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Assessing U.S. Mission in Afghanistan Post-Bin Laden's Death

This study examines if the U.S. achieved its goal in Afghanistan after Osama Bin Laden's demise. Students' opinions on the accomplishment of the mission are analyzed based on political affiliations, gender, and grade, challenging USA Today's 45% claim. The research, conducted at MTHS, reveals a discrepancy in perceptions among juniors and seniors, debunking the newspaper's assertion. The analysis and hypothesis test results point to a majority belief that the U.S. mission remains unfulfilled despite Bin Laden's death.

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Assessing U.S. Mission in Afghanistan Post-Bin Laden's Death

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Presentation Transcript

  1. With the recent death of Osama Bin Laden, did the United States accomplish their mission in Afghanistan?

  2. Introduction • Why research: this question • Longest war in American History • Current Political Issue • Curious to See Students opinion • Didn’t believe USA Today’s statistic • Bin Laden’s death sparked the question • He was a main goal of U.S.

  3. Introduction • Mr. Porter’s class, Mr. Miller, Ms. Salazar, Forensic Science Class, Ms. Preztak’s Spanish Class • We planned on analyzing it by • Accomplishment of mission, Political party, gender, grade, and support of Obama’s reelection • Then, Choosing the most interesting parameters to analyze

  4. Summary of Experiment • Cluster sample • Sample size 71 • Population • Only Juniors and Seniors • Chose a survey, not an experiment • Biases • Based upon Class surveyed • Racial Prejudice • Chose Additional Questions based on what we thought would be interesting

  5. Analysis • Majority of every political party agree • Strangely, a greater % of Republicans believe mission accomplished than Democrats • Against Political Party Lines

  6. Analysis • 89% of Republicans surveyed along party lines • Only 70% of Democrats surveyed along party lines • Independent and Other were about split

  7. Analysis • Wide Gap in Seniors. Almost all believe Not Accomplished. 60% difference • Juniors have a narrow difference of only 12%. Almost exactly the same as USA Today’s statistic

  8. Analysis • Observed has a much greater difference between accomplished and not accomplished • Juniors and Seniors surveyed obviously not following USA Today’s Claim

  9. Hypothesis Test • Proportion Test • Ho P = .45 (claim) • Ha P .45 • a= .05 • Critical Values= +/- 1.96 • Test Statistic 4.539

  10. Hypothesis Test • Reject Ho • At the 5% level of significance, there is enough evidence to reject the claim • The large majority of MTHS juniors and seniors believe the U.S. goal in Afghanistan is not complete even though Bin Laden is dead. • USA Today’s claim is not true

  11. Conclusion • With the recent death of Osama Bin Laden, did the United States accomplish their mission in Afghanistan? • According to MTHS Juniors and Seniors, the U.S. has not accomplished its mission in Afghanistan • USA Today’s claim of 45% is False • No Outliers

  12. Potential Problems • Surveyed more seniors than juniors • Surveyed more girls than boys • Limitations • Sample size of 71 • Didn’t sample all juniors and seniors • Only sampled in MTHS not other schools • Other Schools could have provided interesting data • Next time, we could fix these

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