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The use of forward looking information at UBA

The use of forward looking information at UBA. State – Challenge - Vision. Content of the presentation. Organisation of UBA – Flow of information Environmental reporting „Greenhouse gases“ – an example of presenting data. Looking into the future… The Vision: What do we want to reach?.

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The use of forward looking information at UBA

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  1. The use of forward looking information at UBA State – Challenge - Vision

  2. Content of the presentation • Organisation of UBA – Flow of information • Environmental reporting • „Greenhouse gases“ – an example of presenting data. • Looking into the future… • The Vision: What do we want to reach?

  3. Organisation of UBA

  4. With more detail...

  5. Environmental Reporting … Highly aggregatedindice And where is the forward looking information? Key-Indicators Core-Indicators Interpretated Data Basic-Raw-Data

  6. Presentation of data: e.g. Emission of GHG…

  7. But also in the future • “data related to reporting of Policies and Measures and Projected Emissions required under Article 3(2) of the Monitoring Mechanism Decision (Commission Decision 280/2004/EC) and elaborated in Articles 8, 9 and 10 of the Implementing Provisions (Commission Decision 2005/166/EC) and UNFCCC reporting guidelines for national communications (FCCC/CP/1999/7)”

  8. For example: Projections …

  9. … model and scenario based… Policy-scenarios CO2 N2O • IKARUS • ELIAS • ASTRA • PowerACE • ISI • GreenX CF Megatrends CH4 Measures e.g. TREMOD

  10. Aprox. 20 Models in use Around 10 scenario studies ongoing Looking to the future…

  11. 1. Energy reference scenario 2. Policy scenarios III 3. Policy scenarios IV 4. Long term scenarios 5. Expansion of renewable energies scenario 6. NAWARO-AREAS 7. BASiS 8. Climate scenarios 9. Scenarios of emissions from agriculture Methodological overview...

  12. And internationally... 1. Meadows: Limits to Growth 2. GEO-3 Scenarios (RIVM/UNEP,2003) 3. Branch Points: Global Scenarios and Human Choice (SEI/GSG,) 4. Bending the curve: Toward Global Sustainability (SEI/GSG, 1998) 5. Scenarios Europe 2010: Five possible futures for Europe (European Commission Forward Studies Unit, 1999) 6. VISIONS (European Commission, 2001) 7. Special Report on Emission Scenarios (IPCC, 2000) 8. Global Scenarios 2000-2050 (WBCSD, 1998)

  13. And the vision... „Key for standardized reporting • Inventory of models -> template of EEA • List of (posible) forward looking indicators • Catalogue of relevant scenario studies • Mainstreaming of basic „megatrend“ -> Reference scenario (-> call for evidence) • Enhancing methodologies, e.g. „impact-networks“, cross-impact-analysis, etc.

  14. Thank you very much for your attention!

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