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Gasification's Impact on Energy Costs: A Long-term Analysis

This summary delves into long-term price projections for natural gas, oil, and coal, examining key factors like $/mmBtu prices and industry trends. Learn about the evolution of gasification options, domestic supply, and incentives influencing the energy sector from 1990-2005.

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Gasification's Impact on Energy Costs: A Long-term Analysis

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  1. Colossal Mistake—Long-term Price Projections $/mmBtu $15 $12 Natural Gas Oil Coal $65/bbl $9 $40/bbl $6 $3 $2.31 EIA AEO1996 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

  2. Gasification Gasification—Domestic Supply Option

  3. EPACT2005 Summary of Gasification Incentives

  4. Loan Guarantees: Access to Capital & Lower Cost Gas Costs Energy Costs 14 12 $/MMBtu Cent/KWh 12 10 8.5 10 8 Capital + O&M 8 5.8 6 Capital 6 4.6 4.4 + O&M 3.9 4 Fuel 4 Capital Capital Capital + + Fuel + O&M O&M Fuel O&M 2 2 Conversion Fuel Fuel Fuel - IGCC SCPC NGCC NGCC IGCC with Loan Guarantee Syngas with Loan Guarantee Natural Gas Price ($6 gas) ($10 gas)

  5. No Appropriations needed under 3Party Covenant Provides Receives -- 80% loan guarantee -- Lower cost of capital -- Low risk scoring Federal Government -- Lower electricity/gas rates -- Jobs and development State PUC -- Assured revenue stream -- Full Cost Recovery -- 20% equity -- EPC warranties Owner

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