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Results for the year ended 31 December 1999

Results for the year ended 31 December 1999. OUTLINE. Stuart Morris Financial highlights Provisions Richard Laubscher Metric dashboard Divisions Positioning. FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS. INCOME STATEMENT. EARNINGS PER SHARE - UP 25%. CAGR 3 Year 25%. PEER GROUP. PEER GROUP.

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Results for the year ended 31 December 1999

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  1. Results for the year ended 31 December 1999

  2. OUTLINE • Stuart Morris • Financial highlights • Provisions • Richard Laubscher • Metric dashboard • Divisions • Positioning

  3. FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS

  4. INCOME STATEMENT

  5. EARNINGS PER SHARE - UP 25% CAGR 3 Year 25%

  6. PEER GROUP

  7. PEER GROUP

  8. OPERATING COMPANIES * NIB reported earnings growth of 25% to R500 million, of which R21 million was attributable to NIB minorities

  9. NET INTEREST MARGIN

  10. SHAREHOLDERS’FUNDS UP 10%

  11. PROVISIONS Provisions were bolstered, not fed into earnings

  12. NON-PERFORMING LOANS

  13. Metric dashboard Beacons or markers

  14. Multiple of revenue / earnings • Marker = ROE • gearing level - financial leverage, financial risk • benchmarks in low inflation economies • proportion of NAV in hard currencies • ROE required to self-service capital • separate management of shareholders’ funds • capital allocated to best ROE opportunities

  15. RESULTS OF ROE FOCUS • Capital ratio grown to 12% • Gearing of 8.5 times is low • Surplus capital held centrally and allocated to best ROE opportunities • Exit inadequate ROE businesses • Travel, air-ticket processing, linked products • Duplicate areas & international businesses • Positioned to gear capital mix at low rates • Much less need for earnings retention

  16. ROE PROSPECTS • >R6bn invested in hard currencies • plans to create currency for further acquisitions, for example listing DDIL • Capital held in cash during high rates • recent moves with Didata - R3bn invested • market value surplus of >R3bn not booked • high earnings growth, hard currency assets • cellular & internet deals in pipeline • Shareholders’ funds are working hard

  17. ASSET PRODUCTIVITY • Marker = ROA • nearing 2% • high return relative to low risk • provisions nearly 3% of advances • Gross coverage 86%, net coverage 167% • Ahead of indicated standardised provision regulations • strong provisions enable improvements to flow through to bottom line

  18. RETAIL DIVISION • Capital One JV for underserved through Peoples Bank • pilots show high upside • information based strategy - data analysis • empowerment deal under negotiation • Right client, brand affinity & attitudinal pull • Nedbank & Permanent Bank • positioned to follow suburban drift • Nedbank Private Bank • merged Nedbank, Syfrets & UAL, leading player • New card system • big growth in electronic base

  19. COMMERCIAL • ROE per client capability • focused service (six-pack teams) on valued clients • factored into all credit decisions • manage client channel choices • 65% of commercial clients have electronic facilities • 75 000 business clients use telecentre • specialised service centres (outside branches) • High ROE/low cost ratio division • Formative relationships, piggy-back growth

  20. CORPORATE • Core credit analysis capability • clean sheet, small share of main failures • Quality growth • running at 24%, 18-20% prospective • Term lending = 40% (annuity component) • Rate competition has always been keen • Client profitability MIS capability • New electronic platform • NIB/ENF deal flow

  21. INTERNATIONAL • Do not do • High-street banking • Investment banking • Global treasury • Take risk in unknown countries • Do • go virtual • minimise capital intensity • share skills and risk with partners • use armour-piercing strategies for barriers to entry

  22. RESULTS • Only major bank gaining market share • Commercial market gains, doubled in 5yrs • High ROA, high asset quality, low risk • high provisions/low NPLs • economic upturn goes directly to bottom line • CBD properties written down

  23. NON-INTEREST REVENUE • Marker = NIR/Total income • target 45% • low capital intensity • choice of channel, ability to analyse activity • high inflation protection • high intellectual capital • Results • cost consequences of channel choice • insurance sales platform, at least R150m upside • private equity growing

  24. EXPENSES • Efficiency ratio (cost/income) • sustainable efficiency without compromising service via process re-engineering culture • Other beacons/markers • assets per employee up by 20% in 1999 to R7.5m • profits per employee up by 37% in 1999 to R139 000 • fixed assets/income now inside 3 months • transaction volumes, cycle times, error rates, unit costs

  25. 25% 75% 50% 20% IT BASED PROCESS RE-ENGINEERING VOLUME & SCALE INTERNATIONALISE Efficiency curve PROJECT SYNERGY PROJECT ALPHA • ADD VOLUME • 3rd Party/Stanbic • Underbanked Unit Cost REPLICATE INTERNATIONALLY PROCESS ENGINEERING

  26. EXPENSE FOCUS RESULTS • Cost ratio now under 52% • lowest in SA • international benchmarks within sight • continuing momentum, eg R400m via projects • ratio in Retail >60% under attack • Branch closures & repositioning • Staff productivity way ahead of peers • Share options in lieu of bonuses • 3rd year of zero increase in processing costs • State of the art technology platform • substantial volume headroom

  27. PLATFORMS • Major spend on • new internet engine • direct telecentre • cell phone (view phone) • electronic banking • network “pipe” • Client choice, pricing for functionality

  28. PLATFORM RESULTS • 903 4th generation ATMs, top in Saswitch • 337 SSTs, user friendly touch screen • 90 000 business clients contracted at Nedtel • first with WAP/MMM internet connectivity • 45 000 internet clients • 770 000 transactions per month • Lower costs/higher functionality

  29. BUSINESS MODEL • Smaller units • co-operation, participation, ownership • performance driven, individual and team • invest in performers/exit non-performers • Values based culture • fairness, development, integrity, performance • people management rewarded • Concentration on • virtual form & ensuring convergence play • intellectual capacity • partnerships (share knowledge & risk) • Didata , Capital One , Dresdner & BNP , HSBC , Old Mutual , State Street, American Express

  30. CONCLUSION • Less risk • More capital appreciation • Higher returns • Inch by inch sustainable performance improvements • Pick-ups in GDP, volume & efficiency go straight to the bottom line

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