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Chris Funk, Jim Rowland, Libby White, Gary Eilerts, Gideon Galu, Alkhalil Adoum 10/02/2012

UCSB Climate Hazard Group. USGS Climate Change Fact Sheets. Chris Funk, Jim Rowland, Libby White, Gary Eilerts, Gideon Galu, Alkhalil Adoum 10/02/2012. Monitoring across scales. 500 mm 1960-1989. 500 mm 2020?. Many people supported. Fewer people supported.

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Chris Funk, Jim Rowland, Libby White, Gary Eilerts, Gideon Galu, Alkhalil Adoum 10/02/2012

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  1. UCSB Climate Hazard Group USGS Climate Change Fact Sheets Chris Funk, Jim Rowland, Libby White, Gary Eilerts,Gideon Galu, AlkhalilAdoum10/02/2012

  2. Monitoring across scales

  3. 500 mm 1960-1989 500 mm 2020? Many people supported Fewer people supported Kenya - Shrinking rains and topography Lake Western Central Victoria Kenya Highlands Opportunities for Investment? Increasing Vulnerability?

  4. Monitoring Decadal Trends ftp://chg.geog.ucsb.edu/pub/pubs/mapping_decadal_variations.pdf

  5. Areas receiving more than 500 mm during the Long rains Shrinking rainscaused by a warming Indian Ocean http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2010/3074/pdf/fs2010-3074.pdf

  6. Fact Sheets • Kenya • Sudan • Uganda • Ethiopia • Chad • Niger • Burkina Faso • Mali • Senegal http://earlywarning.usgs.gov/fews/reports.php

  7. Ethiopia

  8. Climate Change, population growth and agricultural expansion MODIS land cover transitions from forest to cropland (left) and land cover transitions from forest to mix of natural vegetation and cropland (right).

  9. Sudan-I

  10. Sudan-II More less More More less More

  11. Uganda

  12. Mali, Niger, Chad, Senegal Mali Niger Chad Senegal

  13. East African Droughts Bulletin of American Meteorological Society July 2012

  14. Browning Trend Across Much of Kenya, Southern Ethiopia and Somalia, 2001-2011 Analysis by Prof. Michaelsen And Brant Liebmann/Marty Hoerling

  15. Extremely Warm Western Pacific Bulletin of American Meteorological Society July 2012

  16. 1999-2011 Walker Circulation Intensification-I SST Ds IWP SSTs IWP LWabs CP LWabs LWabsDs 1999-2011 minus 1979-1998 CP SSTs SST gradient LWabs grad obs QabsDs LWabs grad mod Paper Submitted to Climate Dynamics

  17. 1999-2011 Walker Circulation Intensification

  18. Indo-Pacific Hydrodyne Index Correlations with IPHI for the R20, R1, and MERRA data sets.

  19. Very strong 1999-2011 SST gradient

  20. Correlations with WP SSTs JAS JFM CAM4 T Q CAM4 P

  21. 1999-2011 Walker Circulation Intensification IWP-CP SSTs A. Time-series of the standardized 10-year average WP-to-CP SST gradient (WP:15°S-15°N, 130-150°E, CP: 15°S-15°N, 180-120°W). B. Scatterplot showing changes between 1960-1989 and 21st century precipitation and air temperatures.

  22. September Climate

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