SOFI Introduced Into the IFS Model MPPC 2010
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The SOFI (System of Future Interactions) is an advanced global modeling system developed within the IFS Model, designed to analyze complex interactions among demographic, economic, energy, agricultural, socio-political, and environmental subsystems across 183 countries. It enables exploration of how changes in specific variables impact other measures domestically and globally, providing insights for long-term forecasting up to the year 2100. SOFI supports teaching, policy analysis, and new method development, including trend impact analysis and national SOFI reports, enhancing understanding of global interdependencies.
SOFI Introduced Into the IFS Model MPPC 2010
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Presentation Transcript
The International Futures Model Large-scale, long-term, structure-based and agent-class-driven global modeling system. Contains demographic, economic, energy, agricultural, socio-political, and environmental subsystems 183 countries interacting in the global system. Can show how changing the value of a variable in a country affects other measures in that country, other countries, regions, and the world as a whole. Computes projections for the long term future (to year 2100 Used in teaching, policy analysis, new method development (RAND RDM)
For the Future Introduce Trend Impact Analysis (might require a database of future developments) Enrich the historical database Country data sharing. Create sub-indexes (e.g. Security, Health, Wealth, Intellect, Infrastructure, and Moral/Ethical) Create an annual national SOFI report
IFS/MP SOFI Described in detail in Chapter 2 Now on line at www.ifs.du.edu/ifs.