Science, Security and Resilience THE Global Uncertainties (GU) Programme

1. Science, Security and Resilience THE Global Uncertainties (GU) Programme Talk to the Emergency Planning College, 10 June 2014 Tristram Riley-Smith External Champion to the GU Programme

2. WHAT IS THE GU PROGRAMME? RCUK’s Partnership for Conflict, Crime & Security Research A national research programme examining causes of insecurity and how security risks & threats can be predicted, prevented and managed. Some facts: • Runs from 2008-2018. • Over 1,200 projects to date. • Grants awarded amount to over £400m. • Themes focus mainly on man-made threats.

3. THE SIX GU THEMES Terrorism Ideologies & Beliefs Transnational Org’dCrime CBRN Proliferation Threats toInfrastructure Cyber-Security

4. CONFLICT The Seventh Theme?

5. WHY DOES THE PROGRAMME MATTER? “Everyone has a right to life, liberty, and security of person.” UN Universal Declaration of Human Rights 1948 … Butthe security of millions is threatened every day, locally or globally.

6. The External Champion • My role is to help researchers deliver impact from the GU Programme. • I can, for instance … • highlight end-user requirements that are currently unfulfilled; • identify existing projects most likely to deliver value to end-users.

7. “WORK WITH STAKEHOLDERS” • Map out the stakeholder community • Identify new or unvoiced requirements • Undertake Knowledge Exchange exercises: • Fellowship Schemes • Placements and Calls • Policy and Impact Seminars • Enhanced Impact Clinics and RISC Market-Place.

8. Northrop Grumman RISC Selex Finmec’a British Telecom Lutra BlueLights Works Airbus Defence & Space IBM IRM Hakluyt ADS Start-up Boot-Camp Europol All Party Parl’try Group on GU DFID GO Science Global Security Challenge HMGCC DCLG Private Sector White House OSTP NCA Stakeholder Contacts April ‘13 -March‘14 MI5 GU FCO CPNI Co-op Ireland CCS Public Sector Third Sector OCSIA GDS WEF SOCA US DoD TSB Imperial War Museum Home Office German Embassy US DHS NSSI Group MPS NABIS ICSSR DEIT India PHIA US Embassy DfT BBC Media Action LCCP Emergency Planning College College of Policing GCHQ MoD ACPO

9. Stakeholder Requirements Complex and pressing need to address man-made threats to security and well-being. • The National Security Strategy • National Security through Technology • The Strategic Defence and Security Review 2015 • The Security Export Strategy • Security/Cyber Growth Partnerships. • Resilience/Civil Protection

10. Stakeholder Requirements Resilience/Civil Protection • Build Resilience: • in society, cities, systems (including the critical national infrastructure) to deal with the consequences of threats when they are realised. • Examples: help is needed … • to understand how people respond to public announcements in a crisis • To optimise the delivery of messages to save lives • To map interdependencies within and between critical infrastructures (transport, power, energy, telecommunications, water, food supply, banking etc); • To design and deploy tools to sense, measure and counter hazards. • “A strong scientific research base is crucial to the resilience of our nation: the Cabinet Office is currently working on its priorities here.” Rt. Hon. Oliver Letwin, Minister for Government Policy

11. Stakeholder Requirements Example: Security Export Strategy • Global Market: £410bn (2012) > £571bn (2016) • Goal: increase UK’s share of security exports from 4% to 8% by 2020 • UK Strengths: • History and Experience • Unique international position and perspective • Quality, Reliability and Standards • Innovation and Expertise – (incThe GU Programme)

12. “WORK WITH RESEARCHERS” • Understand the GU research portfolio • Facilitate collaborative new research • Support the delivery of impact from research: • Policy and Impact Seminars • Enhanced Impact Clinics & the RISC Market-Place.

13. University of Nottingham University of Cambridge University of Oxford Cardiff University University of Kent University of Bournemouth University of Warwick Strathclyde University of Westminster RCUK RUSI University of York IET Sussex Brunel University PURE Hull The Open University Glasgow Imperial GU UEL University of Durham UCL University of Amsterdam Exeter Sandia National Labs USNA START (Maryland) Stimson Centre US Queen's Belfast University of Bath USNSF University of Bristol Abertay Dundee Sheffield Newcastle University Edinburgh Saint Andrews Anglia Ruskin University of Birmingham Research Contacts Apr 2013 - Mar2014

14. GU Projects: • examples of interest to emergency planners? Emergency Communications • Professor John Preston, University of East London • Mass population response to critical infrastructure collapse (ends 2015) • Adaptive networks for smart evacuations (ended 2012) Infrastructure Protection: Mapping • Prof David Arrowsmith, Queen Mary University Resilience, Adaptability and Vulnerability of Complex Energy Networks (ended 2013) • Prof R.J. Dawson, Newcastle University Resource implications of adaptation of infrastructure to global change (ends 2015)

15. GU Projects: • examples of interest to emergency planners? Sensors • Dr Ian Fallis, University of Cardiff (ended 2009) Easy-to-use Test Kits for Toxic Chemical Identification • Dr Martin Castell, University of Oxford Ultra-sensitive molecular detection (ended 2012) • Dr H.C. Boston, University of Liverpool “Imaging & detection of radioactive material – portable gamma ray imaging spectrometer (PGRIS)” (ends 2015)

16. GU Projects: • examples of interest to emergency planners? Community Resilience • Professor Lindsey McEwen, University of the West of England Sustainable flood memories &the development of community resilience to future flood risk: a comparative study of three recently flooded communities. (ended 2013)

17. Researcher Requirements Substantial and relevant research capacity needs help to understand and connect with Global Uncertainties stakeholders.

18. THANK YOU • http://www.globaluncertainties.org.uk/ • Dr Tristram Riley-Smith • tr356@cam.ac.uk External Champion for RCUK’s Global Uncertainties Programme