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Strategies for the verification of ensemble weather element forecasts

Strategies for the verification of ensemble weather element forecasts

Strategies for the verification of ensemble weather element forecasts. Laurence J. Wilson Meteorological Service of Canada Montreal, Quebec. Outline. The ensemble verification problem Attributes applied to the ensemble distribution Verification of the ensemble distribution RPS and CRPS

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262 views • 26 slides
The Future of Hydrologic Modeling

The Future of Hydrologic Modeling

The Future of Hydrologic Modeling. Dave Radell Scientific Services Division Eastern Region Headquarters. Current Research Thrusts. Distributed Models Data Assimilation Ensemble Forecasts Verification. Courtesy NCAR.

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357 views • 23 slides
EXTENDED-RANGE (5-30 DAY) FORECASTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES WITH ECMWF ENSEMBLE IN THE ATLANTIC DURING MAY-DECEMBER 2012

EXTENDED-RANGE (5-30 DAY) FORECASTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES WITH ECMWF ENSEMBLE IN THE ATLANTIC DURING MAY-DECEMBER 2012

S6-08. EXTENDED-RANGE (5-30 DAY) FORECASTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONES WITH ECMWF ENSEMBLE IN THE ATLANTIC DURING MAY-DECEMBER 2012. Russell L. Elsberry, Hsiao-Chung Tsai, Mary S. Jordan Department of Meteorology Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California

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306 views • 17 slides
WG Session 2 - DET Infrastructure: Ensemble and Probabilistic products and Verification

WG Session 2 - DET Infrastructure: Ensemble and Probabilistic products and Verification

WG Session 2 - DET Infrastructure: Ensemble and Probabilistic products and Verification. Prioritized list of ensemble-relevant verification products Basic tools will be there Time-space scales, user, phenomenon dependent Account for various needs of all users

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176 views • 9 slides

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