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Doing More With Less: Mitigation in a Changing Environment Experience in the Nile Basin

Doing More With Less: Mitigation in a Changing Environment Experience in the Nile Basin Larry Brazil Riverside Technology, inc. www.riverside.com. Nile River Basin. World’s longest river, 6700 km; covering 3.2M km 2 ; 10% of Africa

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Doing More With Less: Mitigation in a Changing Environment Experience in the Nile Basin

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  1. Doing More With Less: Mitigation in a Changing Environment Experience in the Nile Basin Larry Brazil Riverside Technology, inc. www.riverside.com

  2. Nile River Basin • World’s longest river, 6700 km; covering 3.2M km2; 10% of Africa • Drainage from 10 countries: Burundi, DR Congo, Egypt, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, Sudan, Tanzania, Uganda • Population 200M, estimated to be 400M by 2025 • Problem: Too much water in some places, too little in others • Issues: floods and droughts, land degradation, access to energy, erosion/siltation, food insecurity, poverty • Collaborative approach to problem solving: Nile Basin Initiative (NBI) • Inter-governmental organization, owned by the riparian governments, formed in 1999, funded by donors • Purpose is to bring all Nile basin countries together to develop the resources of the Nile Basin for the benefit of all – a mechanism to implement a shared vision for the future.

  3. Our Role • Our participation started in 2000 with work for NBI on the Water Resources Management Project “to build analytical capacity and provide technical infrastructure to manage Nile Basin resources.” • Project Implementation Plan – Conceptual design of the technical components • Designed the NBI Resource Center for archiving and sharing information • Prepared the specifications for the Needs Assessment Study for the Decision Support System (DSS) • Currently part of a team that’s developing and implementing the DSS • Worked with NBI Subsidiary Action program for the Eastern Nile: • Design and Implementation Plan for the Eastern Nile Planning Model • Forecast System Design to support flood warning and data sharing • Developing internal/external web portal • Flood Risk Mapping in Pilot Areas for Ethiopia and Sudan

  4. Nile Basin Decision Support System Objective: Manage, process, evaluate and present data required to make informed decisions for water infrastructure and/or climate impact alternatives Current / future environmental data Central database and computer models Simulate impacts Current / planned water infrastructure Objective information for decision making

  5. Ethiopia and Sudan – Flood Risk Mapping Challenges and Solutions • Problem: Significant loss of life and property from frequent floods • Objective: Reduce future flood damages by producing tools for guiding infrastructure development and preparing for floods. • Involves: Data collection, modeling, flood hazard mapping, asset assessment, flood risk mapping • USACE HEC tools

  6. Results are encouraging … • Strong introduction of technology – IT, communications, GIS, data collection, data management and processing, analysis tools, simulation and optimization, multi-criteria analysis • Huge leaps in technical capacity building • Sharing of information – a monumental achievement • Lessons learned (ongoing): • Expectation management is key; explain what these systems can do and what they can’t do • Maintain stakeholder interest – show early results • Involve future users at appropriate levels; capacity building must involve cross-section of users

  7. Looking ahead … • Considerations for the future • South Sudan – New Nile State • Support for the Jonglei Canal? • Grand Millineum Dam – Ethiopia – Blue Nile • Storage and power comparable to Hoover Dam • Cooperative Framework Agreement • Formal distribution of Nile River water • Sustainability • Availability of data • Increase data collection? • Appropriate tools and technology • Continued donor support? • Strong technical capacity • Will they stay?

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