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This business plan outlines a strategic approach to generating new recurring earnings through the acquisition and development of strategic assets in the natural gas sector. Key goals include expanding the ETS pipeline network to capture high-growth power markets, improving gas market connectivity, and investing in power generation assets. The plan addresses various projects, such as the Alaska Highway Gas Pipeline and the Sun Devil Project, assessing opportunities, risks, and market dynamics to ensure successful execution in a competitive landscape.
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Asset Development 2002 Business Plan
Mission • Generate new recurring earnings by acquiring and developing strategic assets. • Goals • Expand ETS’ pipeline network- • To capture high growth power markets • To participate in the re-alignment of North American gas supplies • Improve gas market connectivity with new pipeline and storage assets • Selectively invest in on-system power generation assets
Natural gas pipeline strategies • Expand existing ETS pipelines in current growth markets. • Upside: Outstanding knowledge of market area, customer prospects, incremental expansions. • Downside: Limited growth opportunities, rising tide of competitors • Extend ETS pipelines into new growth markets • Upside: Situated in close proximity to high growth markets • Downside: Significant cost barriers to entry, highly competitive incumbents • Jointly develop new pipelines into growth markets. • Upside: Risk sharing, leverage access to markets and supplies • Downside: Finding motivated partners, diluted profits.
Alaska Highway Gas Pipeline Project Investment: $10+ billion • Concept • Develop a natural gas pipeline connecting the Alaskan North Slope to new and existing pipeline infrastructure in Canada • Develop new pipeline infrastructure projects to transport Alaskan gas to markets in continental US (lower 48 states) • Rationale • Existing legal and regulatory framework in the US and Canada • Last natural gas frontier • Organized pipeline industry response necessary to address enormous investment risks • Risks • Weak gas prices slow down project • Lack of ANS Producer support • Multiple competitors (OTT, UTT) • Timetable • 2007 in-service
Sun Devil Project Investment: $580 million • Concept • Loop TW’s San Juan lateral and develop a new lateral from the TW mainline to Phoenix • Rationale • Provide access to new markets for increasing Rocky Mountain gas supplies • Provide access to low cost Rocky Mountain gas supplies for rapidly growing gas-fired power generation sector in Phoenix • Risks • Collapse in San Juan – Permian gas price spreads • Competition from KMI’s Sonoran Pipeline • San Juan gas supplies: growing but not unlimited • Navajo ROW • El Paso vs. CD/FR customers • Status • Open season closed August 30 – 1.3 Bcf/d in bids received • Revised cost estimates in preparation • Negotiating 5 power generators as project anchors (4 under construction)
West, southeast gas pipeline expansions Evaluate the west and southeast regions and identify underserved markets, potential pipeline corridors, and jv opportunities • Market analysis: • Assess changing gas supplies into FGT • Declining production in the Gulf • New LNG imports • Evaluate growth in gas consumption • Analyze competing pipelines • Determine strengths + weaknesses • Timetable • Nov ’01 complete studies and present recommendations
Power generation strategies • Attract power developers to sites on or near ETS pipelines • Strengths: Excellent knowledge of local communities, gas infrastructure • Weaknesses: Deep understanding of evolving power market legal/regulatory/commercial structures • Identify optimal locations for new power plant site development and use ETS’ operational and financial strengths to participate in projects • Strengths: Engineering, construction, operations, off balance sheet investment vehicles • Weaknesses: Human resource intense, non-traditional business development, credibility • Capture waste heat at compressor stations and generate low cost electricity • Strengths: Multiple locations on TW, FGT, and NNG • Weaknesses: Complex integration issues, lack of power marketing skills
Bright Star Energy, LLC Investment: $400 MM • Concept: • Co-develop a 815 MW gas-fired CCGT power plant with ENAlocated in Broward County, FL near FGT and Calypso • Rationale: • Response to FPL/RFP • Anchor customer for Calypso, incremental market for FGT • Opportunity to earn development and operating fees, equity returns • Risks • Highly competitive power market • Multiple new pipeline entrants in FL market (Gulfstream, Calypso, El Paso, AES) • Timetable • 26 Sep: proposals due • Nov ‘01: FPL shortlist • Mar ’02: FPL award • ’05/’06 In-service
Transwestern Sta 1 Heat Recovery Investment: $20MM • Concept: • Develop a 15 MW heat recovery/duct-fired power plant at TW-Sta.1 • Rationale: • Test case for comparable projects at other locations (FGT, NNG) • Monetize site infrastructure advantages • Risks • Weak power prices • Status • Preparing updated cost estimates • Seeking LOI with Mohave Electric Co-op • Developing PPA/tolling agreement • Performing power merchant risk assessment • Timetable • ’03 In-service
Conclusion • US is experiencing unparalleled growth in gas infra-structure (E+P, power plant development, pipeline expansions) • Asset Development is focused on growing ETS’ core businesses • ETS has many operating and financial skills to leverage its position