450 likes | 561 Vues
ARAB WORLDS, UNDERSTAND & SUCCEED UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 January 22, 2013. ARAB WORLDS UNDERSTAND & SUCCEED O pportunities and perspectives Jean-François Galletout, Founder, P.L.A.N. Inc. and P.L.A.N. Europe Ltd. Consultant, Middle East Affairs
E N D
ARAB WORLDS, UNDERSTAND & SUCCEED UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 January 22, 2013 ARAB WORLDS UNDERSTAND & SUCCEED Opportunities and perspectives Jean-François Galletout, Founder, P.L.A.N. Inc. and P.L.A.N. Europe Ltd. Consultant, Middle East Affairs Adviser to Météo France International & to the French foreign trade 1997-2004 President of the French NGO OMIP, jfgalletout@omip.fr www.omip.fr
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 JAN 22, 2013 SUMMARYPART 1 : FACTS, FIGURES & CHALLENGES OF THE ARAB WORLD9h30 – 10h45PAUSE10h45 – 11h00PART 2 : PERPECTIVES AND OPPORTUNITIES 11h00 – 12h00PART 3 : TOOL BOX / Q & A12h00 – 12h 30
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 SOME KEY NOTIONSBeing an Arab in 2013Muslims, Sunni, Shiite, ShariyaArab Christians, Arab JewsReligious sects, Muslim Brothers, Salafists, Extremists groups (Al-Qa’eda – Hezbollah etc.)Arab political regimes since independances & Arab « Springs »
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 SOME KEY NOTIONSBeing an Arab in 2013Muslims, Sunni, Shiite, ShariyaArab Christians, Arab JewsReligious sects, Muslim Brothers, Salafists, Extremists groups (Al-Qa’eda – Hezbollah etc.)Arab political regimes since independances & Arab « Springs »
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 Christians in the Middle East
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 SOME KEY NOTIONSBeing an Arab in 2013Muslims, Sunni, Shiite, ShariyaArab Christians, Arab JewsReligious sects, Muslim Brothers, Salafists, Extremists groups (Al-Qa’eda – Hezbollah etc.)Arab political regimes since independances & Arab « Springs »
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 Breakdown of population of some countries by religion
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 SOME KEY NOTIONSBeing an Arab in 2013Muslims, Sunni, Shiite, ShariyaArab Christians, Arab JewsReligious sects, Muslim Brothers, Salafists, Extremists groups (Al-Qa’eda – Hezbollah etc.)Arab political regimes since independances & Arab « Springs »
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 Al-Qa’ida
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 SOME KEY NOTIONSBeing an Arab in 2013Muslims, Sunni, Shiite, ShariyaArab Christians, Arab JewsReligious sects, Muslim Brothers, Salafists, Extremists groups (Al-Qa’eda – Hezbollah etc.)Arab political regimes since independances & Arab « Springs »
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 « Printemps » arabes…
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 Chart of the index of confidence of the population, 2009
Sub-Regional Disparities Who are we talking about? 322 million people in the region: --35m in GCC --71m in LDC --80m in Maghreb --136m in Mashreq Data for 2006. World Bank. WDI
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 Human Development Index (HDI) 2009 source UNDP
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 Muslim populatiion in Europe (2)
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 Map of the Arab World in 1914
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 Map of the Arab World in 1939
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 Map of the Independences
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 Map of the Arab World in 2013
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 JAN 22, 2013 SUMMARYPART 1 : FACTS, FIGURES & CHALLENGES OF THE ARAB WORLD9h30 – 10h45PAUSE10h45 – 11h00PART 2 : PERPECTIVES AND OPPORTUNITIES 11h00 – 12h00PART 3 : TOOL BOX / Q & A12h00 – 12h 30
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 World dependence on oil
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 Density of population 2005
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 Density of population late 20th century
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 Birth rate 2011 (CIA World factbook)
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 Sweet water access in the world in 2007
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 The importance of water, source of disputes and conflicts
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 Turkey, Lebanon, Syria, Palestine, Israël, who controls the water flow ?
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 G8 – G20
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 Qatar investments world-wide 2011 (estimates)
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 Among Qatar investments in Europe
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 2 Perspectives & Opportunities- Political level- Social level- Economic development
2 Perpectives and Opportunities At the political level - Political systems modernization - An equal opportunity society for tomorrow ? - Regional and sub-regional political organisations reforms (Arab League, UMA, Gulf Co-operation Council etc) - Regional economic cooperation bodies to be invented/re-activated « The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013
2 Perpectives and Opportunities At the social level - A new and modern Arab identity - Bridging the gap between rich and poor - Education and vocational training agains unemployment « The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013
2 Perpectives and Opportunities Economic development and business opportunities - Oil & Gas - Education / vocational training - Health sector - Tourism and civil aviation - Security and Defence - Public transportation (buses, tramway, railways…) - Water management, waste management and recycling - Consumer goods (forecasted increase of purchasing power) - Luxury products (perfumes, fashion, jewellery, etc. « The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 Geographic localization of sovereing funds
3 Tool box – Questions & Anwsers (Q&A)- a widening gap between cultures ? So close and so different - limits of organisations / human relationship still at the center of the society and business relationship - Autism in the west due to poor knowledge of the region - Distorted information in the media & aweak message coming from the region « The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013
3 Tool box – Recap (Q&A)Assets - Young and resourceful population - Homogenous language/culture/values/religion - Oil and gas reserves - Financial reserves - Towards new political systems ?Drawbacks - Huge gaps of GDP/capita - Weak and deficient education system in most countries - No common efficient political organization yet ! - No joint economic market (Maghreb / Israel-Jordan -Lebanon-Palestine- Syria – Gulf countries…) - Unresolved conflicts / instability still prevail in some countries/region « The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 CLOSING REMARKSDemocracy is indeed the major tool for people happiness and prosperity and the base for a new government system. It is the corner stone a of new project for the society. However Democracy is a tool for wellbeing of population and not an end in itself.Arab peoples projects should include economic development and shared growth. Without good economic perspectives and some kind of unity (example of EU) « revolutions » cannot succeed.Recent changes in the Arab World will lead to a new approach in international economic relations as well and perhaps give faith to Arabs to invest in Arab countries rather than elsewhere.It is in times of crisis that one should invest for the future
« The Arab Worlds, Understand & Succeed » UT1 IAE, MIM/M2 Jan 22, 2013 BIBLIOGRAPHYUNDP Arab States Report 2009 edition www.arabstates.undp.orgLes 100 clefs du Proche-Orient, A. Gresh, D. Vidal, Hachette littératureSeven Pillars of Wisdom, ISBN 0-9546418-0-9 / Les Sept piliers de la Sagesse édition 1922 T.E. Lawrence éditions Phébus Arabian Sands ISBN 0-14-009514-4 / Le désert des déserts, Wilfred Thesiger, Terre Humaine, pocheHistory of the Arab peoples, Albert Hourani, Faber & FaberAtlas des pays arabes, éditions Autrement, 2012