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A SNAPHOT OF OUR WORLD

This text discusses the challenges and causes of complex disasters in the 21st century, such as natural hazards, climate change, environmental degradation, and more. It highlights the need for a new strategy of disaster prevention and the framework of sustainability to anticipate and address these issues. Additionally, it explores the interactions between natural phenomena, human actions, and the fragilities they expose. It also examines the impact of growing cities and changing demographics on our world, emphasizing the importance of creating lively, sustainable, and healthy urban spaces.

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A SNAPHOT OF OUR WORLD

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  1. A SNAPHOT OF OUR WORLD • Over 7 billion people, and growing while… • Living and competing in an interconnected global economy, • Producing $60 trillion of products each year, and • Facing many kinds of complex disasters every year that are related to the 3 S’s, 5E’s, and 1H.

  2. THE 3 S’s • SAFETY (from recurring natural hazards) • SECURITY • SUSTAINABILITY

  3. THE FIVE E’s • ECONOMY • ENERGY • ENVIRONMENT • ECOLOGY • EDUCATION

  4. THE 1 H • HEALTH CARE

  5. Poverty Chronic hunger Health care needs Increasing risk of pandemic disease Large-scale migration of people Endangered plant and animal life Conflict and terrorism liKELY CAUSES OF COMPLEX DISASTERS during THE 21ST CENTURY

  6. Increasing morbidity, mortality, homelessness, and economic losses from recurring natural hazards Threats related to global climate change Environmental degradation and pollution of air, water, and soil Endangerment and extinction of plant and animal life LIKELY CAUSES OF COMPLEX DISASTERS during THE 21ST CENTURY

  7. Unless we design and implement a realistic new strategy for disaster prevention, OUR problems may grow worse so rapidly that we reach many “tipping points,” before we realize it and share in an unnecessary and irreversible reduction in the quality of life on Planet Earth. OUR POSSIBLE “oh no!” LEGACY OF THE 21ST CENTURY

  8. A SOLUTION SET: THE FRAMEWORK OF SUSTAINABILITY • To anticipate and plan for the full spectrum of what can happen • To build capacity at the community level for monitoring, mitigation, and adaptation • To build equity in all sectors of the community • To inform, educate, and train

  9. A Restless Earth—The Cause of Natural Phenomena that interact with PEOPLE and COMMUNITIES Earthquakes Tsunamis Volcanic eruptions Landslides INTERACTIONS THAT EXPOSE FRAGILITIES

  10. Extreme Storms----Natural Phenomena that interact with PEOPLE and COMMUNITIES Tropical Storms Hurricanes Typhoons Tornadoes Nor’easters INTERACTIONS THAT EXPOSE FRAGILITIES

  11. Actions of a community---To increase “Quality of Life” Build Economic Development Create Land Control Water Expand Cities Facilitate Transportation INTERACTIONS THAT CAN INCREASE FRAGILITIES

  12. Mankind’s Actions--- can have expected and unexpected consequences Deforestation Pollution Conflict INTERACTIONS THAT CAN INCREASE FRAGILITIES

  13. A Warming World ---with its spectrum of natural and unnatural causes Increasing Temperatures Diminishing Polar Ice Shrinking Glaciers Rising Sea Level INTERACTIONS THAT CAN INCREASE FRAGILITIES

  14. Fastest Growing Cities CityMayor Statistics

  15. Today cities with the largest populations 1. Tokyo, Japan - 28,025,000 2. Mexico City, Mexico - 18,131,000 3. Mumbai, India - 18,042,000 4. Sáo Paulo, Brazil - 17, 711,000 5. New York City, USA - 16,626,000 6. Shanghai, China - 14,173,000 7. Lagos, Nigeria - 13,488,000 8. Los Angeles, USA - 13,129,000 9. Calcutta, India - 12,900,000 10. Buenos Aires, Argentina - 12,431,000 http://www.worldatlas.com/citypops.htm

  16. How will this change in 2025? • Tokyo, Japan 36.4 million • Mumbai, India 26.4 • Delhi, India 22.4 • Dhaka, Bangladesh 22 • Sao Paulo, Brazil 18.3 • Mexico City, Mexico 21 • New York City, 20.6 • Calcutta India, 20.6 mil • Shanghai, China 19.4 • Karachi, Pakistan 19.1 The World Resource Institute predicts 33 mega cities--those with populations exceeding 8 million--by 2025. That's up from 21 in 1990, not to mention two in 1950 (London and New York). All but six of the 33 will be in the developing world.

  17. The two chief forces reshaping our world are the changing demographics and the technological changes.

  18. First we shape thecities -then they shapeus

  19. Piazza Il Campo, Siena, Italy (14thcentury)The Finest Urban Space in theWorld - a miracle or straightforward commonsense?

  20. Overview of Qualitycriterias -The Pedestrianlandscape Campo inSiena

  21. Paradigm • WANTED: • Lively, LiveableCity • SustainableCity • HealthyCity

  22. Lively, LiveableCity

  23. SustainableCity A good Public Realm is a crucialfactor for good PublicTransportation

  24. HealthyCity Problem: “The sittingSyndrome”

  25. Before After Phase1: 1960-1980: PedestrianStreets (Walking /Promenade)

  26. Phase2: 1980-2000: Car-free Squares /Cafées (Staying / Recreation)

  27. Phase3: 2000- : Activity Parks /“Playgrounds” (Playing / Sports /Activities)

  28. Phot:DOT/NYC

  29. Moscow2012 Moscow, Russia: Where car isKing

  30. 2012 2016

  31. 2012 2016

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