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Migration of the Rural Labor On the Poverty Reduction of China

Migration of the Rural Labor On the Poverty Reduction of China. Laiyun Sheng NBS of China. October 22, 2007 Beijing. Migration and Poverty Motivating questions. The scale of migration: Who are migrating? Are the poor migrating? The impact on farmer’s income growth?

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Migration of the Rural Labor On the Poverty Reduction of China

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  1. Migration of the Rural Labor On the Poverty Reduction of China Laiyun Sheng NBS of China October 22, 2007 Beijing

  2. Migration and PovertyMotivating questions • The scale of migration: Who are migrating? • Are the poor migrating? • The impact on farmer’s income growth? • The impact on poverty alleviation? • Conclusion

  3. Recent trends in migrationHousehold survey by NBS .

  4. Recent trends in migrationHousehod survey by NBS

  5. Who are migrating?

  6. Who are migrating?

  7. Who are migrating? • More and more labors have been migrating from rural area to urban area since 1997. • Migrants are younger, male, and have better education. They are predominantly junior high school graduates. • Labors in Western regions possess less education than the nation.

  8. Impact on the growth of farmer’s income

  9. Impact on the growth of farmer’s income

  10. Impact on the growth of farmer’s income

  11. Impact on the growth of farmer’s income

  12. Impact on the growth of farmer’s income • The augment of farmer’s wage from migrating has been mainly promoting the increase of net income. • There is a inverted U relationship between income and migration by regression. • The lower income group has higher probability of migration.

  13. Impact on the poverty reductionThe change of rural poverty status of China (millions)

  14. Impact on the poverty reduction Are the Poor migrating ? Occupational structure in poor vs. non-poor counties (1)The poor are less likely to work off the farm than the non-poor; (2)The poor in Western regions have less opportunity for local nonfarm work than the poor in other regions, but have participated in migration more. (Source: RHS, Zhao Yuehui,2005)

  15. Do rural households with migrant workers have lower poverty? … Impact on the poverty reduction • Recall that migration is negatively associated with poverty Source: Rural and Urban Household Surveys , NBS. Zhao yuehui,2005

  16. Does Migration Reduce Poverty?Short conclusion (1)Migration increases incomes and reduces poverty, so government should encourage and promote migration by making feasible policies. (2) However, migration is not a panacea; many of the poorest households, especially those with limited labor or human capital, are unlikely to migrate. So government should pay attention to the training for all farmers.

  17. Migration and Poverty Thank you! Thank you!

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