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This analysis discusses the future of health spending in the U.S. despite the challenges posed by health reform. While optimistic projections suggest continued growth in expenditure, the reality remains complex, particularly with anticipated cuts to Medicare physician payments. Under the current law, a significant reduction of 29.4% in January 2012 is expected, affecting overall health spending. A more realistic scenario indicates that if these cuts are avoided, spending would escalate further. Understanding these projections is crucial for policymakers and stakeholders.
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1.3d | This pattern will continue even using the most optimistic projections of health spending under health reform Percentageof total blog.american.com Note: figures shown represent projected spending under current law, i.e., assuming Medicare physician payments are cut 29.4 percent in January 2012. Under a more realistic alternative scenario, physician fees would not be cut; therefore, health spending would be higher.
