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Pertemuan 10

Pertemuan 10. Pendugaan Parameter (II). Matakuliah : I0014 / Biostatistika Tahun : 2005 Versi : V1 / R1. Learning Outcomes. Pada akhir pertemuan ini, diharapkan mahasiswa akan mampu : Mahasiswa dapat menghitung pendugaan nilai tengah populasi (C3)

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Pertemuan 10

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  1. Pertemuan 10 Pendugaan Parameter (II) Matakuliah : I0014 / Biostatistika Tahun : 2005 Versi : V1 / R1

  2. Learning Outcomes Pada akhir pertemuan ini, diharapkan mahasiswa akan mampu : • Mahasiswa dapat menghitung pendugaan nilai tengah populasi (C3) • Mahasiswa dapat menghitung pendugaan ragam populasi (C3) • Mahasiswa dapat menghitung pendugaan proporsi populasi (C3)

  3. Outline Materi • Pendugaan Nilai tengah • Pendugaan Ragam • Pendugaan Proporsi

  4. Point Estimate A single-valued estimate. A single element chosen from a sampling distribution. Conveys little information about the actual value of the population parameter, about the accuracy of the estimate. Confidence Interval or Interval Estimate An interval or range of values believed to include the unknown population parameter. Associated with the interval is a measure of theconfidencewe have that the interval does indeed contain the parameter of interest. <<ISI>> Jenis Penduga

  5. We define as the z value that cuts off a right-tail area of under the standard normal curve. (1-) is called the confidence coefficient.  is called the error probability, and (1-)100% is called the confidence level. S t a n d a r d N o r m a l D i s t r i b u t i o n 0 . 4 0 . 3 ) z ( 0 . 2 f 0 . 1 0 . 0 - 5 - 4 - 3 - 2 - 1 0 1 2 3 4 5 a (1 - )100% Conf idence Int erval: Z s ± x z a n 2 <<ISI>> Selang Kepercayaan (1-a )100%

  6. A (1-)100% confidence interval for  when  is not known (assuming a normally distributed population): where is the value of the t distribution with n-1 degrees of freedom that cuts off a tail area of to its right. <<ISI>> Selang Kepercayaan untuk bila  Tidak Diketahui

  7. <<ISI>> Penduga Selang untuk Proporsi

  8. A (1-)100% confidence interval for the population variance * (where the population is assumed normal): where is the value of the chi-square distribution with n-1 degrees of freedom that cuts off an area to its right and is the value of the distribution that cuts off an area of to its left (equivalently, an area of to its right). <<ISI>> Selang Kepercayaan untuk Ragam * Note: Because the chi-square distribution is skewed, the confidence interval for the population variance is not symmetric

  9. <<ISI>> Selang Kepercayaan untuk Beda Dua Mean Populasi A large-sample (1-)100% confidence interval for the difference between two population means, 1- 2 , using independent random samples:

  10. When sample sizes are small (n1< 30 or n2< 30 or both), and both populations are normally distributed, the test statistic has approximately a t distribution with degrees of freedom given by (round downward to the nearest integer if necessary): <<ISI>>

  11. A pooled estimate of the common population variance, based on a sample variance s12 from a sample of size n1 and a sample variance s22 from a sample of size n2 is given by: The degrees of freedom associated with this estimator is: df = (n1+n2-2) <<ISI>> Pendugaan Ragam Gabungan The pooled estimate of the variance is a weighted average of the two individual sample variances, with weights proportional to the sizes of the two samples. That is, larger weight is given to the variance from the larger sample.

  12. <<ISI>> Selang Kepercayaan menggunakan Ragam Gabungan A (1-) 100% confidence interval for the difference between two population means, 1- 2 , using independent random samples and assuming equal population variances:

  13. <<ISI>> Selang Kepercayaan Beda Dua Proporsi A (1-) 100% large-sample confidence interval for the difference between two population proportions:

  14. <<ISI>> Selang kepercayaan Rasio Dua Ragam

  15. << CLOSING>> • Sampai saat ini Anda telah mempelajari pendugaan titik dan selang, baik untuk satu populasi maupun dua populasi • Untuk dapat lebih memahami penggunaan pendugaan tersebut, cobalah Anda pelajari materi penunjang, dan mengerjakan latihan

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