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Join the 2006 Partners Workshop to explore cutting-edge operational and experimental weather products for improved forecasting. Learn about future work focusing on probabilistic storm surges, tropical cyclone hazards, and extreme wind warnings. This workshop aims to enhance weather preparedness and communication strategies. Don't miss this opportunity to contribute feedback and help shape the future of weather forecasting.
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Silver Spring, MD June 6, 2006 Timothy Schott 2006 Partners Workshop
Outline • New Operational Products • Experimental Products • Future Work
Probabilistic Winds – Operational • Graphical • Text • Experimental in the NDFD
Probabilistic Storm Surge – Experimental Pre Katrina • www.weather.gov/mdl/psurge/ • Two choices: • Overall chance storm surges will be greater than 5 feet above normal tide levels during the next 2 days Mainland Mississippi Post Katrina • Storm surge heights, in feet above normal tide level, which have a 10 percent chance of being exceeded during the next 3 days
Tropical Cyclone VTEC – Experimental • www.nhc.noaa.gov/feedback-tcv.shtml • New format for 2006 • Proposed operational for 2007 ALPHA WATCH/WARNING BREAKPOINTS/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006 1000 AM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 .HURRICANE ALPHA FLC017-029-037-053-057-065-075-101-103-123-129-142100- /E.NEW.KNHC.HU.W.1001.060314T1500Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 AM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 INDIAN-PASS-FL 29.68N 85.27W TARPON-SPRINGS-FL 28.15N 82.79W $$ GMZ750-755-770-775-830-850-853-870-873-142100- /E.NEW.KNHC.HU.W.1001.060314T1500Z-000000T0000Z/ 1000 AM EST TUE MAR 14 2006 INDIAN-PASS-FL 29.68N 85.27W TARPON-SPRINGS-FL 28.15N 82.79W
Tropical Cyclone Graphical Hazards – Experimental • www.weather.gov/os/tropical/hazards.htm • Participating WFOs providing Impacts or Threat Graphics • 2006 is first of a two year experimental effort
Extreme Wind Warning • http://www.weather.gov/os/hurricane/eww.htm • Purpose • New for 2006 • Extreme Wind Warning Product for 2007 • Beyond 2007
WFO Tropical Cyclone Products Improvement Team • Desire for clear, concise and meaningful WFO tropical cyclone products • Feedback needed • Contact: scott.kiser@noaa.gov