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MAPLD 2000 CONFERENCE WELCOME REMARKS. GEORGE R. COTTER 26 September 2000. Background - Technology Trends. The 90s - From a GigaFlop to a TeraFlop A decade of intensive work Significant Potential in Semiconductor Field (Moore’s Law) Issues were Architecture and Software
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MAPLD 2000 CONFERENCEWELCOME REMARKS GEORGE R. COTTER 26 September 2000
Background - Technology Trends • The 90s - From a GigaFlop to a TeraFlop • A decade of intensive work • Significant Potential in Semiconductor Field (Moore’s Law) • Issues were Architecture and Software • The 00s - From a TeraFlop to a PetaFlop • Little Residual Potential in Semiconductor (CMOS) Field • Little or no Industry R&D to Offset Technology Lag • Software, Software, Software
Background - Current State of HEC R&D • Core Systems-level, Industry-centric R&D, almost nil • Exceptions: • ASCI PathForward • NSA Systems, Architectures, Technologies • DARPA PIM R&D • Most Activities “On the margins” • Infrastructure related • Computational Science • Mission Specific • Not Industry-centric • Little Long-term Research • Exception is Significant Quantum Computing Effort
ASCI WHITE LAWRENCE LIVERMORE NATIONAL LABORATORY
11 10 10 10 9 10 8 10 4 7 10 10 3 6 10 10 2 5 10 10 4 1 10 10 3 0 10 10 -1 2 10 10 -2 1 10 10 MICROPROCESSOR - “THE MORTALITY OF SILICON” TRANSISTORS CLOCK (MHz) MOORE’S LAW 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 00
4OK Superconducting Processors 4OK Superconducting Memory 77OK Semiconductor Memory Data Vortex Network DRAM Processing-in-Memory (PIM) Holographic Memory HTMT Architecture Superconducting Section 100 GHz Processors Capacity Latency BW 2GByte 40 ps 2PB/s 3TByte 1 ns 1PB/s 30Tbyte 100 ns 1PB/s 1PByte 10 us 1PB/s
Today’s Challenges in High End Computing • An Industry in Transition • Market Forces are not the driver • More Enlightened Federal Policies & Programs • Integrated R & D program • Cooperation with Academia & Industry • Innovation • Material Sciences • Architectures • Component Technologies • All Optical Networks • Storage • Devices • Superconducting (Processor & Memory) • Processing-in-Memory • PLD’s
Compelling HEC Applications • Modeling and Simulation Processes in Physics, Material, Biology, and Environmental Sciences • Data Fusion Demands across National, Scientific, Industrial Sectors • Complex National Security Programs in Weapons Systems Design, Cryptology, Battlespace Dominance • Industrial Leadership in Aerospace, Automobile, Energy, Pharmaceutical, Chemical Design Sectors