Reasoning Decision Making

Dec 01, 2013

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. The folly of mistaking a paradox for a discovery, a metaphor for a proof, a torrent of verbiage for a spring of capital truths, and oneself for an oracle, is inborn in us.-- Paul Valery . Reasoning

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Reasoning Decision Making

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Decision Making and Reasoning

Decision Making and Reasoning. Chapter 12. Outline. Judgment and Decision Making Classical Decision Theory Satisficing Elimination by Aspects Heuristics and Biases Deductive Reasoning Conditional Reasoning Inductive Reasoning. 1. Judgment and Decision Making.

1.02k views • 25 slides

Deductive Reasoning and Decision Making

Cognition 7e, Margaret MatlinChapter 12 . Decision Making. heuristicsKahneman and Tverskyproposed that a small number of heuristics guide human decision makingthe same strategies that normally guide us toward the correct decision may sometimes lead us astray. Cognition 7e, Margaret MatlinChap

723 views • 37 slides

Deductive Reasoning and Decision Making

Chapter 12. Deductive Reasoning and Decision Making. Introduction. Thinking deductive reasoning —given some specific premises, decide whether those premises allow you to draw a particular conclusions, based on the principles of logic

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Decision Making and Reasoning

Decision Making and Reasoning . Models of Decision Making/Reasoning Biases in decision making Confirmation bias seen in ……. The use of heuristics in decision making/ reasoning A heuristic is a guiding ............ or .............. used in solving problems or making decisions.

1.17k views • 20 slides

Reasoning and Decision Making

Reasoning and Decision Making. Thinking. Ways of thinking Analysis – breaking down a large complex problem into smaller simpler problems Synthesis – combining two or more concepts into a complex form Divergent thinking – generating many ideas or possible solutions to a problem

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Thinking part II judgment heuristics reasoning decision-making

Thinking part II judgment heuristics reasoning decision-making. Judgment Heuristics. Tversky & Kahneman propose that people in many cases might not reason optimally (e.g. follow rules of probability or rational choice) Instead, judgment may be based on heuristics

719 views • 30 slides

10 – Reasoning Motion Judgment Problem Solving Decision Making

10 – Reasoning Motion Judgment Problem Solving Decision Making. Motion Judgment Nearly every day, people observe objects roll, fall, and slide. Yet many people hold striking false beliefs about these kinds of motion. . Falling Bomb Question A horizontally-flying plane drops a bomb.

638 views • 48 slides

Decision-Making and Reasoning

Decision-Making and Reasoning. October 29, 2009. Tversky & Kahneman, 1983, p. 297. Results. “h” rated as more likely than “f” 85% of the time! But Joe, it can’t be so! The probability of “h” cannot be higher than “f”, since “h” is a subset of “f”

722 views • 42 slides

Reasoning and Decision Making

Langston, PSY 4040 Cognitive Psychology Notes 13. Reasoning and Decision Making. Where We Are. We ’ re continuing our tour of higher cognition. We ’ ve covered: Categorization Language—Structure Language—Meaning And we continue with: Reasoning/Decision making Human factors.

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Case Based Reasoning and Financial Decision Making

Case Based Reasoning and Financial Decision Making. By Kostas Hatalis. Contents. Introduction to Finance Case-Based Reasoning for Market Surveillance Financial Applications of Fuzzy CBR to Residential Property Valuation A CBR Approach for Predicting Bank Lending Decisions

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Chapter 12: Decision Making and Reasoning

Chapter 12: Decision Making and Reasoning. Decision Making. 2 different types of models for decision making Prescriptive models Models describing the best way to make a decision Descriptive models Models describing the way decisions are actually made

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Deductive Reasoning & Decision Making

Deductive Reasoning & Decision Making. Dr. Claudia J. Stanny EXP 4507 Memory & Cognition Spring 2009. Overview. Deductive reasoning and biases in reasoning Decision making heuristics Heuristics versus normative strategies for making decisions. Steps in Making a Decision. Establish goals

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Moral Reasoning and Decision Making

Moral Reasoning and Decision Making. Moral Reasoning and Decision Making. The aim in this session is to develop an understanding of how ethical decisions are made in practice, rather than in terms of abstract ethical theories.

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Reasoning & Decision making

Tobias.Johansson@hkr.se. Reasoning & Decision making. Reasoning. Information. Conclusion. Reasoning - deductive. Information. Premise 1 Premise 2 ……. Premise n Conclusion. Conclusion. Valid deductions = if premises true, then conclusion true

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A CASE-BASED REASONING MODEL FOR STRATEGIC DECISION MAKING

A CASE-BASED REASONING MODEL FOR STRATEGIC DECISION MAKING. CASE-BASED REASONING. CBR IS A METHOD OF SOLVING A CURRENT PROBLEM BY ANALOGIZING THE SOLUTIONS TO PREVIOUS SIMILAR PROBLEMS.

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Reasoning and Decision Making

Reasoning and Decision Making. Lindsey Lee, Mallory Moore, Brittany Ledford, and Alex Arthur. Reasoning. Involves drawing inferences or conclusions from given information premises. Types of reasoning. Inductive : Goes from a specific premise to a general conclusion. Deductive :

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Reasoning & Decision Making

Reasoning & Decision Making. Monty Python The Search for the The Holy Grail: Witch Scene http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yp_l5ntikaU.

1.15k views • 110 slides

Reasoning and Decision Making

825 views • 73 slides

Enhancing Decision Making Emulating Human Reasoning

Enhancing Decision Making Emulating Human Reasoning. Matt Brunner Sts. Peter and Paul School – California, KY 5 th -8 th Grade Science & Math Samy Lafin Scott High School – Taylor Mill, KY 9 th grade Clean Energy Engineering, 10 th grade Biology.

433 views • 38 slides

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