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MPU September 100901

MPU September 100901. Figure 1. Repo rate with uncertainty bands Per cent, quarterly averages. Source: The Riksbank. Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast. Figure 2. GDP with uncertainty bands Annual percentage change, seasonally-adjusted data.

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MPU September 100901

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  1. MPU September100901

  2. Figure 1. Repo rate with uncertainty bandsPer cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank's forecast.

  3. Figure 2. GDP with uncertainty bandsAnnual percentage change, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  4. Figure 3. CPI with uncertainty bandsAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  5. Figure 4. CPIF with uncertainty bandsAnnual percentage change Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  6. Figure 5. GDPQuarterly changes in per cent, annual rate, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  7. Figure 6. UnemploymentPercentage of the labour force, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast, 15-74 years.

  8. Figure 7. Labour force and number of employedThousands, seasonally-adjusted data Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast, 15-74 year.

  9. Figure 8. CPI, CPIF and CPIF excluding energyAnnual percentage change Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  10. Figure 9. Real repo ratePer cent, quarterly averages Source: The Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  11. Figure 10. TCW-weighted exchange rate Index, 18.11.92 = 100 Source: The Riksbank Note. Broken lines represent the Riksbank’s forecast.

  12. Figure 11. Oil price, Brent crudeUSD per barrel Sources: Intercontinental Exchange and the Riksbank

  13. Figure 12. Development of GDP in different regions and countriesQuarterly changes in per cent, annual rate, seasonally adjusted data Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Eurostat, Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  14. Figure 13. Comparison of recovery in Sweden, the euro area and USAGDP level, index 2007 quarter 4 = 100 Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Eurostat, SCB and the Riksbank

  15. Figure 14. Estimated gapsPercentage deviation from the HP trend Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  16. Table A1. Repo rate forecastPer cent, quarterly average values Source: The Riksbank

  17. Table A2. Inflation, annual average Annual percentage change Note. CPIF is CPI with fixed interest rate. HICP is an EU harmonised index of consumer prices which does not include household mortgage costs. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  18. Table A3. Summary of financial forecastsAnnual average, per cent, unless otherwise specified * Per cent of GDP Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  19. Table A4. International conditionsAnnual percentage change Note. The Swedish export market index is calculated as a weighted average of the imports of the 15 countries which are the largest recipients of Swedish exports. They receive approximately 70 per cent of Swedish exports. Sources: Eurostat, IMF, Intercontinental Exchange, OECD and the Riksbank

  20. Table A5. GDP by expenditureAnnual percentage change, unless otherwise specified *Contribution to GDP growth, percentage points Note. The figures show actual growth rates that have not been calendar-adjusted, unless otherwise stated. NA is the National Accounts. Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  21. Table A6. Production and employmentAnnual percentage change, unless otherwise stated * Per cent of labour force Sources: Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

  22. Table A7. Wages and unit labour cost for the economy as a wholeAnnual percentage change, calendar-adjusted data * Contribution to the increase in labour costs, percentage points. Note. NMO is the National Mediation Office’s short-term wage statistics and NA is the National Accounts. Labour cost per hour is defined as the sum of actual wages, collective charges and wage taxes divided by the seasonally adjusted total number of hours worked. Unit labour cost is defined as labour cost divided by seasonally adjusted value added at constant prices. Sources: National Mediation Office, Statistics Sweden and the Riksbank

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