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Current HIV/AIDS Facts and Figures

Current HIV/AIDS Facts and Figures. Introduction. One of the HFC’s strategic action points is to conduct an in-depth market analysis in order to: Full understand the market and Identify any needs for a redefined product offering

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Current HIV/AIDS Facts and Figures

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  1. Current HIV/AIDS Facts and Figures

  2. Introduction • One of the HFC’s strategic action points is to conduct an in-depth market analysis in order to: • Full understand the market and • Identify any needs for a redefined product offering • A clear understanding of the current facts and figures regarding the number of individuals infected by HIV is of paramount importance to understanding the HIV market.

  3. …continued • The purpose: • to provide the facts and figures mentioned in the action point; and • To provide a list of various organisations who undertake any kind of HIV prevention/treatment in South Africa and Southern Africa • Countries: • Botswana, Zimbabwe, Namibia, Lesotho, Swaziland, Zambia, Mozambique, Tanzania and Malawi.

  4. HIV/AIDS FACTS and FIGURES • Global estimates • More than 25 million people have died of AIDS since 1981. • Africa has over 14 million AIDS orphans. • At the end of 2008, women accounted for 50% of all adults living with HIV worldwide • In developing and transitional countries, 9.5 million people are in immediate need of life-saving AIDS drugs; of these, only 4 million (42%) are receiving the drugs. • The number of people living with HIV has risen from around 8 million in 1990 to 33 million today, and is still growing. Around 67% of people living with HIV are in sub-Saharan Africa. • During 2008 more than two and a half million adults and children became infected with HIV (Human Immunodeficiency Virus), the virus that causes AIDS. By the end of the year, an estimated 33.4 million people worldwide were living with HIV/AIDS. The year also saw two million deaths from AIDS, despite recent improvements in access to antiretroviral treatment.

  5. Figure 1: Global Estimates(2008)

  6. Figure 2: Regional statistics (2008)

  7. South Africa • The statistics displayed below estimate how many people are a living with HIV in South Africa and were drawn from: • The report of the Department of Health: "National HIV and Syphilis Sero-prevalence Survey in South Africa 2007", published in 2008 • This annual study looks at data from antenatal clinics and uses it to estimate HIV prevalence amongst pregnant women. • The report of the "South African National HIV Prevalence, HIV Incidence, Behaviour and Communication Survey, 2008". • In this survey, a sample of people were chosen to represent the general population. Of those who were eligible, 64% agreed to give a blood sample to be anonymously tested for HIV. The report contains estimates of HIV prevalence in various groups of people, derived from this general population sample.

  8. …. continued • Actuarial Society of South Africa’s 2003 Model • ASSA 2003 makes projections about HIV/AIDS infection, mortality and a range of other indicators • Note: In a telephonic conversation with the researcher, Mr. Wim Els: Director of Operations ASSA, confirmed the accuracy and reliability of the figures projected in the 2003 model. He affirmed that the figures are still relevant today, despite that the model was designed in 2003. Mr. Els also alluded to the fact that the ASSA is in the last stages of designing a new model, which will be released in: “a few weeks time”.

  9. The South African Department of Health Study, 2007 The Study is based on a sample of 33,488 women attending 1,415 antenatal clinics across all nine provinces. It estimates that 28% of pregnant women were living with HIV in 2007. Highest Prevalence rates recorded in: KwaZulu-Natal, Mpumalanga and Free State. Lowest rates recorded in:The Northern Cape and Western Cape

  10. Figure 3: Estimated HIV prevalence among antenatal clinic attendees, by province

  11. Figure 4: Estimated HIV prevalence among antenatal clinic attendees, by age

  12. The South African National HIV Survey, 2008 15,000 households across South Africa visited 13,440 (90%) took part in the survey 23,369 people within these households were eligible to take part 20,826 (89%) completed an interview and 15,851 (64%) agreed to take an HIV test. Based on this survey, the researchers estimate that 10.9% of all South Africans over 2 years old were living with HIV in 2008

  13. Figure 5: Estimated HIV prevalence (%) among South Africans aged 2 years and older, by age, 2002-2008

  14. Figure 6:Estimated HIV prevalence among South Africans, by age and sex, 2008

  15. Figure 7:HIV prevalence (%) by province 2002-2008

  16. Figure 8: HIV prevalence by population group, 2008

  17. Actuarial Society of South Africa’s 2003 Model Figure 9: Projections on key HIV/AIDS indicators for 2006, 2007, 2010 and 2015, using the ASSA default assumptions and rounded to the nearest whole number.

  18. …. continued

  19. …. continued

  20. 1.3 Other Southern African Countries-AIDS epidemic update, Dec-2009 The estimated number of adults and children living with HIV/AIDS, the number of deaths from AIDS, and the number of living orphans in individual countries in Southern Africa at the end of 2007 are shown below.

  21. Figure 10: Southern Africa statistics (UNAIDS, 2009)

  22. Concluding facts Southern Africa remains the area most heavily affected by the epidemic. The nine countries with the highest HIV prevalence worldwide are all located in the sub region, with each of these countries experiencing adult HIV prevalence greater than 10%. Swaziland has the most severe level of infection in the world (UNAIDS, 2008). Botswana has an adult HIV prevalence of 24%, with some evidence of a decline in prevalence in urban areas (UNAIDS, 2008). Lesotho’s epidemic also appears to have stabilized, with an adult HIV prevalence of 23.2% in 2008.

  23. … continued South Africa is home to the world’s largest population of people living with HIV (5.7 million) (UNAIDS, 2008). For southern Africa as a whole, HIV incidence appears to have peaked in the mid-1990s. In most countries, HIV prevalence has stabilized at extremely high levels. Two rounds of household surveys indicate that national HIV incidence fell significantly between 2004 and 2008 in the United Republic of Tanzani, a significant drop in HIV incidence was also noted among women in Zambia between 2002 and 2007.

  24. … continued Zimbabwe has experienced a steady fall in HIV prevalence since the late 1990s; studies have linked this decline with population-level changes in sexual behaviours There is still no evidence of a decline in infections among pregnant women in South Africa, where more than 29% of women accessing public health services tested HIV-positive in 2008 (Department of Health, 2009). However, while national adult HIV prevalence in South Africa has stabilized, prevalence among young people (aged 15–24) started to decline in 2005, as shown among antenatal clinic attendees (from about 25% in 2004–2005 to 21.7% in 2008) and young men and women included in the national population based surveys (from 10.3% in 2005 to 8.6% in 2008)

  25. Thank You for your valuable time

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