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This report by Mr. Gregory Leung discusses recent economic developments in the Pearl River Delta (PRD), projecting GDP growth for Hong Kong, Guangzhou (GZ), and Shenzhen (SZ) from 2011 to 2020 based on data from earlier decades. It highlights the emergence of modern heavy industries and service sectors, the competitive rise of Shenzhen as a financial center, and the declining role of Hong Kong in the region's economic framework. The report also outlines future opportunities for businesses looking beyond Hong Kong amidst evolving industry dynamics.
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Recent Economic Developments in Pearl River Delta (PRD) Mr Gregory Leung 16 May 2013
GDP Projection of HK, GZ, Shenzhen (SZ) from 2011 to 2020 RMB 100 million GZ SZ HK * The estimated figures are projected by the economic data from 2000 to 2010
Projection of GDP per capita of HK, GZ and SZ from 2010 to 2020 GZ RMB ` SZ HK * The estimated figures are projected by the economic data from 2000 to 2009
Recent Developments (2) • Encourage emergence of modern heavy industries, such as car-manufacturing, petro-chemicals, ship-building, steel & metal industries • Facilitate SMEs to link up and form clusters of modern industries
Recent Developments (3) • Encourage the development of modern service industries as a base for further upgrading of the manufacturing sector
Recent Developments (3) • Shenzhen has become a financial centre ranking after Shanghai and Beijing in the Mainlands • With the decline in overseas market, finished products are now geared towards the domestic market
Recent Developments (4) • Plan to invest heavily on infrastructure developments in the remote parts of Guangdong in the next five years
Impact on Hong Kong (1) • The importance of Hong Kong as a contributing factor to the development of PRD is declining and is expected to continue to decline, because: • Hong Kong has inadequate experience in research-based, innovative nor heavy industries
Impact on Hong Kong (1) • The traditional ‘Front shop, back factory’ operation model is breaking up • Shenzhen is competing with Hong Kong in the provision of financial services to the local industries
Impact on Hong Kong (2) • Recent focus has been on the facilitation of the import of Hong Kong services sectors into PRD Pilot schemes: Hengqin (橫琴), Qianhai (前海) and Nansha (南沙)
Future Opportunities (1) With the focus on the development of a modern manufacturing sector, local businesses may have to look beyond Hong Kong for partners