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June Conference Call

This comprehensive report analyzes economic data spanning various countries, focusing on retail sales in Spain from 2001 to 2012, GDP trends in Brazil, India, and China, and financial statistics concerning the PIIGS nations and their debts. It includes insights from the ECB on overnight deposits, TARGET2 loan balances, and trade balances among key European countries. The impact of currency devaluation and debt-to-GDP ratios are examined, along with critical analyses of historical financial crises and their implications for current economic conditions.

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June Conference Call

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  1. June Conference Call presented by Harry S. Dent, Jr. (2011) (1993)

  2. Retail Sales, Spain2001-2012 Year over Year Change Data Source: Bloomberg, 2012

  3. ECB Overnight Deposits1997-2012 Monthly Change, Millions of Euros Data Source: European Central Bank, April 2012

  4. Brazil, Quarterly GDP2009-2011 Year Over Year Percent Change Data Source: Central Bank of Brazil, 2012

  5. India, Quarterly GDP2009-2012 Year Over Year Percent Change Data Source: Organization for Economic Co-operative Development, 2012

  6. China, Quarterly GDP2009-2012 Year Over Year Percent Change Data Source: Organization for Economic Co-operative Development, 2012

  7. China, Trends Year over Year Change Source: “Understanding the China Slowdown,” Dexter Roberts, Bloomberg Business Week. 5/31/2012

  8. TARGET2 Loan BalancesEuro Zone Countries Billions Data Source: ECB, Target Quarterly Report, 2012

  9. Total Owed to Central Banks and ECB Billions Data Source: ECB, Target Quarterly Report, April 2012; Financial Statements of: Central Banks of Italy, Spain, Ireland, Greece, Portugal, 2012

  10. Gross External Debt, PIIGS with Germany, 2011 Data Source: World Bank, IMF, SDDS/QEDS, 2012

  11. Gross External Debt in Past Key Financial Crises Data Source: “The PIGS’ external debt problem,” Ricardo Cabral, 5/8/2012

  12. Net External Debt, PIIGS with Germany, 2011 Data Source: Eurostat, IMF, 2012

  13. Iceland, Imports and Exports2000-2011 Billions of Iclelandic Kr. Currency Devaluation Data Source: IMF, St. Louis Fed, 2012

  14. Exports/Imports as Percent of GDP, Key European Countries Data Source: IMF, St. Louis Federal Reserve, CIA World Fact Book, 2012

  15. Percent of GDP Exposed to Exports to PIIGS Data Source: IMF, St. Louis Federal Reserve, CIA World Fact Book, 2012

  16. Germany, Exports in U.S. Dollars to Key European Countries, 2011 Data Source: IMF, St. Louis Federal Reserve, CIA World Fact Book, 2012

  17. Germany, Export Exposure to PIIGS, 2011 Data Source: IMF, St. Louis Federal Reserve, CIA World Fact Book, 2012

  18. Spain Trade Balances,Key European Countries, 2011 Data Source: IMF, St. Louis Federal Reserve, CIA World Fact Book, 2012

  19. Total Government and Private Debt to GDP, PIIGS Debt to GDP 406% 400% 332% 266% Data Source: “Measuring the Unfunded Liabilities of European Countries,” Jagadeesh Gokhal, 2011; OECD

  20. NYSE, MACD Indicator1998-2012 Source: Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com, 2012

  21. VIX- S&P 500 Implied Volatility2008- 2012 Data Source: Yahoo Finance, 2012

  22. CRB Index1998-2015 B .62 .62 1.00 A C Data Source: Bloomberg, 2012

  23. Crude Oil, WTI 1998-2014 5 or B B 3 1 4 A C 2 Data Source: Bloomberg, 2012

  24. Gold Sentiment October 2007- June 2012 Data Source: Trade-Futures.com, 2012

  25. 10-Year Treasury Bond Channel1989-2015 Data Source: Yahoo! Finance, 2012

  26. Spain, IBEX 352003-2015 5 B A C Data Source: Bloomberg, 2012

  27. S&P 500, Scenario 1 2012 2 2 4 1 3 5 1 Data Source: Yahoo! Finance, 2012

  28. S&P 500, Scenario 2 2012 2 2 1 1 Data Source: Yahoo! Finance, 2012

  29. S&P 500, Reverse Head-and-Shoulders Pattern, March- July 2012 2 2 S ? S H Data Source: Yahoo! Finance, 2012

  30. June Conference Call presented by Harry S. Dent, Jr. (2011) (1993)

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