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This analysis investigates the Chikungunya outbreak in the Indian Ocean from 2004 to 2007, examining public health responses amid globalization challenges. The outbreak resulted in 266,000 cases and significant neonatal impacts, prompting urgent research and vaccines. The study highlights the disease's mutation, treatment trials, and responses to fears surrounding transmission. The importance of effective communication, surveillance, and collaboration among researchers and health workers is emphasized as vital for managing emerging vector-borne diseases.
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Coherence in response to Globalisation challenges.Chikungunya outbreak in Indian Ocean 2004-07 as a case-study Antoine Flahault, MD, PhD
Risk perception (April 2006)social – medical- epidemiologic • 266,000 cases • 255 death certificates with "chikungunya" • 40 neonatal transmissions • 2-4% of cases were hospitalised • 247 in ICU, • 63 deaths Médiane = 8
From Mombasa (2004) to Ravena (2007) July 2007 Ravena, Italy 260 cases 12 1 133 17 2006-2007 India and Asia > 1.5 M cases 807 1 37 11 4 9 Kenya, June 2004 Lamu, Mombasa : seroprevalence 75% * Summer 2006 Indian Ocean 2nd wave 40 - 65% Jan-May 2005 Indian Ocean 1st wave adpaté de Charrel R et coll. NEJM, 2007
WhyChikungunyadidemergeatthis place atthis time? Adamsberg, 2002
APRIL 2004 MAY 2004 JUNE 2004 Lamu Mombasa Lamu Mombasa Lamu Mombasa Comores Mayotte Réunion
Genome sequencing of chikungunya virus Indian Ocean : 92 sequences from 89 patients Mutation from A226 to V226 between the 2 waves Schuffenecker I et al., PLoS Medicine, 2006
Twowaves but a unique epidemic force 3 < R < 4 Boelle et al., Vect Born Zoon Dis, 2007
Ex-vivo model: chloroquine effect X. de Lamballerie, Unité des Virus Emergents, Marseille, mars 2006
Le macaque : modèle animal • J1-J5: virémie détectable par RT-PCR • J2: fièvre, arthralgies fugaces • J1-J3: éruption diffuse modérée • J3-J5: oedème du cou, angine Le Grand, CEA, Sept. 2006 Le Grand, 2006
Clinical trials • CuraChik : RCT chloroquine vs placebo, double blind, May 2006 • Sponsor: APHM ; PI: X de Lamballerie • Grant: Sanofi-Aventis • Sample size (calculated): 250 patients • Sample size (inclusions) : 75 pts => NS + 900 day-follow-up : natural history of Chik
Vaccine: R&D (Inserm) • Candidate-vaccine developed in the 80s by the US defense • An attenuated living strain of interest • US-French agreement for restart of developpement • Requalification stage • Trials on monkeys • Clinical developpement – industrialisation- stop?
From B-A Gaüzère An effective mobilisation of citizens?
Beliefs vis-à-vis routes of transmissions Desagreement Agreement Human transmission Airborne ransmission Mosquito Setbon et al . April 2006
Risk of emerging vectorborne diseases Jones KE, Nature, 2008
Center for research and surveillance in Indian Ocean • Recommended by the Chik task force in 2006 • Created in 2007 with 16 partners • President: Prof. JF Girard, IRD • Director: Prof K Dellagi • International Scientific Advisory Board • President: Prof. X de Lamballerie • Call for tender: 2008 • Pandemic influenza : 2009-2010
Chikungunya and scientific production Science, 21 Dec. 2007
Conclusion (2/2) : Decision makers need more enlightment from research • Transmission routes (airborne, handborne) • Assessment of virulence • Assessment of prevention measures • Protective masks, hand washing, closing schools • Immunization strategies, Immunization of healthcare workers • Antivirals: how to prescribe them, what about combination (i.e. multitherapy), preventive and curative treatments • Treatment of severe forms • Disease surveillance, seroprevalence • Influenza in developing countries • Perceptions, attitudes, rumours, fears