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Planning for the Future Nicety or Necessity?

Planning for the Future Nicety or Necessity?. Planning. A collaborative process to establish a mutually agreed upon plan that we are all committed to fulfill for the long term viability of our region. Or. How we make our dreams come true!. Keys. Collaborative Everyone Citizens

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Planning for the Future Nicety or Necessity?

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  1. Planning for the FutureNicety or Necessity?

  2. Planning A collaborative process to establish a mutually agreed upon plan that we are all committed to fulfill for the long term viability of our region.

  3. Or How we make our dreams come true!

  4. Keys Collaborative • Everyone • Citizens • Professionals • Elected Officials • Military • And others

  5. Keys Mutually • Buy in • Input • Part of the process • No Dictates

  6. Keys Long Term • Today • Tomorrow • Future Reality

  7. Anchors • Military

  8. AF Army USMC USMC

  9. Anchors • Military • Agriculture • Military Support • Tourism • Quality of Life • Climate • Recreational Opportunities

  10. EconomicAnchors Today, same as tomorrow?

  11. EconomicAnchors Protect The Anchors of the Future

  12. How and Why? Growth will Occur Change will Come

  13. Onslow Today 2.3% Average Yearly Growth

  14. Onslow Today Using 2% Average Yearly Growth

  15. Caveats • Assumes same growth • 2000-2007 was without the Growth Spurt • 2010-2020 could see reduction in Force • Assumes no out-migration

  16. Growth Impact • Assume 2% Per Year • 37,061 Increase in population • 3.1 Average Family Size (City) • 11,955 Homes Needed • Assume 6 units per Acre • 1,993 Acres Needed • + 1,000 Acres for schools, roads, businesses • 2,993 Acres needed for new population

  17. Growth Impact • Assume 4% Per Year • 74,122 Increase in population • 3.1 Average Family Size (City) • 23,910Homes Needed • Assume 6 units per Acre • 3,985 Acres Needed • + 1,000 Acres for schools, roads, businesses • 4,985 Acres needed for new population

  18. NC’s Eastern Region Among the most productive agricultural lands in the State

  19. Reality Check 8,600 Acres Converted from Agriculture to Development 2002 – 2007 (Onslow Farm and Forestry Study)

  20. Onslow 456,733 Acres Without municipalities • 142,128 Acres Military • 516 Acres NC State • 43,590 Forest Acres • 175,184 Acres Agricultural • 95,313 Acres Developed

  21. Land Use Plans • Must Protect the Bases • Agricultural Land Uses Protect the Bases • Decisions must Protect the Bases

  22. Growth • Taxes … • Services … • Home Values

  23. Onslow County • 2010 Median House Value • $127,000

  24. Taxes Produced

  25. Tax Neutral • Equal to Services Negative • Less than Services Positive • More than Services

  26. Residential PropertiesCity of Jacksonville 315 3% 11,851 Parcels 22% 58% 16% Slide #26 Slide #26

  27. Why Did Florida Grow?

  28. 1950’s & 1960’s Florida Land Sales Marketing 15 Dollars Down 15 Dollars a Month 15 Years

  29. Abundant Land • 38,255,670 Acres Available

  30. Great Climate • Mild Winters • No Snow • Reasonable Summer

  31. Air Conditioning Mosquito Control

  32. Political Climate • Friendly to Development • Progress Oriented • Tax Base Increase Sought • Land Sales • No State Income Tax

  33. Quality of Life • Educational Facilities • Medical Facilities • Recreational Opportunities • Natural Resources

  34. National News • Cuban Missile Crisis • Cuban Migration • Hurricanes • Disney World

  35. October 1, 1971

  36. Interstates • I-75 • I-95 • I-10 • I-4

  37. Airports • Miami • Tampa • Orlando • Ft Myers

  38. Southwest Florida International Airport Midfield Terminal: • Opened 2005 • $437 Million • 3 Concourses • 28 Gates • Designed for 10 Million Passengers a Year

  39. National Economy • Baby Boomers • Great Wealth • 2nd Homes • Investments

  40. Baby Boomers • Silver-Haired Lining

  41. Results: Florida Housing • 1002 Units per day 2000-2006

  42. Results: SW Florida Housing • 124 New Units per Day

  43. Results: Lee County

  44. Results: Collier County

  45. Results National Housing Crisis

  46. Results Lee & Collier Foreclosures Homes and Condos 2008-2010 About 72,000 Foreclosures

  47. Results 72,000 X 2.5 People Per Household 180,000 Population Impact Impact to the Tax Base

  48. The Future Florida 2060 • Research Project • 1000 Friends of Florida • Geo Planning Center of University of Florida

  49. Issues

  50. Issues

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