1 / 19

Eng Rafik G. M. of Economic and Environment Studies NREA

Baseline For Japanese Wind Power Plant Project in Zafarana (Arab Republic of Egypt). Eng Rafik G. M. of Economic and Environment Studies NREA. * Energy Situation in Egypt. Installed Power 17.67 GW Max. Demand 14.4 GW Annual Growth Rate 4-6 %

alexander-morris
Télécharger la présentation

Eng Rafik G. M. of Economic and Environment Studies NREA

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Baseline For Japanese Wind Power PlantProject in Zafarana (Arab Republic of Egypt) Eng RafikG. M. of Economic and Environment Studies NREA

  2. * Energy Situation in Egypt • Installed Power 17.67 GW • Max. Demand 14.4 GW • Annual Growth Rate 4-6 % • Installed Power Plant According to Types: • Wind 0.56% - - - - - - - 0.82% • Hydro 14.5% • Thermal 85% • Fuel Consumption Type for Thermal P.P • NG 89.2% • Oil 10.8% * According to EEHC Annual Report (02/03)

  3. Wind Projects in Egypt( In cooperation with others ) • Danish Wind Project • Phase І 30 MW → Mar. 2001 • Phase ІІ 30 MW → Nov. 2003 • German Wind Project • Phase І 33 MW → Mar. 2001 • Phase ІІ & ІІІ 47 MW → April 2004 • Spanish Wind Project • 85 MW 2006 • Japanese Wind Project • 120 MW 2007 Starting Starting

  4. Japanese Wind Power Plant Project in Zafarana - Egypt In Brief : • Japanese wind power plant project is 120 MW • Capacity factor 42 – 45 % • Resultant 441,505 MWh of electricity / year • Operating lifetime ( minimum ) is 20 years • The plant site is located approx. 200 Km south east Cairo

  5. Japanese Wind Power Plant Project in Zafarana - Egypt The project: • Category of project activity is : Grid- connected electricity generation. • Provide Zero green house gas (GHG) emission power. • GHG reduction 227, 375 t CO2 eq / year. • Reduction 1.59 million t CO2 eq (In the initial 7 years crediting period ) • The wind turbine size is to be between 600 KW and 1 MW (3 bladed machine )

  6. Steps to determine Baseline

  7. Definitions: • Baseline: it is the reference value to estimate the reduction of CO2 emissions.OR Business as usual if CDM project will not be implemented

  8. Definitions: • Operating Margin: Average of all generation types excluding low cost / must run plants. Those excluded were hydro facilities and existing wind plant. • Build margin: Average of the most recent 5 plants built.

  9. To determine Operating Margin Notes: For the Egypt’s grid excluding Low-cost / must-run (around 33 power plants) • Total Capacity (MW) = 12,933 • Net Power (GWh) = 62,353 • Fuel Consumption (103 toe) = 14,378

  10. To determine Operating Margin CO2 emission = Fuel consumption X Net calorific X C emission X Fraction X Mass ( 103 toe ) Value( TJ / 103 toe ) Factor( t C / TJ ) Of Coxidized conversionFactor( t CO2 / t C ) CO2 emission = 14,378 X 41.868 X 15.78 X 0.9945 X 44/12 CO2 emission = 34,639,000 t CO2 = CO2 emission Factor for operating margin ÷ Total grid electricity generated for operating margin (MWh) Sum of CO2 emission for operating margin (t CO2 ) = 34,639,000 62,353,000 = 0.556 t CO2 / MWh ÷

  11. To determine build Margin To obtain the CO2 emission factor for the build margin, we have to calculate the emission factor for the resent 5 plants. • Total Net Power (GWh) = 19,754 • Fuel consumption ( 103 toe ) = 3,994

  12. Table: Egypt's grid excluding low-cost/must-run

  13. To determine build Margin CO2 emission for resent 5 plants = Fuel consumption X Net calorific X C emission X Fraction X Mass ( 103 toe ) Value( TJ / 103 toe ) Factor( t C / TJ ) Of Coxidized conversionFactor( t CO2 / t C ) CO2 emission = 3,994 X 41.868 X 15.78 X 0.9945 X 44/12 CO2 emission = 9,334,181 t CO2 = CO2 emission Factor for most resent 5 plants Sum of CO2 emission for resent 5 plants (t CO2 ) Total grid electricity generated for resent 5 plants (MWh) ÷ = 9.334.181 19,754,000 = 0.473 t CO2 / MWh ÷

  14. The 5 Recent Plants

  15. To determine Combined Margin CO2 emission Factor ( ) CO2 emission factor for operating margin( t CO2 / MWh ) CO2 emission factor for build margin( t CO2 / MWh ) x n + CO2 emission Factor for combined margin( t CO2 / MWh ) = 1 + n Notes: • n is the capacity value for wind powern = 1 does not take into account the volatility of wind power outputn = 0.6 does ( The more conservative number selected )

  16. To determine Combined Margin CO2 emission Factor For n = 1 CO2 emission factor 0.556 + (0.473 X 1) = 2 = 0.515 t CO2 / MWh For n = 0.6 CO2 emission factor 0.556 + (0.473 X 0.6) = 1.6 = 0.525 t CO2 / MWh

  17. Baseline emission • CO2 emission factor for n = 1 is lower than n = 0.6 • Its result is selected as the emission factor representing the baseline grid electricity generation in the interest of conservation CO2 emission = X Electricity produced by the project ( MWh / year ) CO2 emission factor ( t CO2 / MWh ) = 441,504 X 0.515 = 227,375 t CO2 / year Emission reduction for the initial 7 years = 1,591,625 t CO2 eq

  18. The PDD document can be accessed on : Thank you http://cdm.unfcc.int/methodologies/process E-mail : afaftawfic@hotmail.com

More Related