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Analysis of Atlantic Multidecadal Mode and Its Impact on Hurricane Probabilities

This study investigates the relationship between the Atlantic Multidecadal Mode (AMM) and sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies, using the REOF method proposed by Mestas-Nunez and Enfield (1999). By analyzing SST anomalies during August, September, and October, we explore the influence of AMM on the occurrence and strength of hurricanes, considering both El Niño and La Niña events. Data from 1903 to 2000 are examined, highlighting critical patterns of major landfalling hurricanes along the U.S. East Coast and their correlation with low tropospheric vertical wind shear.

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Analysis of Atlantic Multidecadal Mode and Its Impact on Hurricane Probabilities

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  1. Atlantic Multidecadal Mode Local Correlation of SST versus REOF Mestas-Nunez and Enfield (1999)

  2. Atlantic Multidecadal Mode Aug-Sep-Oct SST Anomalies Local Correlation of SST versus REOF Mestas-Nunez and Enfield (1999)

  3. La Nina versus El Nino Hurricane Probabilities

  4. Aug-Sep-Oct Outgoing Longwave Radiation Anomalies Atlantic Multidecadal Mode Local Correlation of SST versus REOF Mestas-Nunez and Enfield (1999)

  5. El Nino-Southern Oscillation Forecasts

  6. Atlantic Multidecadal Mode Local Correlation of SST versus REOF Mestas-Nunez and Enfield (1999)

  7. Active Decades U.S. MAJOR LANDFALLING HURRICANES: 1903-2000 Major East Coast Hurricanes Inactive Decades

  8. Coverage of Low Tropospheric Vertical Wind Shear

  9. Strong Conveyor Weak Conveyor

  10. The “Global Mode”: Enhanced 200mb Subtropical Ridges

  11. The Returnof the Major Atlantic Hurricanes:Causes and Implications Chris Landsea NOAA/Hurricane Research Division Miami, Florida, USA June 29th, 2004 AMS Master Teachers

  12. Atlantic Multidecadal Mode Aug-Sep-Oct 200mb Wind Anomalies Local Correlation of SST versus REOF Mestas-Nunez and Enfield (1999)

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