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Sevin Ekinci

Sevin Ekinci. Turkey November 2011. Main Subjects. Economic Prospects for 2012 Politics- A new constitution Governmental system-AKP targets 2023 Foreign Relations (EU, Cyprus, ME, NA). Economic Prospects A Relative Advantage. Economic Prospects A Relative Advantage.

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Sevin Ekinci

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  1. Sevin Ekinci Turkey November 2011

  2. Main Subjects • Economic Prospects for 2012 • Politics- A new constitution • Governmental system-AKP targets 2023 • Foreign Relations (EU, Cyprus, ME, NA)

  3. Economic ProspectsA Relative Advantage

  4. Economic ProspectsA Relative Advantage

  5. Economic ProspectsA Relative Advantage

  6. Economic ProspectsA Relative Advantage

  7. Economic ProspectsA Relative Advantage

  8. Economic Prospects • Proactive monetary policy The objective of macroprudential policy is to reduce systemic risk by Reducing the pro-cyclicality of the financial sector Improving its resilience to adverse shocks; by explicitly incorporating the inter-linkages between, and common exposures of, all institutions

  9. Proactive monetary policy yielded its return

  10. Economic Prospects: lower credit use would ease current account deficit

  11. We have more positive prospects than market consensus

  12. Politics • A new Constitution Process: Debates between AKP-CHP-BDP-MHP Joint opinions of AKP-CHP-BDP-MHP Most likely scenario: A referendum by end-2012 which overrules presidential system.

  13. Governmental system • AKP targets 2023 Medium-Term Economic Program covers 2012-2014; no ambition yet strong fiscal policy projections. Next elections-2014 (presidential); 2015 (parliamentary) • Can they achieve to their 2023 target? Well it is conditional… • On domestic and • International developments (EU, Cyprus, Israel, Middle East and North Africa)

  14. Foreign Relations • How the economy works in Turkey EU Cyprus Middle East North Africa Israel

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