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Climate Services: The Pacific Climate Information System (PaCIS) Approach

Climate Services: The Pacific Climate Information System (PaCIS) Approach. Eileen L. Shea NOAA IDEA Center (eileen.shea@noaa.gov) 31 st Climate Diagnostics & Prediction Workshop Boulder, CO; October 24, 2006. Climate Forecasting in the Pacific Region. Thank you.

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Climate Services: The Pacific Climate Information System (PaCIS) Approach

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  1. Climate Services: The Pacific Climate Information System (PaCIS) Approach Eileen L. Shea NOAA IDEA Center (eileen.shea@noaa.gov) 31st Climate Diagnostics & Prediction Workshop Boulder, CO; October 24, 2006

  2. Climate Forecasting in the Pacific Region

  3. Thank you. • UH Social Sciences Research Institute • East-West Center PEAC established as research pilot project in 1994

  4. Pacific Islands Regional Assessment Focus on Vulnerability in order to: • Understand exposure & sensitivity (impacts) • Address adaptive capacity (resilience) • Develop appropriate response options • Engage all experts in shared learning and joint problem-solving

  5. Pacific Islands Assessment:Overarching Recommendation “an ongoing commitment to the emergence of a Pacific climate information system that supports the development and use of climate information to support decision-making”

  6. Pacific RISA • Emphasis on reducing vulnerability to climate-related extreme events (droughts, floods, tropical cyclones) • Support and enhance climate risk management activities of Pacific Island governments, communities, resource managers and businesses

  7. Some Lessons Learned forClimate Information Services • Focus on integrated climate-society system • Decision-makers interested in information on a continuum of timescales: • Addressing today’s problems • Planning for the future • Early & continuous partnership with users essential: • Shared learning & joint problem-solving • Outreach & dialogue programs as priority activities • Building trust & credibility a long-term endeavor

  8. Some Lessons Learned forClimate Information Services • Collaborative, participatory process with users: • Continuous, interactive dialogue • Co-production of knowledge • Document and share experiences • Problem-focused approach: • Understand place, context, history and decision making process; • Useful & usable information responsive to user needs • Continuum of timescales • Climate information systemvs. event forecasting

  9. Some Lessons Learned forClimate Information Services • Address both processandproducts: • Integrated program of observations, monitoring, forecasting, assessment, education and applications – with continuous evaluation and adjustment • Build on existing systems, institutions, programs, relationships & networks: • Recognize the vital role of trusted information brokers • Partnerships between science & operations

  10. Evolution of aPacific Climate Information System • 1997-1998 El Niño demonstrated needs & forecast value • 1999 Meeting of Pacific Regional Meteorological Service Directors -- General agreement on PaCIS vision, goal and objectives • Discussions among likely partners: • Initiation of monthly forecast calls • Planning for WMO Oceania Regional Climate Centre • NWS Climate Services Division Activities • PEAC First Decade Review • Related Regional Activities: • PI-GCOS • PRiMO • NOAA IDEA Center

  11. PaCIS Vision Resilient and sustainable Pacific communities using climate information to manage risks and support practical decision-making in the context of climate variability and change.

  12. PaCIS Mission • Clarify climate information needs and guide monitoring, research, forecasting and assessment • Provide access to critical data, research and new climate information products and services • Translate research and assessment results into useful and usable climate information

  13. PaCIS Mission • Interpret global and regional climate forecasts for local applications • Enhance regional and local capabilities to manage risks and support sustainable development in the context of climate variability and change • Enhance collaboration among national, regional and international institutions and programs

  14. PaCIS Program Elements • Education, Outreach and User Information: • User dialogue and feedback • Educational materials • WSO’s as local experts/coordinators in partnership with experts in key sectors • Operational Products and Services: • Develop and evaluate PaCIS services • Regional climate services testbed • Cross-regional coordination • Support regional observations and data management systems (e.g., PI-GCOS, PI-GOOS, PacIOOS)

  15. PaCIS Program Elements • Research and assessment to enhance resilience: • Regional downscaling and local applications • Enhanced understanding of nature and consequences of climate variability and change with a focus on extreme events • Support for regional vulnerability assessment and adaptation programs

  16. PaCIS Governance Structure • Steering Committee for overall guidance and support: • Representatives of Pacific users in key sectors • Representatives of Pacific Weather Service Offices • NOAA & other U.S. climate programs & agencies • PRiMO (and its agencies) • International partners, regional organizations and programs (Australia, NZ, SPREP, SOPAC, PI-GCOS, PI-GOOS, PacIOOS) • Social science, decision support and climate applications science experts • Working Groups for each program element: • Education, Outreach and User Information Needs • Operational Climate Observations, Products & Services • Research and Assessment • Executive Director – NWS Pacific Region Climate Services Program Manager

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