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Prospects for Livestock Exports

Prospects for Livestock Exports. Michael Finucan Manager – Livestock Exports Meat and Livestock Australia. Overview. Industry overview Live sheep trade Volume and Value Key Markets what's driving demand? can we supply?. Industry Overview.

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Prospects for Livestock Exports

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  1. Prospects for Livestock Exports Michael Finucan Manager – Livestock Exports Meat and Livestock Australia

  2. Overview • Industry overview • Live sheep trade • Volume and Value • Key Markets • what's driving demand? • can we supply?

  3. Industry Overview • The Hassall Report (2006) found the industry creates 13,000 jobs and contributes $1.8billion to the economy annually • In 2008 the total livestock exports was worth $975 Million

  4. Live cattle exports – Volume and Value

  5. Indonesia – Volume and Value

  6. Live cattle – Market share - 2008

  7. Live goat exports – Volume and Value

  8. Live goats – Market share - 2008

  9. Live Sheep Exports – Volume and Value

  10. Live sheep exports by destination

  11. Market Share

  12. Market Share

  13. Demand Factors • Price • Australian Dollar • Sea Freight • Domestic sheep supply • Competition / Alternative supply • Religious requirement • Government subsidies • Humanitarian aid

  14. A$ - large factor in live sheep prices 35% Fall

  15. National flock to continue decline in 2009

  16. National flock falls 7.6% in 2007-08- largest decline in WA -8% +2% -7% -22% -12% -6% 13%

  17. Live export wether prices to the Middle East

  18. In Market Competition • Who is our key competitor in the market?

  19. In Market Competition • Who is our key competitor in the market? • Livestock from competitor countries like Somalia, Iran, Sudan

  20. In Market Competition • Who is our key competitor in the market? • Livestock from competitor countries like Somalia, Iran, Sudan • Do we compete with Imported Chilled and Frozen beef

  21. Lamb and Mutton Volume

  22. Live sheep and Meat volumes

  23. Live and Meat volumes

  24. Lamb and Mutton

  25. U.A.E Volume

  26. Religious requirements • 2 key religious festivals • Ramadan • Is the Islamic month of fasting, in which participating Muslims do not eat or drink anything from dawn until sunset • Eid ul-Fitr - Festival of Breaking the Fast • Hajj pilgrimage • The Hajj is a pilgrimage to Mecca • Eid al Adha– Festival of the sacrifice

  27. Insert Hajj photo

  28. Saudi – religious volume

  29. Bahrain

  30. Supplementing supply with cattle

  31. Humanitarian Aid • Oman • Approximately 50% of the volume exported in 2008 was for charity • Sheep are purchased by local Toyota dealer (Saud Bahwan) and distributed to the poor. • This demand has seen 2008 annual volume reach 741,000hd

  32. Oman Charity Volume

  33. Prospects for 2009 • Demand to remain strong • Religious needs • Food security issues • Humanitarian aid • Supply will be the issues • Australian flock to decline a further 5% • Extra pressure on already tight supply • Savings in currency will be offset by cost of sheep

  34. Live export wether prices to the Middle East

  35. Live sheep exports

  36. Thank You

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