70. PHASE 4: Transition 1 2 CARFOR 3 CMARFOR 4

  47. COA # 2 This phase starts when forces begin the redeployment of personnel and equipment to home nations. The purpose is depart the Kingdom of Thailand. The main effort is CARFOR . This phase ends when all personnel and equipment have departed the Kingdom of Thailand. Redeployment begins on or about C+90. PHASE 5: Redeployment

  48. COA 2 CRITICAL EVENTS • DP CAMP RIOT • IMMUNIZATIONS & EPIDEMIC • AIR FLOW MANAGEMENT • RESOURCE MANAGEMENT • FREQUENCY MANAGEMENT • LANGUAGE BARRIER • TRANSITION • LNO LINK-UP WITH EMERGENCY SERVICE REPRESENTATIVE

  49. COURSE OF ACTION 2 • ADVANTAGES: • Flexible • Efficient/Effective use of Resources • Unity of Command • Rapidly Stabilizes Situation • Simplicity • Perception Management • DISADVANTAGES: • Combined Forces = Language Difficulties • Rely on Civilian Guidance = Delay in Assistance waiting on guidance & priorities

  50. COURSE OF ACTION #3 IMPERIAL Lieutenant Colonel Ibrahim

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