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The Imperative of Adult Education for the Future of Kentucky

National Center for Higher Education Management Systems P.O. Box 9752 Boulder, Colorado 80301-9752 (303) 497-0301. The Imperative of Adult Education for the Future of Kentucky. Dennis P. Jones Presented to the Annual Adult Education Conference Louisville, Kentucky

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The Imperative of Adult Education for the Future of Kentucky

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  1. National Center for Higher Education Management Systems P.O. Box 9752 Boulder, Colorado 80301-9752 (303) 497-0301 The Imperative of Adult Education for the Future of Kentucky Dennis P. Jones Presented to the Annual Adult Education ConferenceLouisville, Kentucky September 19, 2005

  2. Question: Why Is Adult Education So Important to the Future of Kentucky?

  3. Simple Answer: Kentucky Can’t Achieve Its Stated Goal Without Significantly Increasing the Education Attainment Levels of Its Adult Population! A Reminder: The Goal Is to Achieve Per Capita Income Equal to the National Average by 2020.

  4. CT CT 28,766 28,766 NJ NJ R2 = .6348 MA MA MD MD CO CO VA VA NH NH NY NY DE DE MN MN IL IL WA CA CA AK AK MI MI Per Capita Income NV NV RI RI FL FL HI HI WI WI GA GA OH OH OR OR PA PA VT VT KS KS IN IN NC NC AZ AZ MO MO IA IA TX TX NE NE ME ME TN TN WY WY SC SC AL AL UT UT KY KY ID ID ND ND OK OK SD SD NM NM MT MT AR AR LA LA WV WV MS MS 15,853 15,853 14.8 14.8 33.2 Percent with Bachelor’s Degree or Higher Relationship Between Educational Attainment and Personal Income by State, 2000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census

  5. Kentucky Per Capita Income as a Percent of the U.S., 1960-2000 Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

  6. 139.3 100.0 81.8 71.4 Ohio Iowa Utah Idaho Texas Maine Illinois Hawaii Alaska Florida Indiana Kansas Oregon Virginia Arizona Nevada Georgia Missouri Vermont Montana Michigan Alabama Colorado Maryland Kentucky Wyoming Arkansas California Delaware Nebraska Louisiana New York Wisconsin Minnesota Oklahoma Mississippi Tennessee New Jersey Washington Connecticut New Mexico North Dakota West Virginia Rhode Island Pennsylvania United States South Dakota North Carolina South Carolina Massachusetts New Hampshire Per Capita Personal Income—State Values as a Proportion of U.S., 2001 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Statistical Abstract of the United States, 2003

  7. 30 MN NH VT R2 = .69 UT HI MA ND 15 CT WI IA ME NE CO RI WA KS NJ SD VA ID OR CA PA AZ AK OH MT State Health Index—United Health Foundation WY IL NY 0 IN US DE MI MD TX MO NV NM KY OK NC FL WV AL GA AR SC TN - - 15 MS LA Percent of Adults 25-64 with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher - - 30 10% 20% 30% 40% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; United Health Foundation Relationship Between Educational Attainment and Health

  8. Kentucky Ranked 39th Utah Iowa Ohio Idaho Maine Illinois Hawaii Alaska Oregon Kansas Virginia Arizona Vermont Montana Michigan Colorado Wyoming California Nebraska New York Wisconsin Minnesota New Jersey Washington Connecticut North Dakota Rhode Island Pennsylvania South Dakota Massachusetts New Hampshire South Carolina North Carolina West Virginia New Mexico Tennessee Mississippi Oklahoma Louisiana Delaware Arkansas Kentucky Maryland Alabama Missouri Georgia Nevada Indiana Florida Texas Index Scores on State Health Rankings, 2004 Source: United Health Foundation—State Health Rankings 2004

  9. The Education Attainment Picture in Kentucky

  10. Educational Attainment and Rank Among States—Kentucky, 2000 (Percent) 74.9% 79.7% 5.7% 18.8% 7.5% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census

  11. 33.3 25.3 25.1 14.2 Ohio Utah Iowa Idaho Texas Maine Illinois Alaska Hawaii Florida Indiana Oregon Kansas Virginia Arizona Nevada Georgia Missouri Vermont Montana Alabama Michigan Colorado Maryland Kentucky Wyoming Arkansas California Delaware Louisiana Nebraska New York Oklahoma Wisconsin Minnesota Mississippi Tennessee New Jersey Washington Connecticut New Mexico West Virginia Rhode Island North Dakota Pennsylvania United States South Dakota North Carolina South Carolina Massachusetts New Hampshire Percent of Population Age 18-24 with No High SchoolDiploma Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000

  12. Ohio Iowa Utah Idaho Maine Texas Illinois Hawaii Alaska Florida Indiana Virginia Oregon Kansas Arizona Nevada Georgia Missouri Vermont Montana Alabama Michigan Colorado Kentucky Maryland Wyoming Arkansas Delaware California Louisiana Nebraska New York Oklahoma Wisconsin Minnesota Mississippi Tennessee New Jersey Washington Connecticut New Mexico West Virginia North Dakota Rhode Island Pennsylvania United States South Dakota North Carolina South Carolina Massachusetts New Hampshire Percent of Population Age 25 and Older with No High School Diploma 27.1 25.9 19.6 11.7 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000

  13. 37.1 26.5 18.8 16.5 Utah Iowa Ohio Idaho Texas Maine Illinois Hawaii Alaska Florida Indiana Virginia Oregon Kansas Arizona Nevada Georgia Missouri Vermont Montana Alabama Michigan Colorado Maryland Kentucky Wyoming Arkansas California Delaware Nebraska Louisiana New York Wisconsin Oklahoma Minnesota Mississippi Tennessee New Jersey Connecticut Washington New Mexico Rhode Island North Dakota West Virginia Pennsylvania United States South Dakota North Carolina South Carolina Massachusetts New Hampshire Percent of Adults Age 25-64 with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher, 2000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000

  14. Bottom Line: Kentucky Has a Very Large Number of Undereducated Adults. 435,000 Age 25-64 Had Not Completed High School—20% of Age Group (2000 Census) And There Are More on the Way.

  15. Student Pipeline, 2002 Of 100 9th Graders, How Many… Source: NCES Common Core Data, NCES IPEDS 2002 Residency and Migration Survey, ACT Institutional Survey, NCES IPEDS Graduation Rate Survey

  16. 86.1 67.1 65.8 51.0 Utah Iowa Ohio Idaho Maine Texas Illinois Hawaii Alaska Florida Indiana Virginia Oregon Kansas Arizona Nevada Georgia Missouri Vermont Montana Alabama Michigan Colorado Maryland Kentucky Wyoming Arkansas California Delaware Louisiana Nebraska New York Wisconsin Oklahoma Minnesota Mississippi Tennessee New Jersey Washington Connecticut New Mexico West Virginia Rhode Island North Dakota Pennsylvania United States South Dakota North Carolina South Carolina Massachusetts New Hampshire High School Graduation Rates—Public High School Graduates as a Percent of 9th Graders Four Years Earlier, 2000 Source: Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Opportunity

  17. Net Migration by Degree Level and Age Group—Kentucky 22- to 29-Year-Olds 30- to 64-Year-Olds Less than High School High School Some College Associate Bachelor’s Graduate/Professional Total Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; 5% Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) Files

  18. Education and Workforce Participation

  19. 71.3 62.3 58.2 51.3 Iowa Utah Ohio Idaho Texas Maine Illinois Hawaii Alaska Florida Indiana Oregon Kansas Virginia Arizona Nevada Georgia Missouri Vermont Montana Colorado Michigan Alabama Wyoming Maryland Kentucky Arkansas Nebraska Delaware New York California Louisiana Minnesota Wisconsin Oklahoma Tennessee Mississippi New Jersey Connecticut Washington New Mexico North Dakota Pennsylvania West Virginia Rhode Island United States South Dakota North Carolina South Carolina Massachusetts New Hampshire Percent of Civilian Population (Age 16 and Older) Participating in the Workforce, 2003 Source: U.S. Census Bureau

  20. Kentucky Civilians Age 16 and Older in the Workforce by Education Attainment, 2000 In Civilian Workforce Not in Civilian Workforce Less than High School High School Diploma or GED Some College, No Degree Associate Degree Bachelor's Degree Graduate or Professional Degree NumberPercentNumberPercent 325,002 36.2 571,769 63.8 649,300 64.0 364,671 36.0 442,167 71.8 173,695 28.2 111,955 80.0 28,074 20.0 229,404 78.6 62,569 21.4 143,938 79.5 37,050 20.5 Source: Integrated Public Use Microdata Series 5% sample, Minnesota Population Center; www.ipums.org

  21. The Economic Returns to Education in Kentucky

  22. 10,400 8,000 6,800 4,000 Iowa Ohio Utah Idaho Texas Maine Illinois Alaska Hawaii Florida Indiana Virginia Kansas Oregon Arizona Nevada Georgia Missouri Vermont Montana Alabama Michigan Colorado Maryland California Kentucky Arkansas Wyoming Delaware Louisiana New York Nebraska Wisconsin Oklahoma Minnesota Mississippi Tennessee New Jersey Connecticut Washington New Mexico North Dakota Rhode Island West Virginia United States Pennsylvania South Dakota North Carolina South Carolina Massachusetts New Hampshire Difference in Median Earnings Between a High School Diploma and an Associate Degree, 2000 Source: U.S. Census Bureau’s Public Use Samples, based on 2000 Census

  23. HB1 in 1997 SB1 in 2000 In the Face of These Challenges, Kentucky Acted:

  24. The Steps Taken to Improve Adult Education in Kentucky Make Your Work a National Model.

  25. Key Strengths • Focus on Long-Term (20-Year) Strategy to Improve Quality of Life and Economic Well-Being of State’s Population • Systemic Pre-K through Postsecondary Education • Use of Information to Shape Agenda and Monitor Progress • Adult Education Seen as Integral to All Other Levels and Issues • Sustained Over Significant Political and Economic Change (continued)

  26. Key Strengths (cont.) • Focus on People, not Providers (Counties as Units for Improvement • Emphasis on Partnerships with Employers and Institutions of Postsecondary Education, and Links to Workforce Development • Emphasis on Competencies Necessary for Employment and Continuing (Lifelong) Learning • Use of Incentives Linked to Performance in Meeting Statewide and County Goals (continued)

  27. Key Strengths (cont.) • Capacity to: • Lead a Statewide Strategy • At the Highest Level of State Leadership • Cutting Across Sectors and Agencies • Drawing on All Available Providers and Resources • Develop and Sustain Partnerships, Especially with Employers • Sustain Attention to a Strategic Agenda Over Changes in Economy and Election Cycles

  28. Perhaps Most Important of All… Kentucky Has Created an Adult Education System That Is: • Explicitly a Kentucky Program • Not a State Implementation of a Federal Program

  29. As a Result of Your Combined Efforts, Kentucky Has Made Remarkable Progress.

  30. Low Adult Secondary Education Source: Kentucky Adult Education Core Indicator Performance Measures (www.kyae.ky.gov/performance)

  31. Low Advanced ESL Source: Kentucky Adult Education Core Indicator Performance Measures (www.kyae.ky.gov/performance)

  32. Placement in Postsecondary Education or Training Source: Kentucky Adult Education Core Indicator Performance Measures (www.kyae.ky.gov/performance)

  33. Placement in Unsubsidized Employment Source: Kentucky Adult Education Core Indicator Performance Measures (www.kyae.ky.gov/performance)

  34. Retention in Unsubsidized Employment Source: Kentucky Adult Education Core Indicator Performance Measures (www.kyae.ky.gov/performance)

  35. GED Completion Source: Kentucky Adult Education Core Indicator Performance Measures (www.kyae.ky.gov/performance)

  36. Enrollment in Adult Education Programs Source: Kentucky Adult Education Core Indicator Performance Measures (www.kyae.ky.gov/performance)

  37. This Is a Time to Celebrate Success. And to Redouble Efforts—the Job Is Far from Done.

  38. Meeting Adult Educational Goals in Kentucky—GED Graduates Number of GEDs Needed = 435,000 Source: Kentucky Adult Education Core Indicator Performance Measures (www.kyae.ky.gov/performance)

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