‘Like it or Lump it’

2. ‘Like it or Lump it’ Glimpses of the future

3. Forces shaping the future • Globalisation – connected, competitive, faster

4. Forces shaping the future • Globalisation • Life cycle –low birth rate, more single people, longer life expectancy & later retirement

5. Forces shaping the future • Globalisation • Life cycle • Information & other technologies – many technologies, the Grid, postmodern values

6. Forces shaping the future • Globalisation • Life cycle • Information & other technologies • Me-society – mass-customisation, an it-must-fit-me-world

7. Forces shaping the future • Globalisation • Life cycle • Information & other technologies • Me-society • Politics – disillusionment, consumer politics, who decides

8. Forces shaping the future • Globalisation • Life cycle • Information & other technologies • Me-society • Politics • Shape of society – more middle class - the poor left behind? More feminine?

9. Forces shaping the future • Globalisation • Life cycle • Information & other technologies • Me-society • Politics • Shape of society • Economy – labour shortages, relationships, work central

10. Forces shaping the future • Globalisation • Life cycle • Information & other technologies • Me-society • Politics • Shape of society • Economy • Sustainability – prospects

11. Forces shaping the future • G lobalisation • L ife cycle • I nformation & other technologies • M e-society • P olitics • S hape of society • E conomy • S ustainability

12. THE SHRINKING CHURCH 1979-89 – 13% decline in England 1989-98 – 22% decline in England Less than 1.00% attendance by 2016?

13. A CHANGING CHURCH • The shrinking church • A mass approach doesn’t work We treat everyone the same But society is more personalised An it-must-fit-me world

14. A CHANGING CHURCH • The shrinking church • A mass approach doesn’t work • Subversive incarnation

15. DOING CHURCH DIFFERENTLY • From “you come to us” to “we’ll come to you” • From Sunday church to weekday church • From missionary congregations to missionaries • From “we’ll do it on our own” to “we’ll do it together”

16. A THEOLOGICAL BASIS • Mission central to church • Incarnation central to mission • Trust central to incarnation • Accountability central to trust

17. The Tomorrow Project • Independent charity • The future of people’s lives - 20 year timescale • Wide range of topics • Research, consultation and communication • 24 supporters • Tomorrow Network

18. Why think about the future? • We all have assumptions about the future – are they valid? • If we want to shape the future, we need to plan for it • It helps us to understand the present

19. A four-stage approach • What’s happening now? • What forces will shape the future? • What alternative futures exist? • So what?

20. A middle class society • Decline of manual workers • From to • Spread of middle class values

21. Globalisation • Greater interdependence • Partnerships at HE • Global competition at secondary level?

22. Postmaterialist attitudes • Strong leadersself-expression • Economic growthquality of life • Families focused on childrenfocused on self-gratification • Religious rules/structurespersonal search for meaning

23. Tomorrow’s Workplace • The new economy • The relationship economy • The fulfilment economy • The all-age economy