The Courage to Innovate
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This analysis explores the limitations of traditional credit ratings and their effects on investment portfolios. With a focus on the issuer-pays model that has contributed to reliability issues in credit assessments, we review critical studies from industry and government that highlight the shortcomings of agencies like S&P and Moody's. Drawing from notable financial crises and academic research, we shed light on the risks posed by reliance on possibly outdated ratings, especially in the current market landscape.
The Courage to Innovate
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Presentation Transcript
Rating Agencies, Indexes and Your Portfolio Your portfolio is built on stale and unreliable credit ratings Even your S&P 500 index fund S&P and Moody’s use issuer pay business model
What We Hear “I hate S&P! Those guys are crooks! Have you read ‘The Big Short’?” -Premier Wealth Manager
Government Studies • Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission • Senate Permanent Committee on Investigations: Credit Ratings • SEC Credit Ratings Firms Summary Report - 2008
Academic and Industry Studies • CFA Institute • “Issuer Pays Ratings Model and Ratings Inflation • “Does the Bond Market Want Informative Credit Ratings?” • “Does Regulatory Certification Affect Information Content of Credit Ratings?” • “Credit Rating Firms Have Historically Been Harder on Sovereign Debt Than Corporate Debt”
Lehman Brothers - 2008 Lehman Files for Bankruptcy September 14th 2008
Lehman Brothers - 2008 AAA AA+ AA AA- A+ A BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B B- CCC+ CCC CCC- CC C D 5/28/08 9/23/08