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Economic Outlook for China in 2012: Key Trends and Challenges

The presentation by Fraser Mendel at the Asia Business Forum on January 31, 2012, explores China's economic landscape, highlighting key trends and challenges faced by the nation. With a population exceeding 1.3 billion and a GDP of $5.8 trillion, China observed a growth rate of 9.2% in 2011. However, it is experiencing slowing growth, real estate price declines, and increasing local government debt. The report also touches on the rise of urbanization, higher outbound investments, and the pressing issue of pollution.

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Economic Outlook for China in 2012: Key Trends and Challenges

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  1. Asia’sEconomic Outlookfor2012

  2. Asia Business Forum

  3. CHINA: Developing Trends in 2012Asia Business ForumJanuary 31, 2012 Fraser Mendel Davis Wright Tremaine LLP The views contained in this presentation are those of the author only, and do not necessarily reflect those of Davis Wright Tremaine LLP

  4. CHINA: Developing Trends in 2012 • News Update • Economic Trends • Q&A

  5. Population: 1,336,718,015 • Economic Growth: 9.2% in 2011 • GDP in 2010: $5.8 trillion • Literacy Rate: 92% • Higher Education: >2,000 universities & colleges, >6M students • High Investment in Infrastructure: Planes, trains & automobiles • 2nd Largest Consumer of Oil (after the US) CHINA: Developing Trends in 2012News Update China at a Glance

  6. Leadership Transition • Slowing economic growth • Local government debt situation • Falling real estate prices • Debt problems, slower growth, weak export demand may impact countries benefitting from China’s commodity demand boom • Tightening of domestic media reporting guidelines • Higher risk that inflation will exceed projections • 2012 likely to see increased outbound investment • Continued friction in the South China Sea • Augmented Gulf of Aden/Indian Ocean anti-piracy mission CHINA: Developing Trends in 2012News Update 10 Major Drivers in 2012

  7. CHINA: Developing Trends in 2012Economic Prospects Over half of China's people now live in urban areas

  8. CHINA: Developing Trends in 2012Economic Prospects

  9. CHINA: Developing Trends in 2012Economic Prospects

  10. CHINA: Developing Trends in 2012Economic Prospects

  11. Pollution will intensify before improving

  12. CHINA: Developing Trends in 2012Economic Prospects • Innovation, Technology and Patents Source: http://www.ubmtechinsights.com/Blog.aspx?id=3220&blogid=2147483890

  13. CHINA: Developing Trends in 2012Economic Prospects Outbound Investment

  14. CHINA: Developing Trends in 2012 Contact Information Fraser Mendel Email: frasermendel@dwt.com Phone: +1-206-757-8095 LinkedIn: http://www.linkedin.com/in/frasermendel

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