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General Aviation Myths & Realities: Preparing Your Airport for What’s Ahead

General Aviation Myths & Realities: Preparing Your Airport for What’s Ahead

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General Aviation Myths & Realities: Preparing Your Airport for What’s Ahead

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  1. General AviationMyths & Realities: Preparing Your Airport for What’s Ahead April 20,2010 SEC-AAAE Annual Conference

  2. Next Year Will Arrive in 2011-ish "Forecasting future events is often like searching for a black cat in an unlit room, that may not even be there. " --Steve Davidson in The Crystal Ball. "If you can look into the seeds of time, and say which grain will grow and which will not, speak then unto me. " --William Shakespeare "It is far better to foresee even without certainty than not to foresee at all. " --Henri Poincare in The Foundations of Science Forecasting is the art of saying what will happen, and then explaining why it didn't! “ --Anon.

  3. Historical Impact Factors • Economic Cycles • Fuel Shocks • Transitory Events • Product/Manufacturer Liability • Tax Incentives Source: FAA, L&B

  4. GA Fleet & Primary Use • Small piston aircraft dominate the U.S. general aviation fleet. Business jet and turboprop aircraft still have relatively small share of the market • Almost two thirds of U.S. general aviation is for business or commercial purposes • Piston aircraft are deployed in more discretionary uses than turboprop and jet aircraft Personal Business # of Aircraft % of Total Piston Turboprop Business Jet Source: FAA, L&B

  5. Segmentation tells a story… • Prolonged decline in single engine piston use masks growth in business jet and turboprop segments • Business jet aircraft utilization increased threefold between 1994 and 2006. Segment most effected by recent recession • Turboprop utilization has more than doubled Index of Hours Flown by Aircraft Type: Source: FAA, L&B

  6. Business GA Market Drivers… • Economic Growth • Corporate Profits • Public Perception • Commercial Airline Product • Fractional Ownership • Value of Time • Metro Airport Congestion • Security (TSA) 4.0% Historical Forecast 4.0% Long Term 2.7% AAG 3.2% -2.4% Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Federal Reserve.

  7. Private GA Market Drivers… • Cost of Fuel! • Cost of Fuel!! • Personal Liability • Socio-Economic Factors • Aviation Career Opportunities Source: EIA

  8. Green Shoots or Yellow Weeds…

  9. Is Airport Closure an Option… “The FAA has only rarely granted a sponsor a release from its Federal obligations sufficient to allow for the closure of an airport, and then only in very unusual circumstances. A request for airport closure from a sponsor requires a demonstration that closure results in a net benefit to aviation. Because of the important role that this Airport plays, the FAA does not anticipate granting any request for release to allow closure of the Airport. The Airport is and will continue to be too valuable for that to occur.” • The majority of U.S. airports are federally obligated • Grant assurances that obligate the airport sponsor will require the facility to be operated for a set amount of time (normally 20 years) • There is no limit to the duration of obligations for airport property acquired with federal monies • Private airports for public and private use have and will fail

  10. Demand or supply…what’s the hurdle? Catchment Area Profile Airport Competition Monitor Activity Trends Market Capture Local & Itinerant User Survey Market Potential Facility Benchmarking Local Business Survey Facility Inventory Tenant Aircraft Purchase Plans Financial Position/ Funding

  11. Runway Requirements… • Define Critical Aircraft • Part 91, Part 91K, Part 135 operations • Minimum Standards/Insurance Long Range Jet Large Jet Midsize Jet Light Jet VLJ Note: Assumes MTOW, ISA, Sea Level

  12. Impact on Airside Planning Standards… • Re-visit Airport Role in State System Plan & NPIAS • Community Implications • On-Airport Land Use (Non-precision approaches) • Financial & Funding Considerations

  13. Case Study 1 (Dayton Wright Bros)… • Benefit Cost Analysis • Removal of 590 ft. displaced threshold allowing for full use of 5,000 foot Runway 20 • Full ILS for Runway 20 • Primary beneficiaries B-II design category jets Displaced Threshold

  14. Case Study 2 (Gnoss Field)… • The current runway length of 3,300 feet limits the ability of current Airport tenants to operate aircraft at optimum weight for maximum efficiency • The Airport needs to comply with current FAA standards for Runway Safety Areas (RSAs) 4,400 feet Critical Aircraft: Citation 525 1,100-foot runway/ taxiway extension

  15. Runway Approach Lighting… • Business and corporate operators want ability to operate at night under instrument conditions • Land availability considerations • MALSR gives CAT I type capability • MALSF option based on land availability, could affect minimums

  16. Navigational Aids… • Precision Approaches • ILS- (Glide Slope, Localiser-DME, Marker Beacons) • GPS – Global Position System • RNP – Required Navigation Performance • Non-Precision Approaches • VOR – Very High Frequency Omni-range • RNAV - Area Navigation (GPS-LNAV, VNAV, LPV) • LAAS (Local Area Augmentation System) • WAAS (Wide Area Augmentation System) • Radar Approaches • PAR – Precision Approach Radar • ASR – Airport Surveillance Radar

  17. The fuel dichotomy… • Jet aircraft account for 17 percent of general aviation hours flown but almost 75 percent of total fuel consumed • Greater emphasis on JetA and full service fueling • Should airport allow non FBO tenants to establish self fueling capabilities? • Price of fuel should reflect level of service 14 gph Total Fuel Consumption (2008, in gallons) Piston 94 gph Turboprop 365 gph Business Jet Source: FAA

  18. A more demanding customer base… Hangars (Long Term/ Overnight) Oxygen/ Nitrogen Service Fuel Tanks Towing Equipment Jet Aircraft Maintenance Extended Hours of Operation Services/ Facilities Aircraft De-Icing Business Center/ Wifi Courtesy Transportation/ Ground Access Pilot/Crew Lounge Weather/ Flight Planning Facility Customer Check In Counter/ Lounge Area

  19. THANK YOU!!!! Contact: Dil Gruffydd dgruffydd@landrum-brown.com 513-305-2264 (cell) 513-530-1226 (office) Contact: Monica Geygan mgeygan@landrum-brown.com 513-319-8299 (cell) 513-530-1207 (office)