1 / 29

Assessment of Southeast Florida Road User Costs

18. Development of Travel Time Values. Methodology. Determine Markets ... Southeast Florida. National. Source: US Census National Income and Product Account. AASHTO ...

LionelDale
Télécharger la présentation

Assessment of Southeast Florida Road User Costs

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript


    presented to Southeast Florida FSUTMS Users Group presented by Don Vary Cambridge Systematics, Inc. November 2, 2007

    Slide 1:Assessment of Southeast Florida Road User Costs

    Slide 2:Agenda

    Project Overview Review of Methodologies Values Developed

    Slide 3:Assessment of Road User Costs Project Overview

    District 4 starts to build economic assessment framework Develop localized and statewide values for Travel time Vehicle operating costs Transit being considered separately Develop flexible spreadsheet applications Assess localized travel costs in construction zones

    Slide 4:Project Overview

    Steps Conduct literature reviews Determine key markets, factors Conduct data review, collection, analysis Develop values ($/mile) Conduct workshops Methodology User group

    VOC

    Slide 5: Development of Vehicle Operating Costs Methodology for Auto and Truck VOCs

    National State Local Sources Adjustment Factors Cost Parameters Fuel Costs Depreciation Finance Fuel Tax Sales Tax Licensing and Registration Tires Maintenance and Repairs Insurance City/Highway Conditions Speed

    Slide 6:Vehicle Operating Costs Methodology Basic Parameters/Assumptions

    Vehicle class types Autos compact, mid-size, large, minivan, SUV Trucks single-unit and combination-unit Driving range Auto 12,000-15,000 miles per year Truck 100,00 miles per year Driving conditions Operations in urban setting (35 mph) Vehicle age Autos 10-year old vehicle Trucks costs averaged over 5 years @ 100,000 miles/year

    Slide 7:Vehicle Operating Costs Methodology Fuel Costs, Consumption Rates

    Fuel prices Energy Information Administration Consumption rates Auto www.fueleconomy.gov Truck MDOT VOC study Consumption Rates and Costs/Mile

    Slide 8:Maintenance and Repairs Methodology Costs/Mile

    Contacted dealerships Function of Cost of oil/filter changes (3K) Regular tune-ups (30K) Prevailing shop rates Cost per Mile

    Slide 9:Tires Methodology Costs per Mile

    Contacted local dealerships Function of Mileage between changes (45K) Cost of new tire set Statewide and local wage rates Cost per Mile

    Slide 10:Insurance Methodology Cost per Mile

    Allstate quotes for leased and owned vehicle by vehicle type Auto and truck Average uses Standard policies Cost per Mile 50/100,000 Married 20 mile commute Insurance estimates were based on the rate for one 35-year-old married male driver with no violations or accidents in the past five years, the primary use of the vehicle being for local and regional business. Insurance levels are as follows: Bodily injury liability: $50,000 coverage limit per person and $100,000 coverage limit by accident; Property damage: $10,000 per accident; Medical payments coverage: $2,000 per person; Personal injury protection: Full deductible; Collision: $250 deductible; and Comprehensive Insurance: $250 deductible. Insurance costs are regularly expressed in dollars per year; however for the purposes of consistency, insurance costs are expressed here in dollars per mile driven.50/100,000 Married 20 mile commute Insurance estimates were based on the rate for one 35-year-old married male driver with no violations or accidents in the past five years, the primary use of the vehicle being for local and regional business. Insurance levels are as follows: Bodily injury liability: $50,000 coverage limit per person and $100,000 coverage limit by accident; Property damage: $10,000 per accident; Medical payments coverage: $2,000 per person; Personal injury protection: Full deductible; Collision: $250 deductible; and Comprehensive Insurance: $250 deductible. Insurance costs are regularly expressed in dollars per year; however for the purposes of consistency, insurance costs are expressed here in dollars per mile driven.

    Slide 11:Depreciation Methodology Cost per Mile

    Autos Based on Kelly Blue Book Function of age and mileage based depreciation by region Information collected by vehicle class and brand name Trucks MNDOT Study (5-8 cents/mile) Cost per Mile It is expected that cars, sports-utility vehicles, and trucks lose around 20percent of their purchase value within the first year of purchase. In addition, the automotive lease guide and the Kelly Blue Book estimate that nonluxury cars retain roughly 40percent of their original cost by the end of the third year of purchase or lease. Residual values are highest among German cars and lowest among U.S. vehicle brands. On the other hand, luxury cars are expected to retain roughly 50percent of their initial value over the same period. Age depreciation was determined by fixing the driving distance to zero and collecting data on cost of purchase for selected brand names by vehicle size (Toyota Corolla/Small-Size Vehicle, Ford Taurus/Medium-Size Vehicle, and Ford Crown Victoria/Large-Size Vehicle) on a yearly basis between ages 0 and 10. These brand names were shown to be the most popular in Southeast Florida according to findings on vehicle shares by brand name from the Florida Department of Motor Vehicles vehicle registration tag database. Depreciation by miles driven also was collected. For each represented vehicle make, purchasing costs were collected for zero, 60,000 (fifth year), and 90,000 miles (end of vehicle life span as recommended by FHWAs Office of Highway Policy Information) driven. Miles and age driven depreciation costs were converted to yearly figures based on 12,000 miles yearly traveling conditions as recommended by the American Automobile Association. Findings indicated that depreciation rates for small vehicles were highest in the initial years of purchase and lowest towards the end of the life span. By the ninth year, small vehicles are anticipated to retain 9percent of their initial purchase cost compared to 4percent for medium-size vehicles and 4percent for large-size vehicles according to findings from the Kelly Blue Book.It is expected that cars, sports-utility vehicles, and trucks lose around 20percent of their purchase value within the first year of purchase. In addition, the automotive lease guide and the Kelly Blue Book estimate that nonluxury cars retain roughly 40percent of their original cost by the end of the third year of purchase or lease. Residual values are highest among German cars and lowest among U.S. vehicle brands. On the other hand, luxury cars are expected to retain roughly 50percent of their initial value over the same period. Age depreciation was determined by fixing the driving distance to zero and collecting data on cost of purchase for selected brand names by vehicle size (Toyota Corolla/Small-Size Vehicle, Ford Taurus/Medium-Size Vehicle, and Ford Crown Victoria/Large-Size Vehicle) on a yearly basis between ages 0 and 10. These brand names were shown to be the most popular in Southeast Florida according to findings on vehicle shares by brand name from the Florida Department of Motor Vehicles vehicle registration tag database. Depreciation by miles driven also was collected. For each represented vehicle make, purchasing costs were collected for zero, 60,000 (fifth year), and 90,000 miles (end of vehicle life span as recommended by FHWAs Office of Highway Policy Information) driven. Miles and age driven depreciation costs were converted to yearly figures based on 12,000 miles yearly traveling conditions as recommended by the American Automobile Association. Findings indicated that depreciation rates for small vehicles were highest in the initial years of purchase and lowest towards the end of the life span. By the ninth year, small vehicles are anticipated to retain 9percent of their initial purchase cost compared to 4percent for medium-size vehicles and 4percent for large-size vehicles according to findings from the Kelly Blue Book.

    Slide 12:Finance Charges Methodology Costs per Mile

    Capital One Interest rates Autos 4.39% Trucks 11.0% Cost per Mile

    Slide 13:License and Registration Fees Methodology and Fee, Costs per Mile

    Local tax collection offices Differ by weight Other components are a flat fee Fee and Cost per Mile

    Slide 14:Taxes Methodology

    Local option gas tax Localize state gas figures to counties Florida transportation tax source primer on county tax rates Sales tax Florida Department of Revenue Incorporate tax into finance charges

    Slide 15: Low-Range Vehicle Operating Costs-Southeast Florida Results

    $78,800 $56,198 Annual Total Vehicle Operating Cost $0.788 $0.563 Total Vehicle Operating Cost $0.001 (0.1%) $0.001 (0.2%) License and Registration $0.036 (4.6%) $0.013 (2.3%) Finance Charges $0.130(16.5 %) $0.130 (23.1%) Depreciation $0.064 (8.1 %) $0.013(2.3%) Insurance $0.040 (5.1%) $0.030 (5.3%) Tires $0.084 (10.7%) $0.063 (11.2%) Maintenance and Repairs $0.090 (11.4%) $0.065 (11.5%) Fuel Tax $0.343(43.5%) $0.248 (44.0%) Fuel Cost Cost/mile 100,000 100,000 Mileage per year City City City/Highway Condition 45 45 Speed (mph) 5 5 Vehicle Lifespan (Years) Combination-Unit Truck Single-Unit Truck Vehicle Class Attributes Proposed Truck Operating Costs Southeast Florida Results

    Slide 17:Spreadsheet Calculator VOC Variables

    Vehicle mix Annual average mileage Average vehicle lifespan Stop-and-go scenarios city or highway conditions Average speed scenarios Tires change frequency scenarios Tires change costs per job Oil change frequency scenarios Oil change costs per job Maintenance and repairs frequency scenarios Maintenance and repairs costs per job Fuel costs Fuel taxes Fuel economy License and registration costs Sales taxes Finance rates and charges Vehicle life span Annual insurance costs

    Slide 18:Development of Travel Time Values Methodology

    Determine Markets Develop Generalized Values Develop Localized Values Validate/Test Reconcile with VOC Markets Literature Review Income/Wage Data Survey Traffic Counts Apply Model Post Processor Sketch Planning

    Slide 19:Methodology Potential Market Segmentations

    (continued next slide)

    Slide 20:Methodology Potential Market Segmentations (continued)

    Slide 21: Value of Time by Market for Personal Travel

    50% $10.58/Hour $10.83/Hour Personal (visitor) 50% $10.58/Hour $10.83/Hour Personal (local) 60% $12.69/Hour $13.01/Hour Commuter $43,994 $45,061 Wage-all Industries Percent of Wage Rate Southeast Florida National Source: US Census National Income and Product Account. AASHTO Red Book. Values in 2004 dollars

    Slide 22: Value of Time for On-the-Clock Travel

    $25.80/Hour $27.19/Hour Total ($2004) $22.24 $23.44 Hourly ($2000) $46,621 $48,753 Total Compensation ($2000) $35,585 $37,502 Wages ($2000) Florida Average Southeast National On the Clock TTV Component Source: National Income and Products Accounts, Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Census Bureau. Values in 2004 dollars

    Slide 23: Value of Time and Proportion of Travel by Trip Purpose

    $12.10 10% 0% 90% 0% Nonhome-based $11.34 5% 0% 95% 0% Home-based Unknown $12.10 10% 0% 90% 0% Home-based Other $10.59 0% 5% 95% 0% Home-based Social/Recreational $10.58 0% 0% 100% 0% Home-based School $10.59 0% 5% 95% 0% Home-based Shopping $12.69 0% 0% 0% 100% Home-based Work $25.80 $10.83 $10.58 $12.69 Average On-the-Clock Visitor Personal Local Personal Commute Source: National Income and Products Accounts, Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Census Bureau. Values in 2004 dollars

    9:00- 11:30 a.m. 1:30- 4:30 p.m.

    Slide 24: Value of Time and Proportion of Travel by Time-of-Day

    $11.63 $11.92 $11.92 $11.82 $11.79 $11.76 Average 16% 22% 32% 46% 32% 16% Nonhome-based 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% Home-based Unknown 25% 21% 21% 20% 25% 20% Home-based Other 16% 8% 6% 5% 7% 3% Home-based Social/ Recreational 3% 5% 10% 3% 3% 16% Home-based School 13% 11% 11% 14% 16% 3% Home-based Shopping 25% 32% 20% 11% 16% 40% Home-based Work Other 4:30- 6:30 p.m 11:30 a.m.-1:30 p.m. 6:30- 9:00 a.m. Source: Southeast Florida Home Interview Survey.

    Combination-Unit Trucks

    Slide 25: Distribution of Traffic and TTVs by Functional Classification

    $11.39 2.1% 1.6% 0.4% 95.9% Urban Collector $11.19 0.8% 1.2% 0.2% 97.8% Urban Minor Arterial $11.26 1.0% 1.7% 0.2% 97.1% Urban Other Principal Arterial $11.52 2.7% 2.2% 0.5% 94.7% Urban Principal Arterial Other Frwys/Exprswys $11.80 4.8% 2.4% 0.6% 92.2% Principal Arterial Interstate $12.22 7.1% 3.7% 0.3% 88.9% Rural Major Collector $11.72 3.6% 2.9% 0.2% 93.2% Rural Minor Arterial $12.12 7.0% 2.9% 0.4% 89.7% Rural Principal Arterial Other $13.22 16.6% 2.8% 0.6% 80.1% Rural Principal Arterial Interstate TTVs Single-Unit Trucks Buses Personal Vehicles Source: FDOT District 4 Traffic Monitoring System.

    Slide 26:Distribution of Traffic and TTVs by Vehicle Classification

    $31.10 $31.10 $118.55 $19.86 Total Vehicle TTV 1.2 1.2 10.15 1.57 Average Occupancy $25.80 $25.80 $11.68 $12.65 Per-Person TTV 100% 100% 5% 10% On-the-Clock 10% 10% Visitor/Personal 70% 55% Local/Personal 15% 25% Commute Combination-Unit Trucks Single-Unit Trucks Buses Personal Vehicles Source: National Household Travel Survey, National Transit Database, Team consensus

    Slide 27:SEFRUC Survey

    Telephone survey administrated to random sampling of 5,000 households in Southeast Florida 200 completed surveys Calls made early evening/late evening weekdays/weekends Questions related to Socioeconomic characteristics Trip making characteristics Stated preference questions

    Slide 28:SEFRUC Survey Results 2004 Dollars

    Travel time values for all trips fall in the range of $8-$12 Consistent with previous findings from national sources that have been adjusted for use in Southeast Florida Respondents attach a higher value to work trips than nonwork trips $12 versus $8, when un-weighted, or $10.30 and $7.40 when weighted by age distribution in the population Higher income respondents have a higher value of time than lower-income residents $7.80 versus $16.70 un-weighted by age distribution, or $7.90 and $11.20 when weighted by age distribution in the population

    Slide 29:RUC for Construction Projects

    TTI 1999 study Used MicroBenCost Lookup tables Texas conditions Cost per day per mile, 10% trucks VOC values $12/hour for Texas ($11 for Florida) OHIO Construction Incentive Program $1.6K/day (32.5K maximum) Florida D5 bonuses SR 434 $7K/day ($600K maximum) I-4 Polk County $10K/day ($2M maximum)

More Related