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Strategic Report 2013 on programme implementation 2007-2013

Strategic Report 2013 on programme implementation 2007-2013. REGIO B2 – Evaluation and European Semester. Key points. The 2013 report is based on 27 national strategic reports ( NSRs ). Key messages

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Strategic Report 2013 on programme implementation 2007-2013

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  1. Strategic Report 2013 on programme implementation 2007-2013 REGIO B2 – Evaluation and European Semester

  2. Key points The 2013 report isbased on 27 national strategic reports (NSRs). Key messages • CP ismaking important contributions to growth and jobs and towards the objectives set • Implementation has acceleratedwithout important outputs • The policy has shown a capacity to adapt to changingneeds • Significant outputs and results are stillexpected … but needredoubling of delivery efforts as there are risks in some MS and someThemes

  3. Focus of NSRs 2012 • Assessing impact of the economic and financial crisis on the programmes and response • Contribution to Europe 2020 and Growth Compact • Programmes implementation – evidence on the performance and effectiveness • Conclusions and input to the next round

  4. I. Impact and response to the crisis

  5. Crisis Impacts - I • Timing and severity of shocksvary in the EU27 … • "… crisis has emphasisedprevious structural weaknesses …" • Divergent views on relevance for Cohesionpolicy • Northern MS (RCE): CP providesuseful, stable and strategicplatform; strategystill relevant • EU12: Main challenge isdelivery of unprecedentedinvestment programmes • Southern MS: Macro economicimbalancesdominate, with CP seen as essential support to investment • Signs of increasingregionaldisparitites

  6. Crisis Impacts - II • Decreasing demand/delivery: Innovative SME measures, size of projects reduced, longer delivery periods, ICB and TA • Increasing demand: Labour Market measures, access to finance, RTD Infra (EU12) • Stress on capacity in administrationsto deliver • Conflicts / uncertainties / delaysarisinglinked to changingframeworkconditions, structural reforms and austerity programmes

  7. Crisis responses • Thematic reprogramming: • 2012 Youth / SME Action teams (8 MS) • National midtermreview (FR) • National Performance reserve (PL) • Italy – Cohesion Action plan 2011 • Crisisresponses – PT, EL • Anti-Crisis measures • Reduced national co-financing

  8. Thematic reprogramming overview2007 – Dec 2012 • € 35.7 bnreallocatedformally by MS / Commission between 86 themes (10.3% of all 3 funds) • By FUND • ERDF/CF – 30.2 bn out of 270 bn - 11.2% • ESF – 5.5 bn out of 76.6 bn - 7.1% • It iscomprised of • Transferswithin major themes … i.e. betweendifferent RTDI categories • And between major themes … transfersfrom "Human capital" to "Labour Market"

  9. Thematic reprogramming by sector

  10. Thematic reprogramming by MS

  11. Anti-crisis measures • Increase EU advancepayments 2009 welcomed; • Expendituredeclarationrelated to unapproved Major projects; • Simplification of national / progrmameprocedures: i.e. payment of advances to projects • Reduction in National public co-financing (last resort) – Top up for programme countries

  12. Co-finance reprogrammingreduction of National effort • Starting point: €347 bn EU + €143 bn National public • National public now €128 bnat end 2012 €15 bnlower (-10.6%) • Concentratedmainly in MS in EL, ES, IT, IE, LT, LV, PT, RO - countries severelyaffected by the crisis • Objective is to securewithCohesionpolicyinvestmentwithlower national co-financing (Separately, results of the mid-term verification of additionality 2007-2013 - COM(2013) 104 – based on data 2007-2010 - Link)

  13. Rates of reduction in National Public co-financing – end 2012

  14. II. Contribution to Europe 2020 and Compact for Growth

  15. II. Contribution to Europe 2020 and Compact for Growth • In their reports MS recognise the importance of Cohesion Policy in support of growth and jobs across multiple fields, i.e. ESF support for essential labour marketresponsesduringcrisis and other structural reforms • Libsonearmarkingexercise: isstill relevant under the Smart and Inclusive pillars of Europe 2020 • Compact for Growth: Several reports referexplicitly to the Compact and many more to importance of Cohesion Policy for growth and job creation.

  16. Examples of EUROPE 2020 contributions from MS - I Cohesionpolicyplays a central role for many MS in sustaininggrowthenhancinginvestments. ERDF has been instrumental in • Support to RTD and Innovation • Support to SME and efforts to improveaccess to finance • SustainableEnergy (energyefficiency esp.) • Essential support to structural reforms in Rail, water sector, education and health.

  17. Examples of EUROPE 2020 contributions from MS – II ESF has been a key tool to preserveemployment and containunemployment Specificexamplesfrom MS reports include • Youthunemployment • Supportingmoderisation of education system • Reforms of active labour marketpolicies • Supporting public administration reforms

  18. Lisbon earmarking • Stillapplies … and the themesfeatured are very relevant for growth and jobs • Commission istrackingit for all MS • In Convergence programmes the rate of selection of Lisbonearmarkedprojectsisbehind the rate for non-Lisbon – 67% vs 76% • In RCE programmes "Lisbon" projectselectionisahead – 77% vs 75%

  19. Convergence Obj. 2007-11Rate of selection of the Lisbon and Non Lisbon priorities

  20. RCE Obj. 2007-11Rate of selection of the Lisbon vs Non Lisbon priorities

  21. 2012 Compact for Growth • European Council June 2012 emphasised the role of Cohesionpolicy in the context of growth and jobs • Nearly 55 bn € in 2013 installments have now been committed - all EU budget commitmentsnowavailable to MS • Some MS stillfinalisingprojectselectionin 2013 • 2012 Youth / SME Action teams have helped 8 MS to accelerated & refocus on these (and other) themes • OverallthematicReprogramming 2007-2012 = 35.6 bn €

  22. III. Evidence of performance and effectiveness

  23. III. Evidence of performance and effectiveness • MS reports provideoftendetailed narratives of financialtracking / performance in National context • In addition to these qualitative assessments the Commission has lookedatavailablemeasures of implementationthatcanbeaggregated • ERDF/CF Coreindicators - ESF Beneficairy data • Evaluation results • Payment data • Project selection data

  24. III. Evidence of performance and effectiveness – Key messages • ERDF/CF: important increases in reported outputs / resultsin 2011 compared to previousyears • ESF High number of participations – 15 million per yearin 2010 and 2011 – covering all target groups • Interimpaymentdeclaredamount to 42% of availablecredits (01/2013) • Selection of projects @end 2011 stoodat 246 bn € - 71% (Latestestimateis 304 bn € - 88% at end 2012)

  25. Core Indicators : Key Results – ERDF/CF Achieved (see Factsheets) Programmes accelerating, significant progress against nearly all core indicators in 2011 (2012) • Job Creation - 400 000 in 2007-11 (187 000 in 2011 alone) of which • 15 600 RTD jobs • 167 000 jobs in SME • 53 240 RTD projects • 53 160 Startups • 1.9 m served by Broadband • 1 222 MW of renewableelectricity • 2.6 m served by drinking water; 5.7 m connected to waste water treatment

  26. Use of core indicators

  27. Job Creation reported by MS

  28. Job Creation commentary • "Direct, permanent jobs created (FTE) thatled to increase in total N° jobs in beneficiary" • There are clearlagsbetweenselection, spending and a resultssuch as jobs created … jobs normallyrealised / reported on projectcompletion • This is a snapshot … next photo in Junethisyear • Strongasymeteries in MS reporting… some MS report high job creationN°s… someunderreporting? • REGIO expert evaluation network lookingat MS practices to betterunderstand and help improvereliability

  29. ESF: Progress Achieved • Key data on ESF support - based on Beneficiary data • Gender • Employmentstatus • Education level • Vulnerable groups • Age • and evaluations

  30. ESF Supported participants – employment status

  31. ESF : Education attainment of participants

  32. Allocated (2007-2011) vs Paymentspresented to Comm (to 01/2013)

  33. Allocated vs Payments NB: The cut off dates are different – end-2011 vs 01/2013 • Translatingallocations intospendingisuneven: ratio • 42% of budget declared in interimpayments • Strong variations across MS • With 32 Monthsleft to end 2015 there are growingrisks for some MS thatspendingwill not take place and not result in benefits

  34. 1. Project Selectionaggregate trends

  35. Allocated to projects 2010 - 2011

  36. Allocated 2007-2012 ??

  37. Project Selection 2011 - major themes

  38. Project selection 2007-11 – Inno &RTD

  39. Project selection 2007-11 – Inno &RTD

  40. Project selection 2007-11 – RAIL

  41. Project selection 2007-11 – Social Inclusion

  42. Project selection 2007-11 – Institutional capacity Building

  43. Thematic trends • Data from end-2011 already 15 Monthsold … long time lag • Persistent sectoraldelaysin some MS clear • Rail, • Energy (renewables), • Broadband, • Capacity Building, Etc; • Growingsigns of over / underprogramming not reflected in formalreprogramming;

  44. III. Evidence of performance and effectiveness – conclusions : • A lot done … muchyet to do !! • Important volume of projectselectionneeded in some MS in 2012-13 • Risks in certain MS in specificthematic areas, I&RTD, IT services, Rail, Other transport, Renewables, Inst. Capacity building • High focus stillneeded on implementation 2007-13 – atriskwithlaunch of new programmes?

  45. 13 Thematic factsheets - contents • Outline of activitiessupportedundereachbroadtheme(the themesapproximate to someextent the Thematic Objectives 2014-2020) • Examples of 70 projects on the groundacross the 13 themes – 45 from the National Reports • Financial input … projectselection by theme and code – EU average and National rates • Outputs and results … coreindicators ERDF/ CF … Beneficaries of ESF …

  46. 13 Thematic Factsheets • (1) Innovation and R&D • (2) ICT • (3) Other SME and business support • (4) Energy • (5) Environment • (6) Rail • (7) Road • (8) Other transport • (9) Urban and territorial development(Urban dimension, culture, heritage and tourism ETC, Macro regional and transnational ESF) • (10) Labour market • (11) Social inclusion and social infrastructure • (12) Human capital • (13) Institutional capacity building

  47. IV. Pointers for the future: conclusions - I Period 2007-2013 • Clear potential and recognition of CP contribution • … and flexibility in context of the crisis • Growing evidence of delivery • Significant implementation effort still required … from projects, intermediate bodies, MAs • Delays in important areas in some MS to be addressed • Exceptional reductions in national co-financing could be considered where needed, • - Targeting high priority areas • - Earmarking released national resources on growth

  48. IV. Pointers for the future: conclusions - I Period 2014-2020 • Some MS draw lessons for future priorities and flexibility in context of the crisis • need to avoiddelays in agreeing and launching new programmes • More evaluationsneeded of current programmes to help for future • ERDF /CF Coreindicators are useful but not robustlyused in all cases … AIR 2012 new opprotunity • Commission believes limitations of current programmes justifies key new elements in programming for the future

  49. References • Communciation Com (2013)210: • Staff Working document SEC(2013)1 • This Website: http://ec.europa.eu/regional_policy/how/policy/strategic_report_en.cfm • - National reports • - 13 ThematicFactsheets: • - Excel tables • Expert Evaluation Report 2012: LINK

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