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Fuel-Grade Petroleum Coke Year in Review

Fuel-Grade Petroleum Coke Year in Review. McCloskey’s Petcoke Conference July 2004 Presented by J. David Gipson. Jacobs Consultancy. Formerly The Pace Consultants Inc. - practice founded in 1957 Flexible staff of energy experts Refining and petrochemical Natural gas Power markets

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Fuel-Grade Petroleum Coke Year in Review

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  1. Fuel-Grade Petroleum CokeYear in Review McCloskey’s Petcoke Conference July 2004 Presented by J. David Gipson

  2. Jacobs Consultancy • Formerly The Pace Consultants Inc. - practice founded in 1957 • Flexible staff of energy experts • Refining and petrochemical • Natural gas • Power markets • Since 1983, considered the authoritative and unique source on petroleum coke • Petroleum Coke Quarterly(PCQ) • www.petcokes.com • Petroleum Coke Conference (March 2004, Charlotte, NC)

  3. The Year in Fuel-Grade Petcoke • Petroleum Coke Production to All-Time High • Freight Costs Skyrocket • All Eyes on China • Other Developments/Issues

  4. U.S. Gulf Coast Petroleum Coke Production

  5. U.S. Gulf Coast Fuel-Grade Exports

  6. U.S. Gulf Coast Petcoke Exports • European Receipts Grow with U.S. Production • Continue Demand from Latin America

  7. U.S. West Coast Petroleum Coke Production Thousand MT

  8. US Petcoke Production – 2003Metric Tons

  9. U.S. West Coast Fuel-Grade Exports

  10. U.S. West Coast Petcoke Exports • Drop in Exports to Europe • Increase to Asia (non-Japan)

  11. Freight Contribution to USGC Petcoke Price Delivered to the Mediterranean

  12. Freight Contribution to USWC Petcoke Price Delivered to Japan

  13. Chinese Petcoke Production Thousand MT

  14. Chinese Green Petcoke ImportsApril YTD 2004 vs. 2003

  15. Green Petcoke Exports to ChinaYTD April 2004 vs 2003 (MT)

  16. Other Developments /Issues • Acquisition of AIMCOR by Oxbow • Opening of TGS Deepwater Terminal • Restart of ConocoPhillips’ Wood River Coker • Continued Questions Over LAXT Future • How long will petcoke continue to move through? • Port Security and Petcoke • Strong Demand for Calcinable Quality Petcoke • Low sulfur/metals cokes not increasing

  17. Conclusions • Outlook for New Cokers Strong • Solution to increase refinery outputs • Buyers Adapting to Volatile Freight Rates • Strong Demand from Asia Should Continue • Aided by high coal prices • More Gulf Coast/Caribbean Petcoke to Far East Expected

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