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Aero Club of Washington

Aero Club of Washington. William Voss President/CEO June 30, 2009. Major Accidents Worldwide Commercial Jets 1998 – 2008. * Reliable worldwide departure/rate data not available for Eastern-Built Aircraft. Source: Ascend. Major Accident Rate Western-Built Commercial Jets*

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Aero Club of Washington

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  1. Aero Club of Washington William Voss President/CEO June 30, 2009

  2. Major Accidents Worldwide Commercial Jets 1998 – 2008 * Reliable worldwide departure/rate data not available for Eastern-Built Aircraft Source: Ascend

  3. Major Accident Rate Western-Built Commercial Jets* 1997 – 2008 Accident rate per million departures *Reliable total departure data not available for Eastern-Built Aircraft Source: Ascend

  4. Breakdown: Accident Categories IATA Safety Report 2008

  5. Regional Rate: Western-built Jet Hull Losses IATA Safety Report 2008

  6. What it Looks Like to the Public

  7. 20 August — Spanair Madrid

  8. 22 September — XL Airways Perpignan, France

  9. 20 December — Continental Denver

  10. 15 January — US Airways New York

  11. 12 February — Colgan Air Buffalo

  12. 25 February — Turkish Airways Amsterdam

  13. 20 March – Emirates AirlinesMelbourne

  14. 23 March – FEDEXTokyo

  15. 1 June - Air France 447

  16. 30 June – Yemenia 626Comoros

  17. NEW TRENDS

  18. The Biggest Killer Used to be CFIT

  19. The Biggest Killer Now it is Loss of Control

  20. LOOKING TO THE FUTURE

  21. The Future is Inescapable • We are in the middle of an explosion of the world's middle class • About 70m people a year globally are entering this wealth group • Accelerating to 90m a year by 2030 • In 20 years 2bn people will have joined the ranks of the middle class Source: Chief economist, Goldman Sachs,July 2008

  22. ICAO IATA Revised Forecast

  23. Where Traffic Growth will Occur Source: Airbus Global Market Forecast

  24. What about the Regulator? • 190 state regulatory agencies “With respect to aircraft operations, approximately half of the audited states have an insufficient number of flight operations inspectors to adequately perform safety oversight of civil aviation activities.” ICAO

  25. RESPONSES

  26. Safety is Information Driven • Share the information • Protect the information • Act on the information

  27. Share the Information • Between competitors • Between segments of the industry • Between regulators

  28. Safety is Information Driven • Share the information • Protect the information • Act on the information

  29. Protect the Information • Public demanding more accountability • Prosecutions becoming frequent • Direct interference with safety investigations becoming an issue

  30. A Balanced to be Maintained

  31. Flight Safety Foundation Criticizes Prosecutorial Interference With Accident Investigation The Flight Safety Foundation sharply criticized the interference of prosecutors in ongoing aviation accident investigations in Italy and France, warning that such interference hampers efforts to improve aviation safety and prevent similar accidents in the future

  32. Joint Resolution Regarding Criminalization of Aviation Accidents

  33. Legislative Protections Flight Safety Foundation Calls for Stronger Protection of Volunteered Aviation Safety Information FSF today endorsed the creation of a “qualified exception” from discovery of voluntary self-disclosure reporting programs, similar to the protection already provided in U.S. law against the use of Cockpit Voice Recorder …

  34. Safety is Information Driven • Share the information • Protect the information • Act on the information

  35. Act on the Information • Update old rules with new information • Fatigue Risk Management • Build on the substantial existing science • Training in this century, for this century • Create meaningful standards that reflect the real world • Respond to emerging trends • Are yesterdays scenarios still today’s threats?

  36. Summary • The accident rate is starting to increase • The causes are shifting • Growth is inevitable and we are not positioned to handle it • Safety information is the key, but it must be shared, protected, and acted upon • Time to act on fatigue and training without regard to past constraints

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