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Explore the essential roles of spot and futures markets, as well as exchanges in asset transfer, pricing, risk management, and market development, focusing on energy products. Learn how liquidity, forward curves, and electronic trading impact market efficiency.
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Role of Spot Market • Actual transfer of assets for capital between actual users • Present demand-supply matching leads to price discovery • Commodity spot markets require physical infrastructure to transfer / store goods • Price Discovery Process • Auctions for spot markets • Real time Order matching
Role of Futures Market • Risk transfer platform from actual users to traders /speculators • Helps hedger concentrate on core activity • Long term price signals helps • Entrepreneurs, Corporate managers in • Investment / capital expenditure decisions • Locking price of future production & hedging input costs- credit enhancement • Risk Mitigation - Cost of Capital reduced No forwards market without robust spot price discovery
Role of an Exchange • Anonymous auction platform • Price Discovery by matching of demand-supply • Neutrality - conflict of interest avoided • Transparent real time, pan-geographic price dissemination • Benchmark reference price • Liquidity to participants Thermometer of underlying sector temperature
Role of an Exchange • Standardized specifications - contract structure • Standard margining system • Eliminates credit rating • Risk Management in a volatile market • Robust Clearing & Settlement systems - counter party credit risk absorbed • Fair,Safe, orderly market - rigorous financial standards and surveillance procedures
Products in Energy Markets • Petroleum products • Crude oil, Gasoline, Gasoil, Heating Oil • Natural Gas • Electricity • Coal • Synthetics – spark spreads, crack spreads , • Weather Index • Energy Indices
Market Development Futures Exchange OTC Markets Market Maturity Auction markets Multiple buyers & sellers Time To be an energy hub all these markets are required
Importance of Forward Curve and Liquidity • Forward Curve allows producers and consumers to get long term price signals • For capital intensive projects long term price signals is important to financial closure • Liquidity reduces credit risk of the contract • Allows the risk of the system to be transferred out of the power sector • Socially optimal to transfer risk from risk averse to entities with high risk appetite
Electronic Commodity Trading—Indian experience • Well established robust futures market • Electricity trading is unique but still follows the laws of supply and demand • Log normal price behavior • Credit risk issues are central to successful design of Indian power market
SPAN Trading System Risk management PRISM Clearing& Settlement Technology VSAT Leased line Trading Terminal Trading Terminal internet Trading Terminal Linkage to Clearing bank Linkage to Warehouse Linkage to Depositories Exchange Architecture