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Military-to-military relations in the Arctic: Building confidence in a changing region

Military-to-military relations in the Arctic: Building confidence in a changing region. Kristofer Bergh, SIPRI Wroclaw 23 November 2012. Stockholm International Peace Research Institute.

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Military-to-military relations in the Arctic: Building confidence in a changing region

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  1. Military-to-military relations in the Arctic: Building confidence in a changing region Kristofer Bergh, SIPRI Wroclaw 23 November 2012

  2. Stockholm International Peace Research Institute BSIPRI is an independent international institute dedicated to research into conflict, armaments, arms control and disarmament. Established in 1966, SIPRI provides data, analysis and recommendations, based on open sources, to policymakers, researchers, media and the interested public.

  3. 2007 07/11/11

  4. Possible sources of tension • Borders and shelfs - Hans Island - North West Passage - Overlapping claims • Incidents at sea - Russian trawlers in Barents sea • Increased military capabilities - may cause concern

  5. International military co-op in the Arctic PfP, CHOD, ASFR NATO NORAD NORDEFCO Norway Denmark Iceland USA Canada Sweden Finland Russia

  6. North Atlantic Cooperation NATO • Canada unwilling to engage • Norway positive • US to gain • Russia suspicious

  7. North American Cooperation NORAD • ”Special relationship” • USNORTHCOM

  8. Nordic Cooperation • Stoltenberg Report, 2009 • Declaration of solidarity, 2011 • NORDEFCO • Russia suspicious

  9. Circumpolar Cooperation • Arctic Chief of Defence meeting • Arctic 8 • High level • Arctic Security Forces Roundtable - Arctic 8+ - Low level Russian engagement

  10. Building confidence • Race for resources • Most resources lie within internationally established boundaries Arctic land grab • UNCLOS • Ilulissat Arctic arms race - CHOD, ASFR Incidents at sea

  11. Thank you! Questions? Kristofer Bergh Stockholm International Peace Research Institute bergh@sipri.org

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