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The Rise of China and Triangular relationships among Washington, Beijing, and Taipei

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    1. The Rise of China and Triangular relationships among Washington, Beijing, and Taipei Tsai Jung-hsiang National Chung Cheng University

    2. Sino-U.S. Relationships 1. Cooperation: War on terror North Korea 2. Conflict Spy plane crashed in China Tibet Currency

    3. Realism ????????,Organski ? Kugler ????????????????????????????????????(?????),??????????????????????,???????????????????????????????????????????

    4. Realism Randall Schweller ?????????????????????????,??????????????????????? Robert Gilpin ???????,???????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????????

    5. Revisionist or Status Quo State Changing international norms or rules to favor their national interests (realism or neo-realism). Status Quo State: Obeying international norms or rules (liberalism or neo-liberalism).

    6. Realism Balancing China and ASEAN China and Africa China and EU China and Latin America

    7. Realism Bandwagoning Six Party Talk War on terror Global Warming

    8. ????? ???????????(????????)??????????????????(reputational interest),????????????,????????????????,?????????????????(Ross 2002)??????????????????????????????,???????????,????????????,?????????????????????????????????,????????????????????????????????????????,???????????????(Ross 2002)?????,????????????????????????,?????????????????

    9. ????? ????,????????????????????????,????????????????? Ross (2002, 55)????????Dean Acheson ?1950(??)?????????,????????????????????????(Okinawa) ????????,????????????????????????????

    10. Comments ??,???????,?????????????????????????,??????????????,???????????????????????????????(see Christensen 2002; Shambaugh 1996& 2000),???????,??????????????(??????????)???,??????????,???????,???????????(Christensen 2002)???,?????????????,??????????????????,?????????????????????,???????????????????????????????????????????????????????

    11. ???? ???????????????????,????????????????,???????????????Nathan (2000, 99)??,??????????????,??????????????????;?????????,????????????;?????????????????????,????????????????????,?????????????,??????????????????(Nathan 2000)? ???,????????????,????????????????

    12. Comments ??????????,?????????,?????????,?????????????(East Asian regional hegemon),??????????????????,?????,????????????????(Tucker 2002) Tucker(2002) ??,??????????????????????????????;???????????????????????????;?????????????????????????;????????????????????????,????????????????????

    13. ?????????? ????????????????????????????????????????,??????????(Christensen 2002, 20)?????????????????????????????????????????????,??????????????????,?????????????????????????????????????????????????,??????????????(Christensen 2001a;2001c)??????????????????,?????????????????,??????????????????????????????????????(Christensen 2001a)?

    14. ?????????? ??,??????????????,???????????????????????????????(Christensen 1996; 2001a, 34; Lampton 2001)?????,?????????,?????????????(??????????)??????????????????????????,??????????????????????(????????)???,??????????????????????????,?????????????????(Wachman 2002)?

    15. Soft Power (Constructivism) Diplomacy Cultural Exchanges Ideas and Perceptions

    16. Hard Power & Soft Power How can soft power affect the structure of hard power? If soft power works (the carrots), why does China have to use the sticks (missiles) to threaten Taiwan?

    17. Taiwan President Chen Shui-bian Pushing the envelop? Pushing China and US to co-supervise the Taiwan issue?

    18. Taiwan President Ma Ying-jeou Oliver branch to China (ECFA) Advantage and disadvantage Jealous USA (Beef Products)

    19. China Domestic issues: Corruption Social Gap Global Warming Unemployment Power transition

    20. Cross-Strait Relationship Different systems (democracy and post-totalitarianism) Different languages or the same language Same heritage (Han Chinese)

    21. Cultural Exchanges Travel to Taiwan and to China: Call-in shows and Chiang Kai-shek Study in Taiwan and in China: More students will come to Taiwan and More students will go to China

    22. New Triangular Relationship USA China Taiwan