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Exploring Aspirational Futures in Primary Care: Strategies for 2025

The Institute for Alternative Futures presents "Primary Care 2025," a visionary agenda focusing on the future of primary care by exploring four key scenarios: "Many Needs, Many Models," "Lost Decade, Lost Health," "Primary Care That Works for All," and "I Am My Own Medical Home." This agenda aims to develop robust strategies that promote effective, quality healthcare systems by leveraging insights on integrated care, self-care tools, and community health engagement. Join us in shaping sustainable, equitable healthcare futures.

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Exploring Aspirational Futures in Primary Care: Strategies for 2025

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  1. PRIMARY CARE 2025 Yasemin ArikanInstitute for Alternative FuturesSeptember 20, 2013

  2. Agenda Intro to Futures Studies, Aspirational Futures Explore Four Primary Care 2025 Futures Robust Strategies for a Preferred Future

  3. Intro to Futures Studies and Aspirational Futures

  4. ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?

  5. ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?

  6. Aspirational Futures Approach

  7. Four Primary Care 2025 Scenarios

  8. Many Needs, Many Models Lost Decade, Lost Health Primary Care That Works for All I Am My Own Medical Home

  9. Scenario 1: Many Needs, Many Models

  10. Scenario 1: Many Needs, Many Models Key Outcomes 40% in integrated systems 30% in semi-integrated 30% in fee-for service

  11. Scenario 2:Lost Decade, Lost Health

  12. Scenario 2: Lost Decade, Lost Health Key Outcomes 35% in fee-for-service 30% in integrated systems 20% in semi-integrated 15% in concierge fee-for-service

  13. But Web MD clearly indicated that I am dying.

  14. Scenario 3:Primary Care That Works for All

  15. Scenario 3: Primary Care That Works for All Key Outcomes 85% in integrated systems (e.g., CCHH) 10% in “concierge” FFS 5% are uninsured

  16. Scenario 4:I Am My Own Medical Home

  17. Scenario 4: I Am My Own Medical Home Key Outcomes 40% in self-care with high-deductible catastrophic insurance 40% in integrated systems 10% in concierge care 10% are uninsured

  18. Likelihood vs. Preferability

  19. Robust Strategies for a Preferred Future

  20. Enable osteopathic principles and practitioners to demonstrate their particular value for quality and cost-effective care for all. Engage with the development of self-care tools, particularly their decision-making rules. Determine your role in improving population health and provide training and support accordingly.

  21. Questions?

  22. Community Health Centers Leveraging the Social Determinants of Health www.altfutures.org/LeveragingSDH Primary Care 2025 www.altfutures.org/primarycare2025

  23. Thank you! Yasemin Arikan Institute for Alternative Futures www.altfutures.org yarikan@altfutures.org

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